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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

    ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
    ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
    ricochet@troet.cafe
    wrote last edited by
    #11

    @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

      @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

      https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

      patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      patatas@social.patatas.ca
      wrote last edited by
      #12
      @admin
      Ughhhh
      This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
      @mattsheffield @timjan
      1 Reply Last reply
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      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
        ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
        ffalaschi@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #13

        @mattsheffield
        Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

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        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

          lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
          lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
          lukalobster@mastodon.social
          wrote last edited by
          #14

          @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
          • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

            In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

            Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

            Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

            avirr@sfba.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
            avirr@sfba.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
            avirr@sfba.social
            wrote last edited by
            #15

            @mattsheffield perverse incentives

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

              n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
              n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
              n_dimension@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #16

              @mattsheffield

              #polymarket > #pizzaindex

              At least Whisky Leaks made pizzerias around Pentagon happy

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                doctordns@masto.ai
                wrote last edited by
                #17

                @mattsheffield polymarket is dissallowed here in the UK. For good reasons!

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • quinn@social.circl.luQ quinn@social.circl.lu

                  @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

                  ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

                  doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                  doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                  doctordns@masto.ai
                  wrote last edited by
                  #18

                  @quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.

                  quinn@social.circl.luQ 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • kkarhan@infosec.spaceK kkarhan@infosec.space

                    @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

                    • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
                    timfinnerty@toot.ioT This user is from outside of this forum
                    timfinnerty@toot.ioT This user is from outside of this forum
                    timfinnerty@toot.io
                    wrote last edited by
                    #19

                    @kkarhan @mattsheffield pun intended?

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                    • doctordns@masto.aiD doctordns@masto.ai

                      @quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.

                      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
                      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
                      quinn@social.circl.lu
                      wrote last edited by
                      #20

                      @DoctorDNS @mattsheffield pretty sure you guys don't have any laws governing polymatket.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                        drewtowler@mas.toD This user is from outside of this forum
                        drewtowler@mas.toD This user is from outside of this forum
                        drewtowler@mas.to
                        wrote last edited by
                        #21

                        @mattsheffield
                        "Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic."

                        You know it's possible for both to be, simultaneously, right?

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                          ebajni@infosec.exchangeE This user is from outside of this forum
                          ebajni@infosec.exchangeE This user is from outside of this forum
                          ebajni@infosec.exchange
                          wrote last edited by
                          #22

                          @mattsheffield Not if the ones in charge of the nation are doing it

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • quinn@social.circl.luQ quinn@social.circl.lu

                            @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

                            ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

                            glutto@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                            glutto@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                            glutto@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #23

                            @quinn @mattsheffield

                            What happens when the lawkeepers are dedicated loyalists? Well, this...

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                            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                              gary_alderson@infosec.exchangeG This user is from outside of this forum
                              gary_alderson@infosec.exchangeG This user is from outside of this forum
                              gary_alderson@infosec.exchange
                              wrote last edited by
                              #24

                              @mattsheffield it is an evolution of the pizza shop

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                fistfulofdave@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                fistfulofdave@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                fistfulofdave@mastodon.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #25

                                @mattsheffield yeah surprising with all the hardware the US were sending to the Middle East over the last few weeks. /s Also both prediction markets and AI can be a security issue.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                  In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                  Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                  Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                  auzdavenice@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  auzdavenice@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  auzdavenice@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #26

                                  @mattsheffield por_que_no_los_dos.gif

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                    edavies@functional.cafeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                    edavies@functional.cafeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                    edavies@functional.cafe
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #27

                                    @mattsheffield Anybody look into what's been happening on the oil futures markets?

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • R relay@relay.infosec.exchange shared this topic
                                    • pl@cosocial.caP pl@cosocial.ca

                                      @mattsheffield F-22s were spotted in Israel on like Thursday. Was a pretty safe guess.

                                      elcelio@mastodon.unoE This user is from outside of this forum
                                      elcelio@mastodon.unoE This user is from outside of this forum
                                      elcelio@mastodon.uno
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #28

                                      @pl @mattsheffield
                                      it could have been March 1st

                                      pl@cosocial.caP 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • elcelio@mastodon.unoE elcelio@mastodon.uno

                                        @pl @mattsheffield
                                        it could have been March 1st

                                        pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                                        pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                                        pl@cosocial.ca
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #29

                                        @elCelio @mattsheffield I don't use whatever that platform is but it'd be interesting to see if it had any other "attack by" bets, although that'd ruin the whole conspiracy thing

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                          bredroll@mas.toB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          bredroll@mas.toB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          bredroll@mas.to
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #30

                                          @mattsheffield @molly0xfff wow!

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