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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mattsheffield@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

    pl@cosocial.caP quinn@social.circl.luQ kkarhan@infosec.spaceK timjan@social.linux.pizzaT S 10 Replies Last reply
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    0
    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

      pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      pl@cosocial.ca
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      @mattsheffield F-22s were spotted in Israel on like Thursday. Was a pretty safe guess.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • R relay@relay.an.exchange shared this topic
      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
        quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
        quinn@social.circl.lu
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @mattsheffield wow, and yikes.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

          quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
          quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
          quinn@social.circl.lu
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

          ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too 😁

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

            In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

            Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

            Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

            kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
            kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
            kkarhan@infosec.space
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

            • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
            1 Reply Last reply
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            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

              timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
              timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
              timjan@social.linux.pizza
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @mattsheffield

              Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

              patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
              • timjan@social.linux.pizzaT timjan@social.linux.pizza

                @mattsheffield

                Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

                patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                patatas@social.patatas.ca
                wrote last edited by
                #7
                @timjan
                thanks for the nightmare fuel!
                @mattsheffield
                admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA 1 Reply Last reply
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                • patatas@social.patatas.caP patatas@social.patatas.ca
                  @timjan
                  thanks for the nightmare fuel!
                  @mattsheffield
                  admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
                  admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
                  admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                  https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                  patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                    S This user is from outside of this forum
                    S This user is from outside of this forum
                    shadsterling@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    @mattsheffield why_not_both.gif

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                      bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                      bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                      bencotterill@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      @mattsheffield https://www.threads.com/@gtconway3/post/DVUVUZLkYcF

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                        ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                        ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                        ricochet@troet.cafe
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

                          @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                          https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                          patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                          patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                          patatas@social.patatas.ca
                          wrote last edited by
                          #12
                          @admin
                          Ughhhh
                          This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
                          @mattsheffield @timjan
                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                            In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                            Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                            Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                            ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                            ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                            ffalaschi@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13

                            @mattsheffield
                            Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran 🤷🏼‍♂️

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                              lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lukalobster@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #14

                              @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
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