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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

    pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
    pl@cosocial.caP This user is from outside of this forum
    pl@cosocial.ca
    wrote last edited by
    #2

    @mattsheffield F-22s were spotted in Israel on like Thursday. Was a pretty safe guess.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • R relay@relay.an.exchange shared this topic
    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
      quinn@social.circl.lu
      wrote last edited by
      #3

      @mattsheffield wow, and yikes.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
        quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
        quinn@social.circl.lu
        wrote last edited by
        #4

        @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

        ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

          kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
          kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
          kkarhan@infosec.space
          wrote last edited by
          #5

          @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

          • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

            In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

            Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

            Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

            timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
            timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
            timjan@social.linux.pizza
            wrote last edited by
            #6

            @mattsheffield

            Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

            patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
            • timjan@social.linux.pizzaT timjan@social.linux.pizza

              @mattsheffield

              Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

              patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
              patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
              patatas@social.patatas.ca
              wrote last edited by
              #7
              @timjan
              thanks for the nightmare fuel!
              @mattsheffield
              admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • patatas@social.patatas.caP patatas@social.patatas.ca
                @timjan
                thanks for the nightmare fuel!
                @mattsheffield
                admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
                admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
                admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com
                wrote last edited by
                #8

                @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                  In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                  Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                  Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                  S This user is from outside of this forum
                  S This user is from outside of this forum
                  shadsterling@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #9

                  @mattsheffield why_not_both.gif

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                    bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                    bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                    bencotterill@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #10

                    @mattsheffield https://www.threads.com/@gtconway3/post/DVUVUZLkYcF

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                    0
                    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                      ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                      ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                      ricochet@troet.cafe
                      wrote last edited by
                      #11

                      @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

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                      0
                      • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

                        @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                        https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                        patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                        patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                        patatas@social.patatas.ca
                        wrote last edited by
                        #12
                        @admin
                        Ughhhh
                        This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
                        @mattsheffield @timjan
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                          ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                          ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                          ffalaschi@mastodon.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #13

                          @mattsheffield
                          Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

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                          • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                            In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                            Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                            Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                            lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lukalobster@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #14

                            @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

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                            • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
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