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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

    quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
    quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
    quinn@social.circl.lu
    wrote last edited by
    #3

    @mattsheffield wow, and yikes.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
      quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
      quinn@social.circl.lu
      wrote last edited by
      #4

      @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

      ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
        kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
        kkarhan@infosec.space
        wrote last edited by
        #5

        @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

        • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

          timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
          timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
          timjan@social.linux.pizza
          wrote last edited by
          #6

          @mattsheffield

          Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

          patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
          • timjan@social.linux.pizzaT timjan@social.linux.pizza

            @mattsheffield

            Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

            patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
            patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
            patatas@social.patatas.ca
            wrote last edited by
            #7
            @timjan
            thanks for the nightmare fuel!
            @mattsheffield
            admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA 1 Reply Last reply
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            • patatas@social.patatas.caP patatas@social.patatas.ca
              @timjan
              thanks for the nightmare fuel!
              @mattsheffield
              admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
              admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
              admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com
              wrote last edited by
              #8

              @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

              https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

              patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
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              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                S This user is from outside of this forum
                S This user is from outside of this forum
                shadsterling@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #9

                @mattsheffield why_not_both.gif

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                  In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                  Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                  Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                  bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                  bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                  bencotterill@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #10

                  @mattsheffield https://www.threads.com/@gtconway3/post/DVUVUZLkYcF

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                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                    ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                    ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                    ricochet@troet.cafe
                    wrote last edited by
                    #11

                    @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

                      @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                      https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                      patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                      patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                      patatas@social.patatas.ca
                      wrote last edited by
                      #12
                      @admin
                      Ughhhh
                      This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
                      @mattsheffield @timjan
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                        ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                        ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                        ffalaschi@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #13

                        @mattsheffield
                        Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                          lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                          lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                          lukalobster@mastodon.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #14

                          @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

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                          • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
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