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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

    quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
    quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
    quinn@social.circl.lu
    wrote last edited by
    #4

    @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

    ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too 😁

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

      kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
      kkarhan@infosec.spaceK This user is from outside of this forum
      kkarhan@infosec.space
      wrote last edited by
      #5

      @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

      • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
        timjan@social.linux.pizzaT This user is from outside of this forum
        timjan@social.linux.pizza
        wrote last edited by
        #6

        @mattsheffield

        Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

        patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
        • timjan@social.linux.pizzaT timjan@social.linux.pizza

          @mattsheffield

          Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?

          patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
          patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
          patatas@social.patatas.ca
          wrote last edited by
          #7
          @timjan
          thanks for the nightmare fuel!
          @mattsheffield
          admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • patatas@social.patatas.caP patatas@social.patatas.ca
            @timjan
            thanks for the nightmare fuel!
            @mattsheffield
            admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
            admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
            admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com
            wrote last edited by
            #8

            @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

            https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

            patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
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            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

              S This user is from outside of this forum
              S This user is from outside of this forum
              shadsterling@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #9

              @mattsheffield why_not_both.gif

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                bencotterill@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #10

                @mattsheffield https://www.threads.com/@gtconway3/post/DVUVUZLkYcF

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                • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                  In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                  Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                  Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                  ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                  ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                  ricochet@troet.cafe
                  wrote last edited by
                  #11

                  @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

                    @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

                    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

                    https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

                    patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                    patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
                    patatas@social.patatas.ca
                    wrote last edited by
                    #12
                    @admin
                    Ughhhh
                    This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
                    @mattsheffield @timjan
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                      ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                      ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                      ffalaschi@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #13

                      @mattsheffield
                      Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran 🤷🏼‍♂️

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                        lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                        lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                        lukalobster@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #14

                        @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

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                        • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
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