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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

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  • patatas@social.patatas.caP patatas@social.patatas.ca
    @timjan
    thanks for the nightmare fuel!
    @mattsheffield
    admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
    admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA This user is from outside of this forum
    admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com
    wrote last edited by
    #8

    @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

    https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

    patatas@social.patatas.caP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

      S This user is from outside of this forum
      S This user is from outside of this forum
      shadsterling@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #9

      @mattsheffield why_not_both.gif

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

        bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        bencotterill@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        bencotterill@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #10

        @mattsheffield https://www.threads.com/@gtconway3/post/DVUVUZLkYcF

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

          ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
          ricochet@troet.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
          ricochet@troet.cafe
          wrote last edited by
          #11

          @mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.comA admin@mastodon.slightlycyberpunk.com

            @patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay

            https://dn720002.ca.archive.org/0/items/bell-jim-assassination-politics-1997/Bell%2C%20Jim%20-%20Assassination%20Politics%20%281997%29.pdf

            patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
            patatas@social.patatas.caP This user is from outside of this forum
            patatas@social.patatas.ca
            wrote last edited by
            #12
            @admin
            Ughhhh
            This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
            @mattsheffield @timjan
            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

              ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
              ffalaschi@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
              ffalaschi@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #13

              @mattsheffield
              Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                lukalobster@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                lukalobster@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #14

                @mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • evacide@hachyderm.ioE evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
                • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                  In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                  Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                  Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                  avirr@sfba.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                  avirr@sfba.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                  avirr@sfba.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #15

                  @mattsheffield perverse incentives

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                    n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
                    n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
                    n_dimension@infosec.exchange
                    wrote last edited by
                    #16

                    @mattsheffield

                    #polymarket > #pizzaindex

                    At least Whisky Leaks made pizzerias around Pentagon happy

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                      doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                      doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                      doctordns@masto.ai
                      wrote last edited by
                      #17

                      @mattsheffield polymarket is dissallowed here in the UK. For good reasons!

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • quinn@social.circl.luQ quinn@social.circl.lu

                        @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

                        ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

                        doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                        doctordns@masto.aiD This user is from outside of this forum
                        doctordns@masto.ai
                        wrote last edited by
                        #18

                        @quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.

                        quinn@social.circl.luQ 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • kkarhan@infosec.spaceK kkarhan@infosec.space

                          @mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.

                          • Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
                          timfinnerty@toot.ioT This user is from outside of this forum
                          timfinnerty@toot.ioT This user is from outside of this forum
                          timfinnerty@toot.io
                          wrote last edited by
                          #19

                          @kkarhan @mattsheffield pun intended?

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • doctordns@masto.aiD doctordns@masto.ai

                            @quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.

                            quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
                            quinn@social.circl.luQ This user is from outside of this forum
                            quinn@social.circl.lu
                            wrote last edited by
                            #20

                            @DoctorDNS @mattsheffield pretty sure you guys don't have any laws governing polymatket.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                              In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                              Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                              Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                              drewtowler@mas.toD This user is from outside of this forum
                              drewtowler@mas.toD This user is from outside of this forum
                              drewtowler@mas.to
                              wrote last edited by
                              #21

                              @mattsheffield
                              "Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic."

                              You know it's possible for both to be, simultaneously, right?

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                ebajni@infosec.exchangeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                ebajni@infosec.exchangeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                ebajni@infosec.exchange
                                wrote last edited by
                                #22

                                @mattsheffield Not if the ones in charge of the nation are doing it

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • quinn@social.circl.luQ quinn@social.circl.lu

                                  @mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

                                  ...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too ๐Ÿ˜

                                  glutto@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                  glutto@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                  glutto@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #23

                                  @quinn @mattsheffield

                                  What happens when the lawkeepers are dedicated loyalists? Well, this...

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                    In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                    Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                    Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                    gary_alderson@infosec.exchangeG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gary_alderson@infosec.exchangeG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gary_alderson@infosec.exchange
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #24

                                    @mattsheffield it is an evolution of the pizza shop

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                      In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                      Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                      Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                      fistfulofdave@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                      fistfulofdave@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                      fistfulofdave@mastodon.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #25

                                      @mattsheffield yeah surprising with all the hardware the US were sending to the Middle East over the last few weeks. /s Also both prediction markets and AI can be a security issue.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                        In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                        Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                        Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                        auzdavenice@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        auzdavenice@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        auzdavenice@mastodon.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #26

                                        @mattsheffield por_que_no_los_dos.gif

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • mattsheffield@mastodon.socialM mattsheffield@mastodon.social

                                          In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

                                          Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

                                          Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

                                          edavies@functional.cafeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                          edavies@functional.cafeE This user is from outside of this forum
                                          edavies@functional.cafe
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #27

                                          @mattsheffield Anybody look into what's been happening on the oil futures markets?

                                          1 Reply Last reply
                                          0
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