In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?
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R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
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Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?
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@patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield why_not_both.gif
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield I don't these websites are a national security risk but are a part of transparency of what's going on.
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@admin
Ughhhh
This does sound vaguely familiar though. I was thinking maybe David Golumbia wrote about this mf but he's not mentioned in The Politics of Bitcoin afaict
@mattsheffield @timjan -
In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield
Not very much inside traders: the whole world was aware that Saturday was the likely day of the attack on Iran
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield the real threat to security is your government....
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E evacide@hachyderm.io shared this topic
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield perverse incentives
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield polymarket is dissallowed here in the UK. For good reasons!
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@mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently
...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too
@quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.
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@mattsheffield I guess some Pentagon employees made a killing with this.
- Pretty shure said #shitcoins get quickly exchanged for #Monero and then disappear...
@kkarhan @mattsheffield pun intended?
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@quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.
@DoctorDNS @mattsheffield pretty sure you guys don't have any laws governing polymatket.
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield
"Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic."You know it's possible for both to be, simultaneously, right?
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield Not if the ones in charge of the nation are doing it
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@mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently
...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too
What happens when the lawkeepers are dedicated loyalists? Well, this...
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield it is an evolution of the pizza shop
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In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
@mattsheffield yeah surprising with all the hardware the US were sending to the Middle East over the last few weeks. /s Also both prediction markets and AI can be a security issue.
