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  3. Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

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  • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
    octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
    octothorpe@mastodon.online
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

    February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
    May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

    Link Preview Image
    Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

    Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

    favicon

    Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

    octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO cstamp@mastodon.socialC mloxton@zeroes.caM mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM gbargoud@masto.nycG 14 Replies Last reply
    2
    0
    • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

      Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

      February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
      May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

      Link Preview Image
      Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

      Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

      favicon

      Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

      octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
      octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
      octothorpe@mastodon.online
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      Also, see the history of the parent toot for the OG post from blusky. They don’t preview well here, so I decided to copy it instead.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

        Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

        February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
        May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

        Link Preview Image
        Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

        Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

        favicon

        Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

        cstamp@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
        cstamp@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
        cstamp@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @octothorpe Good grief. “So here’s the poll by AI-invented people.”

        octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • cstamp@mastodon.socialC cstamp@mastodon.social

          @octothorpe Good grief. “So here’s the poll by AI-invented people.”

          octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
          octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
          octothorpe@mastodon.online
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          @CStamp Their data was always a bit questionable, but popular (ahem). Now they’re exploring ‘what if we just totally made shit up?’

          cstamp@mastodon.socialC 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

            Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

            February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
            May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

            Link Preview Image
            Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

            Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

            favicon

            Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

            mloxton@zeroes.caM This user is from outside of this forum
            mloxton@zeroes.caM This user is from outside of this forum
            mloxton@zeroes.ca
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @octothorpe
            That is the dumbest idea I've heard all week, and there have been some real clangers of late

            octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • mloxton@zeroes.caM mloxton@zeroes.ca

              @octothorpe
              That is the dumbest idea I've heard all week, and there have been some real clangers of late

              octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
              octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
              octothorpe@mastodon.online
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @mloxton it is indeed! Even dumber than acid wash jeans.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                Link Preview Image
                Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                favicon

                Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
                wrote last edited by
                #7

                @octothorpe

                Next, AI voters replace unpredictable human citizens.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
                • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                  @CStamp Their data was always a bit questionable, but popular (ahem). Now they’re exploring ‘what if we just totally made shit up?’

                  cstamp@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                  cstamp@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                  cstamp@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  @octothorpe I knew there was a reason to not trust polls. 😉

                  Honestly, their only benefit is when used to study markets to figure out how to tweak marketing or services.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                    Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                    February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                    May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                    Link Preview Image
                    Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                    Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                    favicon

                    Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                    gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gbargoud@masto.nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    @octothorpe

                    A bunch of magic 8 balls would be even cheaper

                    octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • gbargoud@masto.nycG gbargoud@masto.nyc

                      @octothorpe

                      A bunch of magic 8 balls would be even cheaper

                      octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                      octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                      octothorpe@mastodon.online
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      @gbargoud outlook not so good!

                      gbargoud@masto.nycG mast0d0nphan@beige.partyM 2 Replies Last reply
                      0
                      • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                        @gbargoud outlook not so good!

                        gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                        gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                        gbargoud@masto.nyc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        @octothorpe

                        I guess the downside to magic 8 balls is that the answers would actually be random and you can't really seed them to say what you want them to like you can with AI agents

                        octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • R relay@relay.mycrowd.ca shared this topic
                        • gbargoud@masto.nycG gbargoud@masto.nyc

                          @octothorpe

                          I guess the downside to magic 8 balls is that the answers would actually be random and you can't really seed them to say what you want them to like you can with AI agents

                          octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                          octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                          octothorpe@mastodon.online
                          wrote last edited by
                          #12

                          @gbargoud I mean, you keep shaking until you get the result you want. Not unlike Gallup’s existing methodology, really.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                            Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                            February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                            May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                            Link Preview Image
                            Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                            Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                            favicon

                            Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                            seismoallegra@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                            seismoallegra@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                            seismoallegra@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13

                            @octothorpe jumping Jackrabbits, that sounds stupid.

                            octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • seismoallegra@mastodon.socialS seismoallegra@mastodon.social

                              @octothorpe jumping Jackrabbits, that sounds stupid.

                              octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                              octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                              octothorpe@mastodon.online
                              wrote last edited by
                              #14

                              @SeismoAllegra yep!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                                octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                                octothorpe@mastodon.online
                                wrote last edited by
                                #15

                                @weyoun6 yeah, their methodologies can be roughly described as ‘numberwang’.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                                  Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                                  February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                                  May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                                  Link Preview Image
                                  Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                                  Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                                  favicon

                                  Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                                  mimblewimble@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                  mimblewimble@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                  mimblewimble@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @octothorpe hahahaha.... Wait, they're serious?! HAHAHHAHAHAHAHA

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                                    Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                                    February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                                    May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                                    Link Preview Image
                                    Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                                    Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                                    favicon

                                    Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                                    nickrauchen@c.imN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    nickrauchen@c.imN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    nickrauchen@c.im
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #17

                                    @octothorpe

                                    A #WTF moment!

                                    We'll have simulated voters next! 👎

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                                      Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                                      February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                                      May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                                      Link Preview Image
                                      Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                                      Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                                      favicon

                                      Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                                      nerde@beige.partyN This user is from outside of this forum
                                      nerde@beige.partyN This user is from outside of this forum
                                      nerde@beige.party
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @octothorpe
                                      Why not just go completely fraudulent and have the ratings based on how much the politicians are willing to pay? 🤷

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                                        Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                                        February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                                        May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                                        Link Preview Image
                                        Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                                        Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                                        favicon

                                        Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                                        mildpeach@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mildpeach@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mildpeach@mstdn.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #19

                                        @octothorpe @JonChevreau This is bad. No matter what we think of AI slop, actual human driven chaos is worse. That is why there is not modeling it…

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        1
                                        0
                                        • octothorpe@mastodon.onlineO octothorpe@mastodon.online

                                          Welp, Gallup is no longer a source of viable anything, let along survey data:

                                          February: Gallup says that due to cost reasons it will no longer do presidential approval polling
                                          May: Gallup says it is exploring "digital twin" technology that replaces human respondents with AI/LLM-generated answers

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          Gallup Begins Research on Simulated Responses

                                          Gallup is exploring whether AI-generated agents perform well in predicting people's responses and where they fall short.

                                          favicon

                                          Gallup.com (news.gallup.com)

                                          oliver_schafeld@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                                          oliver_schafeld@mastodon.onlineO This user is from outside of this forum
                                          oliver_schafeld@mastodon.online
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #20

                                          "Due to cost reasons" has gotta be a forward-looking statement translating as "we're afraid to be sued or regulated out of business by you-know-who" if we publish polls about you-know-who.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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