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  3. Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

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  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

    amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
    amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
    amfernee@gardenstate.club
    wrote last edited by
    #67

    @sundogplanets I'm really interested in (and started investing in) https://ast-science.com/ , their model is to use satellites that can communicate with normal 5G etc. It will destroy Starlink, and they're planning on using ~200 satellites

    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

      davgian@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
      davgian@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
      davgian@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #68

      @sundogplanets And just so you can doomscroll in the middle of the Pacific Ocean

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • amfernee@gardenstate.clubA amfernee@gardenstate.club

        @sundogplanets I'm really interested in (and started investing in) https://ast-science.com/ , their model is to use satellites that can communicate with normal 5G etc. It will destroy Starlink, and they're planning on using ~200 satellites

        sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
        sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
        sundogplanets@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #69

        @amfernee With tennis-court sized satellites that are brighter than the brightest stars in the sky. I hate them.

        sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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        • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

          @amfernee With tennis-court sized satellites that are brighter than the brightest stars in the sky. I hate them.

          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
          sundogplanets@mastodon.social
          wrote last edited by
          #70

          @amfernee They will also completely destroy radio astronomy, and are using amateur radio bands. They're pretty awful overall. Please don't invest in them.

          amfernee@gardenstate.clubA 1 Reply Last reply
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          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

            @amfernee They will also completely destroy radio astronomy, and are using amateur radio bands. They're pretty awful overall. Please don't invest in them.

            amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
            amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
            amfernee@gardenstate.club
            wrote last edited by
            #71

            @sundogplanets oof. well, do we hate them.. more or less than Starlink?

            sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • amfernee@gardenstate.clubA amfernee@gardenstate.club

              @sundogplanets oof. well, do we hate them.. more or less than Starlink?

              sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
              sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
              sundogplanets@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #72

              @amfernee They won't replace starlink, they aren't providing internet service. They are completely redundant with cell towers. They also are not even trying to get their satellites fainter, because they say it's impossible. And they will provide a huge debris cross-section, so also pretty bad for Kessler Syndrome. So, I hate them more.

              sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                @amfernee They won't replace starlink, they aren't providing internet service. They are completely redundant with cell towers. They also are not even trying to get their satellites fainter, because they say it's impossible. And they will provide a huge debris cross-section, so also pretty bad for Kessler Syndrome. So, I hate them more.

                sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #73

                @amfernee I wrote this op-ed about them (and other satellite constellations) a couple years ago for Nature: https://rdcu.be/drQOU

                amfernee@gardenstate.clubA 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                  @amfernee I wrote this op-ed about them (and other satellite constellations) a couple years ago for Nature: https://rdcu.be/drQOU

                  amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
                  amfernee@gardenstate.clubA This user is from outside of this forum
                  amfernee@gardenstate.club
                  wrote last edited by
                  #74

                  @sundogplanets I'll read, thanks for sharing!

                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • amfernee@gardenstate.clubA amfernee@gardenstate.club

                    @sundogplanets I'll read, thanks for sharing!

                    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                    sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #75

                    @amfernee Thank you for reading!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                      eatyourgreens@mastodon.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                      eatyourgreens@mastodon.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                      eatyourgreens@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #76

                      @sundogplanets the sky above the port was the colour of… oh FFS!

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • S savera@mastodon.sdf.org

                        @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile I’ll have you know that I’m not the malicious type.

                        I wonder if these sats are protected against laser mischief makers. You know like they used to do with airplanes.

                        wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                        wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                        wraptile@fosstodon.org
                        wrote last edited by
                        #77

                        @savera they are way too far for any commercial lasers to reach

                        S 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • wraptile@fosstodon.orgW wraptile@fosstodon.org

                          @sundogplanets and for what?

                          I did some napkin math some time ago: all these satellites cost around 10-15B usd to deploy. This would be equivalent of 0.5 - 1 million cell towers at 10-20k usd (yeah that cheap).
                          There are currently 7 million cell towers worldwide most of which are old and under-performing. With 1 million NEW cell towers with economies of scale we could have probably covered the same actual reach with better latency, access and affordability.

                          Low orbit internet is a joke.

                          toroidalcore@masto.hackers.townT This user is from outside of this forum
                          toroidalcore@masto.hackers.townT This user is from outside of this forum
                          toroidalcore@masto.hackers.town
                          wrote last edited by
                          #78

                          @wraptile @sundogplanets I meant to post this as a reply:

                          ToroidalCore (@toroidalcore@masto.hackers.town)

                          I've wondered if Starlink would've made sense for them if fiber had been built out everywhere it was promised. (That is, the 'fiber is 100 ft away but $ISP won't connect me' crowd.) I still get Starlink adds in my area, even though wired internet is available and a much better value. (I put my address in back in the day, so presumably there is some targetting.)

                          favicon

                          Hackers.Town (masto.hackers.town)

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                            Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                            Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                            Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                            Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                            This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                            M This user is from outside of this forum
                            M This user is from outside of this forum
                            michkov@mas.to
                            wrote last edited by
                            #79

                            @sundogplanets Don't you just hate it when a comet photobombs your satellite images?

                            sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                              Some questions that keep coming up:
                              There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                              Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                              The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                              rootwyrm@weird.autosR This user is from outside of this forum
                              rootwyrm@weird.autosR This user is from outside of this forum
                              rootwyrm@weird.autos
                              wrote last edited by
                              #80

                              @sundogplanets "oh, but Kessler syndrome will just destroy all their stuff! Didn't you say that's good?"
                              <infinite_screaming.gif>

                              It's fine. It's FINE. IT'S FINE!
                              Who the fuck needs ships that can navigate the oceans or an ozone layer or even an atmosphere or working communications infrastructure anyway?

                              <imagine me slamming my head into the wall repeatedly>

                              sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS argv_minus_one@mastodon.sdf.orgA 2 Replies Last reply
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                              • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                cathos@merveilles.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                                cathos@merveilles.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                                cathos@merveilles.town
                                wrote last edited by
                                #81

                                @sundogplanets it's horrifying. You get to see the grid into which our sky has been broken and bought up.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • rootwyrm@weird.autosR rootwyrm@weird.autos

                                  @sundogplanets "oh, but Kessler syndrome will just destroy all their stuff! Didn't you say that's good?"
                                  <infinite_screaming.gif>

                                  It's fine. It's FINE. IT'S FINE!
                                  Who the fuck needs ships that can navigate the oceans or an ozone layer or even an atmosphere or working communications infrastructure anyway?

                                  <imagine me slamming my head into the wall repeatedly>

                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #82

                                  @rootwyrm Thank you, I'm glad I'm not the only one head-wall-slamming

                                  rootwyrm@weird.autosR 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • M michkov@mas.to

                                    @sundogplanets Don't you just hate it when a comet photobombs your satellite images?

                                    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #83

                                    @Michkov Can you please say this to all the people who replied to this image "ack-chew-ally I think this new sky-grid is beautiful"

                                    sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS M chemoelectric@masto.aiC 3 Replies Last reply
                                    0
                                    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                      @Michkov Can you please say this to all the people who replied to this image "ack-chew-ally I think this new sky-grid is beautiful"

                                      sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #84

                                      @Michkov (only mostly kidding)

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                        @rootwyrm Thank you, I'm glad I'm not the only one head-wall-slamming

                                        rootwyrm@weird.autosR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        rootwyrm@weird.autosR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        rootwyrm@weird.autos
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #85

                                        @sundogplanets the ones who are all "you're overreacting," I don't know how I have not been charged with murder. I really don't.

                                        There is a reason I included the detail that a society with *interstellar travel* and *aneutronic fusion* completely lost access to an entire planet for nearly a CENTURY when two large freighters collided in mid orbit at speed. And that was not NEARLY as bad as the mess we are in.

                                        argv_minus_one@mastodon.sdf.orgA 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

                                          @sundogplanets @wraptile

                                          Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

                                          I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

                                          I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

                                          cosmiccactus@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          cosmiccactus@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          cosmiccactus@mastodon.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #86

                                          @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile It's also much more difficult to destroy a satellite, almost impossible with conventional weapons.

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