#ClimateInflation, 2023 #Food edition
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(Soon: add in the effects of tariffs, nothing to do with climate change).
"U.S. imports of Brazilian beef have plummeted 80% in just three months, as President Donald Trump’s tariff crackdown begins to bite. Shipments tumbled from 47,800 tons in April — when a 10% tariff took effect — to just 9,700 tons so far in July. The looming 50% surcharge, scheduled for Aug. 1, is already reshaping trade flows and forcing exporters to reroute containers to beat the deadline."
We can eat differently, and better:
"This is a story of exploration, adaptation and improved health, not one of abstinence.
By transforming how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain. If you are a proponent for less but better meat, for increased crop diversity or organic food, then the answer is more plants in our diets."
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We can eat differently, and better:
"This is a story of exploration, adaptation and improved health, not one of abstinence.
By transforming how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain. If you are a proponent for less but better meat, for increased crop diversity or organic food, then the answer is more plants in our diets."
"Climate change is contributing to a global shortage of the world’s most consumed fruit.
Bananas are the fourth most important food crop globally, with more than 400 million people relying on the fruit for 15% to 27% of their daily calories, and they’re not the only crop at risk.
Climate models show that mitigation efforts are the best ways we can reduce climate impacts on our food supply."
https://time.com/7310462/banana-supply-climate-change/
#ClimateInflation -
"Climate change is contributing to a global shortage of the world’s most consumed fruit.
Bananas are the fourth most important food crop globally, with more than 400 million people relying on the fruit for 15% to 27% of their daily calories, and they’re not the only crop at risk.
Climate models show that mitigation efforts are the best ways we can reduce climate impacts on our food supply."
https://time.com/7310462/banana-supply-climate-change/
#ClimateInflation"The struggles [of farmers in the south of Europe] mean the price of wine, olives, citrus fruits and vegetables are expected to continue to rise, as droughts, flash floods and high temperatures affect traditional crops in the Mediterranean.
However, the more the climate crisis progresses the harder it becomes to adapt and the more costly it becomes."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/25/we-cannot-do-it-the-way-our-fathers-did-farmers-across-europe-struggle-to-adapt-to-the-climate-crisis
#ClimateInflation -
"The struggles [of farmers in the south of Europe] mean the price of wine, olives, citrus fruits and vegetables are expected to continue to rise, as droughts, flash floods and high temperatures affect traditional crops in the Mediterranean.
However, the more the climate crisis progresses the harder it becomes to adapt and the more costly it becomes."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/25/we-cannot-do-it-the-way-our-fathers-did-farmers-across-europe-struggle-to-adapt-to-the-climate-crisis
#ClimateInflation"For every degree of warming, the study estimates year-to-year variability in crop yields will increase by 7% for corn (maize), 19% for soybeans and 10% for sorghum.
They identified “increased covariance of temperature and water stresses as a substantial and previously unquantified driver of future increases in yield variance.”"
https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/crop-failures-climate-change/
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"For every degree of warming, the study estimates year-to-year variability in crop yields will increase by 7% for corn (maize), 19% for soybeans and 10% for sorghum.
They identified “increased covariance of temperature and water stresses as a substantial and previously unquantified driver of future increases in yield variance.”"
https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/crop-failures-climate-change/
"These mounting [climate] risks are leading farmers to bet on regenerative agriculture. Together with climate advocates and scientists, they increasingly see these practices as key to withstanding changing climatic conditions — and to helping farmers stay in business. And Europe is showing how it can be done, they say."
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"These mounting [climate] risks are leading farmers to bet on regenerative agriculture. Together with climate advocates and scientists, they increasingly see these practices as key to withstanding changing climatic conditions — and to helping farmers stay in business. And Europe is showing how it can be done, they say."
#ClimateInflation
Tariff inflation
Deportations inflation"Grocery prices last month rose at their fastest pace in three years, stoked by Trump’s tariffs, a crackdown on immigration, and extreme weather hurting food production. Prices jumped 0.6% in August from the month prior, according to the latest reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they are up 2.7% from a year ago."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/20/business/grocery-store-prices-kroger-coupons -
#ClimateInflation
Tariff inflation
Deportations inflation"Grocery prices last month rose at their fastest pace in three years, stoked by Trump’s tariffs, a crackdown on immigration, and extreme weather hurting food production. Prices jumped 0.6% in August from the month prior, according to the latest reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they are up 2.7% from a year ago."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/20/business/grocery-store-prices-kroger-coupons"Mr Rinaudo's work as an agronomist — a soil and plant scientist — in the West African nation during the 1980s resulted in the development of farmer-managed natural regeneration (FMNR), a technique that resulted in trees springing up from lifeless soil.
His work has given the tool of knowledge to others around him, while feeding millions of people in the process."
Australian wins peace prize for farming idea feeding millions in Africa
A Victorian scientist whose farming technique has revolutionised agriculture in Niger is awarded an international peace prize.
(www.abc.net.au)
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"Mr Rinaudo's work as an agronomist — a soil and plant scientist — in the West African nation during the 1980s resulted in the development of farmer-managed natural regeneration (FMNR), a technique that resulted in trees springing up from lifeless soil.
His work has given the tool of knowledge to others around him, while feeding millions of people in the process."
Australian wins peace prize for farming idea feeding millions in Africa
A Victorian scientist whose farming technique has revolutionised agriculture in Niger is awarded an international peace prize.
(www.abc.net.au)
""Nobody has tried this before, but with climate change, we have crops that, 10 years ago, we wouldn't have thought would be viable. In 10 years time, rice could be a completely perfect crop for us," Nadine says.
This is the very edge of where rice can grow at the moment.
It will still be some time before we can test taste a UK rice crop - but it's a very real possibility that in the next decade, UK-grown rice could be coming to our dinner plates."
UK's first rice crop ripe for picking after hot summer
Paddy fields are thriving in a quiet part of east England and might help feed us in the future.
(www.bbc.com)
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""Nobody has tried this before, but with climate change, we have crops that, 10 years ago, we wouldn't have thought would be viable. In 10 years time, rice could be a completely perfect crop for us," Nadine says.
This is the very edge of where rice can grow at the moment.
It will still be some time before we can test taste a UK rice crop - but it's a very real possibility that in the next decade, UK-grown rice could be coming to our dinner plates."
UK's first rice crop ripe for picking after hot summer
Paddy fields are thriving in a quiet part of east England and might help feed us in the future.
(www.bbc.com)
"Beyond potatoes, Maine's other top crops are suffering. Blueberry growers are warning of reduced harvests this year, and Canada's industry — which supplies much of the U.S. — could see losses of up to one-third. Meanwhile, vegetable gardeners across the region are reporting wilting plants and dry soil.
For consumers, this means higher prices at the grocery store. "
Farmers issue warning as unexpected conditions devastate key crops: 'We're drying up'
Farmers in Maine are facing worsening drought conditions just as crops reach an important stage in their growth cycle.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
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"Beyond potatoes, Maine's other top crops are suffering. Blueberry growers are warning of reduced harvests this year, and Canada's industry — which supplies much of the U.S. — could see losses of up to one-third. Meanwhile, vegetable gardeners across the region are reporting wilting plants and dry soil.
For consumers, this means higher prices at the grocery store. "
Farmers issue warning as unexpected conditions devastate key crops: 'We're drying up'
Farmers in Maine are facing worsening drought conditions just as crops reach an important stage in their growth cycle.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
"Serbia has suffered from extreme drought in addition to frost in 2025, compounding the detrimental effects on crops.
The lack of rain has devastated corn crops, and the frost destroyed much of the fruit and vegetable yield, leading to extremely high grocery prices."
Farmers devastated as extreme conditions wipe out key crops: 'Catastrophic'
Farmers in Serbia are struggling because of extreme weather conditions, including a devastating drought.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
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"Serbia has suffered from extreme drought in addition to frost in 2025, compounding the detrimental effects on crops.
The lack of rain has devastated corn crops, and the frost destroyed much of the fruit and vegetable yield, leading to extremely high grocery prices."
Farmers devastated as extreme conditions wipe out key crops: 'Catastrophic'
Farmers in Serbia are struggling because of extreme weather conditions, including a devastating drought.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
"One year’s worth of bread has been lost in the UK since 2020 due to extreme weather destroying harvests, a report has found.
Droughts and floods, which have been exacerbated by climate breakdown, have created a deficit in wheat production of over 7m tonnes. Experts at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) calculated this is enough wheat to bake more than 4bn loaves of bread – a year’s supply."
One year’s worth of bread lost in UK to wrecked harvests since 2020, report finds
Worsening droughts and floods have destroyed wheat for 4bn loaves of bread and forced record levels of imports
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
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"One year’s worth of bread has been lost in the UK since 2020 due to extreme weather destroying harvests, a report has found.
Droughts and floods, which have been exacerbated by climate breakdown, have created a deficit in wheat production of over 7m tonnes. Experts at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) calculated this is enough wheat to bake more than 4bn loaves of bread – a year’s supply."
One year’s worth of bread lost in UK to wrecked harvests since 2020, report finds
Worsening droughts and floods have destroyed wheat for 4bn loaves of bread and forced record levels of imports
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
Climate Change Linked To 40% Of UK Food Price Hikes
Staples like butter, beef, milk, coffee and chocolate account for nearly 40% of all food price inflation, despite comprising only 11% of an average shopping basket, according to the study.
This trend challenges arguments that minimum-wage hikes or other domestic factors are the main cause of inflation.
Climate impacts added an estimated £360 (€414) to the average UK household food bill in 2022-23."
https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/climate-change-linked-to-40-of-uk-food-price-hikes-study-finds-298316
#ClimateInflation -
Climate Change Linked To 40% Of UK Food Price Hikes
Staples like butter, beef, milk, coffee and chocolate account for nearly 40% of all food price inflation, despite comprising only 11% of an average shopping basket, according to the study.
This trend challenges arguments that minimum-wage hikes or other domestic factors are the main cause of inflation.
Climate impacts added an estimated £360 (€414) to the average UK household food bill in 2022-23."
https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/climate-change-linked-to-40-of-uk-food-price-hikes-study-finds-298316
#ClimateInflation"This week, prices spiked again in the futures market as stocks of Brazilian beans in the US dwindled to their lowest level since 2020 and Donald Trump threatened tariffs on Colombia, another big exporter.
But the president's trade war obscures another major factor driving up coffee prices: climate change."
Tariffs and Climate Change Push Coffee Prices Up
Coffee prices are up, and Brazilian bean reserves in the US are down. Tariffs are part of the story. The other is — you guessed it — climate change. Today’s newsletter sheds light on what’s going on with your morning joe.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
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"This week, prices spiked again in the futures market as stocks of Brazilian beans in the US dwindled to their lowest level since 2020 and Donald Trump threatened tariffs on Colombia, another big exporter.
But the president's trade war obscures another major factor driving up coffee prices: climate change."
Tariffs and Climate Change Push Coffee Prices Up
Coffee prices are up, and Brazilian bean reserves in the US are down. Tariffs are part of the story. The other is — you guessed it — climate change. Today’s newsletter sheds light on what’s going on with your morning joe.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
FAO report:
"Disasters – from droughts and floods to pests and marine heatwaves – have inflicted an estimated $3.26 trillion in agricultural losses worldwide over the past 33 years – an average of $99 billion annually, roughly 4 percent of global agricultural GDP.These losses translate to a daily per capita reduction of 320 kilocalories – 13–16 percent of average energy needs."
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FAO report:
"Disasters – from droughts and floods to pests and marine heatwaves – have inflicted an estimated $3.26 trillion in agricultural losses worldwide over the past 33 years – an average of $99 billion annually, roughly 4 percent of global agricultural GDP.These losses translate to a daily per capita reduction of 320 kilocalories – 13–16 percent of average energy needs."
Africa has lost $ 611 billion from 1991 - 2023 to "natural" disasters and climate change.
With great impact on the continent's food security.h/t @Snoro
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Africa has lost $ 611 billion from 1991 - 2023 to "natural" disasters and climate change.
With great impact on the continent's food security.h/t @Snoro
#ClimateInflation in the price of food in North America:
"Projected warming by 2035 would drive food inflation up by 1.4 to 1.8 percentage-points per-year on average across North America (for low-end (SSP1-2.6) and high-end (SSP5-8.5) warming scenarios, respectively). By 2060, warming-driven food inflation across North America would reach 1.9 to 3.9 percentage-points per-year, respectively."
Climate Change and Food Prices | Climate Central
Extreme events fueled by climate change can damage crops, reduce yields, and disrupt supply chains — all of which can drive food prices higher.
(www.climatecentral.org)
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#ClimateInflation in the price of food in North America:
"Projected warming by 2035 would drive food inflation up by 1.4 to 1.8 percentage-points per-year on average across North America (for low-end (SSP1-2.6) and high-end (SSP5-8.5) warming scenarios, respectively). By 2060, warming-driven food inflation across North America would reach 1.9 to 3.9 percentage-points per-year, respectively."
Climate Change and Food Prices | Climate Central
Extreme events fueled by climate change can damage crops, reduce yields, and disrupt supply chains — all of which can drive food prices higher.
(www.climatecentral.org)
" When enough early adopters begin experimenting with regenerative techniques, others can take notice. Perceptions shift. A new normal becomes possible.
Yet these pro-change norms are rarely included in global models. This limits our ability to understand where transformation might take off, or how policy and community support could accelerate it. "
Why regenerative farming needs social change - Earth4All
The release of the new EAT-Lancet report on healthy, sustainable, and just food systems once more highlights a stark reality: agriculture is now
Earth4All (earth4all.life)
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" When enough early adopters begin experimenting with regenerative techniques, others can take notice. Perceptions shift. A new normal becomes possible.
Yet these pro-change norms are rarely included in global models. This limits our ability to understand where transformation might take off, or how policy and community support could accelerate it. "
Why regenerative farming needs social change - Earth4All
The release of the new EAT-Lancet report on healthy, sustainable, and just food systems once more highlights a stark reality: agriculture is now
Earth4All (earth4all.life)
"As carbon dioxide increases, so does carbon uptake, and more carbon means more carbohydrates, like sugars and starch. However, critical nutrients such as iron, zinc, and protein all decreased. Our food might have more carbs but fewer essential nutrients."
Climate change is affecting your food – and not in your favour
Our food is becoming more calorifc, less nutritious – and possibly more toxic.
The Conversation (theconversation.com)
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"As carbon dioxide increases, so does carbon uptake, and more carbon means more carbohydrates, like sugars and starch. However, critical nutrients such as iron, zinc, and protein all decreased. Our food might have more carbs but fewer essential nutrients."
Climate change is affecting your food – and not in your favour
Our food is becoming more calorifc, less nutritious – and possibly more toxic.
The Conversation (theconversation.com)
“Climate change and weather extremes will drive down global caloric yields by about 24% under high future emissions.
“This would result in higher food prices, which in rich countries would feel like inflation. In poor countries, this would exacerbate food security problems and could negatively affect political stability.”
How climate breakdown is putting the world’s food in peril – in maps and charts
From floods to droughts, erratic weather patterns are affecting food security, with crop yields projected to fall if changes are not made
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
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“Climate change and weather extremes will drive down global caloric yields by about 24% under high future emissions.
“This would result in higher food prices, which in rich countries would feel like inflation. In poor countries, this would exacerbate food security problems and could negatively affect political stability.”
How climate breakdown is putting the world’s food in peril – in maps and charts
From floods to droughts, erratic weather patterns are affecting food security, with crop yields projected to fall if changes are not made
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
For food security, one must look beyond the staples, and consider regional variability.
"Overall, India is producing record levels of paddy and wheat, but marginal production of other crops affects nutrient intake.
Agricultural districts most vulnerable to climate change are often in arid or semi-arid regions, coastal zones and rainfed areas. Protecting these from crop losses would not only secure food supply and livelihoods but also ensure better health."
Changing Climate Is Impacting India’s Nutrition Security
Changing Climate Is Impacting India’s Nutrition Security
(www.indiaspend.com)
