#ClimateInflation, 2023 #Food edition
-
"A [new] study directly links dozens of climate extremes to sharp food price spikes, highlighting the increasing vulnerability of food systems to environmental shocks.
Previous studies have examined how high temperatures, which cause waning yields and supply shortages, drive general food price inflation over the long term. However, the new research shows that specific food items also experience much steeper short-term price spikes which feed into inflation."
"The cost of a wide range of goods – from vegetables in California to coffee in Brazil – saw dramatic spikes in recent years due to weather conditions that were “so extreme they exceeded all historical precedent prior to 2020,” according to [a new] study.
By driving up food prices extreme weather conditions can also worsen overall inflation, which can lead to political unrest and social upheaval, the researchers noted."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/21/business/food-prices-climate-change-intl
#ClimateInflation -
"The cost of a wide range of goods – from vegetables in California to coffee in Brazil – saw dramatic spikes in recent years due to weather conditions that were “so extreme they exceeded all historical precedent prior to 2020,” according to [a new] study.
By driving up food prices extreme weather conditions can also worsen overall inflation, which can lead to political unrest and social upheaval, the researchers noted."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/21/business/food-prices-climate-change-intl
#ClimateInflation"Soaring food prices have been a major concern for consumers around the world since around 2021, with prices rising due to extreme weather fuelled by climate change, higher production costs and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – among other factors. "
https://www.carbonbrief.org/mapped-16-times-extreme-weather-drove-higher-food-prices-since-2022/
#ClimateInflation -
"Soaring food prices have been a major concern for consumers around the world since around 2021, with prices rising due to extreme weather fuelled by climate change, higher production costs and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – among other factors. "
https://www.carbonbrief.org/mapped-16-times-extreme-weather-drove-higher-food-prices-since-2022/
#ClimateInflation"Both extreme weather and food costs have been on the rise in recent years.
Research suggests it’s more than just coincidence that the price increases and weather extremes are coming together. A report published Monday in the journal Environmental Research Letters shows how extreme weather events is correlated to specific food price spikes in the immediate aftermath."
TIME | Current & Breaking News | National & World Updates
Breaking news and analysis from TIME.com. Politics, world news, photos, video, tech reviews, health, science and entertainment news.
(time.com)
-
"Both extreme weather and food costs have been on the rise in recent years.
Research suggests it’s more than just coincidence that the price increases and weather extremes are coming together. A report published Monday in the journal Environmental Research Letters shows how extreme weather events is correlated to specific food price spikes in the immediate aftermath."
TIME | Current & Breaking News | National & World Updates
Breaking news and analysis from TIME.com. Politics, world news, photos, video, tech reviews, health, science and entertainment news.
(time.com)
"A warming planet with intensifying extreme weather is also affecting the price of your steak and hamburgers.
After years of drought, pastures haven’t been producing enough grass to feed cattle. So ranchers have been sending their animals to the slaughterhouse earlier, cutting back herds even as Americans eat more beef. This is sending prices to record highs."
Why Burgers Cost So Much Right Now
Droughts, heat waves and floods are raising food prices.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
-
"A warming planet with intensifying extreme weather is also affecting the price of your steak and hamburgers.
After years of drought, pastures haven’t been producing enough grass to feed cattle. So ranchers have been sending their animals to the slaughterhouse earlier, cutting back herds even as Americans eat more beef. This is sending prices to record highs."
Why Burgers Cost So Much Right Now
Droughts, heat waves and floods are raising food prices.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
(Soon: add in the effects of tariffs, nothing to do with climate change).
"U.S. imports of Brazilian beef have plummeted 80% in just three months, as President Donald Trump’s tariff crackdown begins to bite. Shipments tumbled from 47,800 tons in April — when a 10% tariff took effect — to just 9,700 tons so far in July. The looming 50% surcharge, scheduled for Aug. 1, is already reshaping trade flows and forcing exporters to reroute containers to beat the deadline."
Weekly global protein digest: US beef imports from Brazil collapse amid tariff shock
Livestock analyst Jim Wyckoff reports on global protein news
(www.thebeefsite.com)
-
(Soon: add in the effects of tariffs, nothing to do with climate change).
"U.S. imports of Brazilian beef have plummeted 80% in just three months, as President Donald Trump’s tariff crackdown begins to bite. Shipments tumbled from 47,800 tons in April — when a 10% tariff took effect — to just 9,700 tons so far in July. The looming 50% surcharge, scheduled for Aug. 1, is already reshaping trade flows and forcing exporters to reroute containers to beat the deadline."
Weekly global protein digest: US beef imports from Brazil collapse amid tariff shock
Livestock analyst Jim Wyckoff reports on global protein news
(www.thebeefsite.com)
We can eat differently, and better:
"This is a story of exploration, adaptation and improved health, not one of abstinence.
By transforming how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain. If you are a proponent for less but better meat, for increased crop diversity or organic food, then the answer is more plants in our diets."
By changing our diets now, we can avoid the food chaos that climate change is bringing
By choosing to transform how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain.
The Conversation (theconversation.com)
-
We can eat differently, and better:
"This is a story of exploration, adaptation and improved health, not one of abstinence.
By transforming how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain. If you are a proponent for less but better meat, for increased crop diversity or organic food, then the answer is more plants in our diets."
By changing our diets now, we can avoid the food chaos that climate change is bringing
By choosing to transform how we grow food and what we eat – rather than letting climate change dictate the pace of change – we have so much to gain.
The Conversation (theconversation.com)
"Climate change is contributing to a global shortage of the world’s most consumed fruit.
Bananas are the fourth most important food crop globally, with more than 400 million people relying on the fruit for 15% to 27% of their daily calories, and they’re not the only crop at risk.
Climate models show that mitigation efforts are the best ways we can reduce climate impacts on our food supply."
https://time.com/7310462/banana-supply-climate-change/
#ClimateInflation -
"Climate change is contributing to a global shortage of the world’s most consumed fruit.
Bananas are the fourth most important food crop globally, with more than 400 million people relying on the fruit for 15% to 27% of their daily calories, and they’re not the only crop at risk.
Climate models show that mitigation efforts are the best ways we can reduce climate impacts on our food supply."
https://time.com/7310462/banana-supply-climate-change/
#ClimateInflation"The struggles [of farmers in the south of Europe] mean the price of wine, olives, citrus fruits and vegetables are expected to continue to rise, as droughts, flash floods and high temperatures affect traditional crops in the Mediterranean.
However, the more the climate crisis progresses the harder it becomes to adapt and the more costly it becomes."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/25/we-cannot-do-it-the-way-our-fathers-did-farmers-across-europe-struggle-to-adapt-to-the-climate-crisis
#ClimateInflation -
"The struggles [of farmers in the south of Europe] mean the price of wine, olives, citrus fruits and vegetables are expected to continue to rise, as droughts, flash floods and high temperatures affect traditional crops in the Mediterranean.
However, the more the climate crisis progresses the harder it becomes to adapt and the more costly it becomes."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/25/we-cannot-do-it-the-way-our-fathers-did-farmers-across-europe-struggle-to-adapt-to-the-climate-crisis
#ClimateInflation"For every degree of warming, the study estimates year-to-year variability in crop yields will increase by 7% for corn (maize), 19% for soybeans and 10% for sorghum.
They identified “increased covariance of temperature and water stresses as a substantial and previously unquantified driver of future increases in yield variance.”"
https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/crop-failures-climate-change/
-
"For every degree of warming, the study estimates year-to-year variability in crop yields will increase by 7% for corn (maize), 19% for soybeans and 10% for sorghum.
They identified “increased covariance of temperature and water stresses as a substantial and previously unquantified driver of future increases in yield variance.”"
https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/crop-failures-climate-change/
"These mounting [climate] risks are leading farmers to bet on regenerative agriculture. Together with climate advocates and scientists, they increasingly see these practices as key to withstanding changing climatic conditions — and to helping farmers stay in business. And Europe is showing how it can be done, they say."
-
"These mounting [climate] risks are leading farmers to bet on regenerative agriculture. Together with climate advocates and scientists, they increasingly see these practices as key to withstanding changing climatic conditions — and to helping farmers stay in business. And Europe is showing how it can be done, they say."
#ClimateInflation
Tariff inflation
Deportations inflation"Grocery prices last month rose at their fastest pace in three years, stoked by Trump’s tariffs, a crackdown on immigration, and extreme weather hurting food production. Prices jumped 0.6% in August from the month prior, according to the latest reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they are up 2.7% from a year ago."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/20/business/grocery-store-prices-kroger-coupons -
#ClimateInflation
Tariff inflation
Deportations inflation"Grocery prices last month rose at their fastest pace in three years, stoked by Trump’s tariffs, a crackdown on immigration, and extreme weather hurting food production. Prices jumped 0.6% in August from the month prior, according to the latest reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they are up 2.7% from a year ago."
https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/20/business/grocery-store-prices-kroger-coupons"Mr Rinaudo's work as an agronomist — a soil and plant scientist — in the West African nation during the 1980s resulted in the development of farmer-managed natural regeneration (FMNR), a technique that resulted in trees springing up from lifeless soil.
His work has given the tool of knowledge to others around him, while feeding millions of people in the process."
Australian wins peace prize for farming idea feeding millions in Africa
A Victorian scientist whose farming technique has revolutionised agriculture in Niger is awarded an international peace prize.
(www.abc.net.au)
-
"Mr Rinaudo's work as an agronomist — a soil and plant scientist — in the West African nation during the 1980s resulted in the development of farmer-managed natural regeneration (FMNR), a technique that resulted in trees springing up from lifeless soil.
His work has given the tool of knowledge to others around him, while feeding millions of people in the process."
Australian wins peace prize for farming idea feeding millions in Africa
A Victorian scientist whose farming technique has revolutionised agriculture in Niger is awarded an international peace prize.
(www.abc.net.au)
""Nobody has tried this before, but with climate change, we have crops that, 10 years ago, we wouldn't have thought would be viable. In 10 years time, rice could be a completely perfect crop for us," Nadine says.
This is the very edge of where rice can grow at the moment.
It will still be some time before we can test taste a UK rice crop - but it's a very real possibility that in the next decade, UK-grown rice could be coming to our dinner plates."
UK's first rice crop ripe for picking after hot summer
Paddy fields are thriving in a quiet part of east England and might help feed us in the future.
(www.bbc.com)
-
""Nobody has tried this before, but with climate change, we have crops that, 10 years ago, we wouldn't have thought would be viable. In 10 years time, rice could be a completely perfect crop for us," Nadine says.
This is the very edge of where rice can grow at the moment.
It will still be some time before we can test taste a UK rice crop - but it's a very real possibility that in the next decade, UK-grown rice could be coming to our dinner plates."
UK's first rice crop ripe for picking after hot summer
Paddy fields are thriving in a quiet part of east England and might help feed us in the future.
(www.bbc.com)
"Beyond potatoes, Maine's other top crops are suffering. Blueberry growers are warning of reduced harvests this year, and Canada's industry — which supplies much of the U.S. — could see losses of up to one-third. Meanwhile, vegetable gardeners across the region are reporting wilting plants and dry soil.
For consumers, this means higher prices at the grocery store. "
Farmers issue warning as unexpected conditions devastate key crops: 'We're drying up'
Farmers in Maine are facing worsening drought conditions just as crops reach an important stage in their growth cycle.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
-
"Beyond potatoes, Maine's other top crops are suffering. Blueberry growers are warning of reduced harvests this year, and Canada's industry — which supplies much of the U.S. — could see losses of up to one-third. Meanwhile, vegetable gardeners across the region are reporting wilting plants and dry soil.
For consumers, this means higher prices at the grocery store. "
Farmers issue warning as unexpected conditions devastate key crops: 'We're drying up'
Farmers in Maine are facing worsening drought conditions just as crops reach an important stage in their growth cycle.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
"Serbia has suffered from extreme drought in addition to frost in 2025, compounding the detrimental effects on crops.
The lack of rain has devastated corn crops, and the frost destroyed much of the fruit and vegetable yield, leading to extremely high grocery prices."
Farmers devastated as extreme conditions wipe out key crops: 'Catastrophic'
Farmers in Serbia are struggling because of extreme weather conditions, including a devastating drought.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
-
"Serbia has suffered from extreme drought in addition to frost in 2025, compounding the detrimental effects on crops.
The lack of rain has devastated corn crops, and the frost destroyed much of the fruit and vegetable yield, leading to extremely high grocery prices."
Farmers devastated as extreme conditions wipe out key crops: 'Catastrophic'
Farmers in Serbia are struggling because of extreme weather conditions, including a devastating drought.
The Cool Down (www.thecooldown.com)
"One year’s worth of bread has been lost in the UK since 2020 due to extreme weather destroying harvests, a report has found.
Droughts and floods, which have been exacerbated by climate breakdown, have created a deficit in wheat production of over 7m tonnes. Experts at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) calculated this is enough wheat to bake more than 4bn loaves of bread – a year’s supply."
One year’s worth of bread lost in UK to wrecked harvests since 2020, report finds
Worsening droughts and floods have destroyed wheat for 4bn loaves of bread and forced record levels of imports
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
-
"One year’s worth of bread has been lost in the UK since 2020 due to extreme weather destroying harvests, a report has found.
Droughts and floods, which have been exacerbated by climate breakdown, have created a deficit in wheat production of over 7m tonnes. Experts at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) calculated this is enough wheat to bake more than 4bn loaves of bread – a year’s supply."
One year’s worth of bread lost in UK to wrecked harvests since 2020, report finds
Worsening droughts and floods have destroyed wheat for 4bn loaves of bread and forced record levels of imports
the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)
Climate Change Linked To 40% Of UK Food Price Hikes
Staples like butter, beef, milk, coffee and chocolate account for nearly 40% of all food price inflation, despite comprising only 11% of an average shopping basket, according to the study.
This trend challenges arguments that minimum-wage hikes or other domestic factors are the main cause of inflation.
Climate impacts added an estimated £360 (€414) to the average UK household food bill in 2022-23."
https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/climate-change-linked-to-40-of-uk-food-price-hikes-study-finds-298316
#ClimateInflation -
Climate Change Linked To 40% Of UK Food Price Hikes
Staples like butter, beef, milk, coffee and chocolate account for nearly 40% of all food price inflation, despite comprising only 11% of an average shopping basket, according to the study.
This trend challenges arguments that minimum-wage hikes or other domestic factors are the main cause of inflation.
Climate impacts added an estimated £360 (€414) to the average UK household food bill in 2022-23."
https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/climate-change-linked-to-40-of-uk-food-price-hikes-study-finds-298316
#ClimateInflation"This week, prices spiked again in the futures market as stocks of Brazilian beans in the US dwindled to their lowest level since 2020 and Donald Trump threatened tariffs on Colombia, another big exporter.
But the president's trade war obscures another major factor driving up coffee prices: climate change."
Tariffs and Climate Change Push Coffee Prices Up
Coffee prices are up, and Brazilian bean reserves in the US are down. Tariffs are part of the story. The other is — you guessed it — climate change. Today’s newsletter sheds light on what’s going on with your morning joe.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
-
"This week, prices spiked again in the futures market as stocks of Brazilian beans in the US dwindled to their lowest level since 2020 and Donald Trump threatened tariffs on Colombia, another big exporter.
But the president's trade war obscures another major factor driving up coffee prices: climate change."
Tariffs and Climate Change Push Coffee Prices Up
Coffee prices are up, and Brazilian bean reserves in the US are down. Tariffs are part of the story. The other is — you guessed it — climate change. Today’s newsletter sheds light on what’s going on with your morning joe.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
FAO report:
"Disasters – from droughts and floods to pests and marine heatwaves – have inflicted an estimated $3.26 trillion in agricultural losses worldwide over the past 33 years – an average of $99 billion annually, roughly 4 percent of global agricultural GDP.These losses translate to a daily per capita reduction of 320 kilocalories – 13–16 percent of average energy needs."
-
FAO report:
"Disasters – from droughts and floods to pests and marine heatwaves – have inflicted an estimated $3.26 trillion in agricultural losses worldwide over the past 33 years – an average of $99 billion annually, roughly 4 percent of global agricultural GDP.These losses translate to a daily per capita reduction of 320 kilocalories – 13–16 percent of average energy needs."
Africa has lost $ 611 billion from 1991 - 2023 to "natural" disasters and climate change.
With great impact on the continent's food security.h/t @Snoro
