https://creativelearningguild.co.uk/nature/the-wheat-shortage-nobody-is-talking-about-and-how-global-warming-is-making-it-permanent/
#ClimateInflation

Cocoa prices have surged to record highs over the past year, driven largely by weather extremes in West Africa, where about 70% of the world’s cocoa is grown.

The issue went viral after the grandson of the inventor of the Reese’s Peanut Butter Cup called Hershey out for altering the recipe after noticing differences in the taste and texture."

Chocolate Recipes Change As Cocoa Prices Soar | Weather.com

The price of cocoa has surged, forcing chocolate makers to get creative when it comes to regulating pricing. Some popular companies are going as far as changing their chocolate recipes. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

The Weather Channel (weather.com)

An [earlier] analysis from Climate Central found that coffee-growing regions in major producing countries have been exposed to significantly more coffee-harming heat in recent years because of climate change."

Just a moment...

(dailycoffeenews.com)

According to local growers, the first week of March brought an unexpected rise in temperature, which disrupted the natural flowering and fruit-setting process."

https://borneobulletin.com.bn/climate-change-hits-pakistans-world-famous-mango-produce/
#ClimateInflation

"Food systems of low-income nations projected to deteriorate seven times as fast as those of wealthy ones.

“High-income countries will experience massive agricultural shocks, but they have the wealth to buy their way out of a domestic crop failure on the global market,” Bharadwaj said."

Far more countries face critical food insecurity if world heats up by 2C, analysis shows

Exclusive: Food systems of low-income nations projected to deteriorate seven times as fast as those of wealthy ones

the Guardian (www.theguardian.com)

https://www.canoncitydailyrecord.com/2026/03/06/maine-lobster-catch/
#ClimateInflation

"Oil powers cars. Nitrogen powers crops. If the strait of Hormuz closes, the most consequential price may not be Brent crude but the cost of feeding the world.

A sustained disruption of traffic through Hormuz ... would also represent a fertiliser shock (where prices go up dramatically and supply goes down) – and, by extension, a direct risk to global food security."

How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming

Without this form of fertiliser, crops will not produce yields on which the world’s population depends, leaving people starving.

The Conversation (theconversation.com)

The stakes of inadequate flood management are extraordinary: floods destroy livelihoods, contaminate water supplies, trigger disease outbreaks, devastate agricultural output that accounts for over 31% of GDP, and deepen the poverty of communities already living on the margins."

Extreme flooding and intensifying rainfall variability in Nigeria - EnviroNews - latest environment news, climate change, renewable energy

Synopsis Climate change and natural climate variability are the major causes of weather extremes such as heavy rainfall. There have been reports from multiple ecological zones in Nigeria, indicating rainfall events in December 2025 through February 2026. These situations hint at an increasing crisis of rainfall variability that is imposing an increasingly severe humanitarian, economic, […]

EnviroNews - latest environment news, climate change, renewable energy (www.environewsnigeria.com)

This will have implications for food supply in the UK and in northern Europe.

Security Verification

(www.ft.com)

"One shock could spark social unrest and even food riots in the UK, according to dozens of the country’s top food experts, because chronic issues have left the food system a “tinderbox”.

The group first identified a series of issues that are making access to food vulnerable in the UK, including the climate crisis, low incomes, poor farming policy and fragile just-in-time supply chains. These have left the UK dangerously exposed, the researchers said."

https://www.theguardian.com/food/2026/feb/23/uk-food-security-cyber-attack-riots-tinderbox-analysis

https://mastodon.social/@Snoro/116116699598224092
#ClimateInflation

[In] Africa with more than 170 million people [are] predicted to be exposed to food crises - the worst of which would be starvation - in 2099 alone – a number equivalent to the current combined population of Italy, France, and Spain."

https://theconversation.com/climate-change-could-expose-1-1-billion-people-to-hunger-by-2100-but-theres-good-news-too-ai-modelling-study-274478

Coffee plants thrive under specific temperature and rainfall ranges. Suboptimal conditions can harm the quality and quantity of bean harvests.

Climate change is bringing more excessive heat to major coffee-growing regions, according to a new analysis using Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index."

https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/more-coffee-harming-heat-due-to-carbon-pollution-2026

Agriculture Department data shows that the number of farmers availing crop insurance has doubled over this period, while compensation payouts have tripled, highlighting the increasing vulnerability of farming."

https://www.deccanherald.com/amp/story/india/karnataka/climate-shocks-trigger-massive-crop-losses-in-karnataka-insurance-claims-soar-3881601

This because the situation is expected to worsen during the peak of the dry season, from mid-December to March. Drought conditions worsened this year after failed rains in Somali regions, with some areas along rivers reporting a reduction in river flow, which has further impacted crop production reliant on rainfall and river water."

https://www.dawan.africa/news/drought-crisis-71-million-somalis-face-dire-need-by-april-sodma-warns

"Researchers said the world was lucky to have so far avoided a major shock and was living on borrowed time, with action needed to diversify crops and boost natural predators of pests.

The key global crops, wheat, rice and maize, are expected to see the losses to pests increase by about 46%, 19% and 31% respectively when global heating reaches 2C, the scientists said."

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2025/dec/20/crop-pests-food-losses-climate-crisis

"The results, she said, were a shock: although crop yields increase, they become less nutrient-dense. While zinc levels in particular drop, lead levels increase."

“We aren’t seeing a simple dilution effect but rather a complete shift in the composition of our foods … This also raises the question of whether we should adjust our diets in some way, or how we grow or produce our food.”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/dec/19/higher-carbon-dioxide-food-more-calorific-less-nutritious-study

"Overall, India is producing record levels of paddy and wheat, but marginal production of other crops affects nutrient intake.

Agricultural districts most vulnerable to climate change are often in arid or semi-arid regions, coastal zones and rainfed areas. Protecting these from crop losses would not only secure food supply and livelihoods but also ensure better health."

https://www.indiaspend.com/agriculture/changing-climate-is-impacting-indias-nutrition-security-974100

“This would result in higher food prices, which in rich countries would feel like inflation. In poor countries, this would exacerbate food security problems and could negatively affect political stability.”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2025/dec/18/how-climate-breakdown-is-putting-the-worlds-food-in-peril-in-maps-and-charts

#ClimateInflation

https://theconversation.com/climate-change-is-affecting-your-food-and-not-in-your-favour-270323

Yet these pro-change norms are rarely included in global models. This limits our ability to understand where transformation might take off, or how policy and community support could accelerate it. "

https://earth4all.life/views/why-regenerative-farming-needs-social-change/

"Projected warming by 2035 would drive food inflation up by 1.4 to 1.8 percentage-points per-year on average across North America (for low-end (SSP1-2.6) and high-end (SSP5-8.5) warming scenarios, respectively). By 2060, warming-driven food inflation across North America would reach 1.9 to 3.9 percentage-points per-year, respectively."

https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/climate-change-and-food-prices