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  3. The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

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  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

    Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

    T This user is from outside of this forum
    T This user is from outside of this forum
    tadbithuman@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #13

    @inthehands

    A related aside: while calling others backward, the West has rituals like a beaver seeing his shadow or not to figure out when spring starts...

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • eniatitova@sfba.socialE eniatitova@sfba.social

      @scott @inthehands I recently asked a coworker for evidence behind a claim she was making. She said she asked ChatGPT.

      scott@carfree.cityS This user is from outside of this forum
      scott@carfree.cityS This user is from outside of this forum
      scott@carfree.city
      wrote last edited by
      #14

      @eniatitova As much as that may be foolish without checking ChatGPT's stated source for the information, it's not *as* wrong as using LLMs to replace polling. Information backing up that claim might actually have been in a given LLM's training set. Knowledge of what the whole population thinks about a specific question right now, can't possibly have been.

      eniatitova@sfba.socialE 1 Reply Last reply
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      • scott@carfree.cityS scott@carfree.city

        @eniatitova As much as that may be foolish without checking ChatGPT's stated source for the information, it's not *as* wrong as using LLMs to replace polling. Information backing up that claim might actually have been in a given LLM's training set. Knowledge of what the whole population thinks about a specific question right now, can't possibly have been.

        eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
        eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
        eniatitova@sfba.social
        wrote last edited by
        #15

        @scott I agree, I think people have completely lost the plot on what it is LLMs actually do: generate text. hard stop. I can’t reveal my question because atty client privilege but suffice it to say, there was no source that ChatGPT could have had access to that would have provided a credible evidence.

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        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

          I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

          inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
          inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
          inthehands@hachyderm.io
          wrote last edited by
          #16

          OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

          Statistical Jesus wept.

          adamr@mstdn.scienceA inthehands@hachyderm.ioI nosword@localization.cafeN jwz@mastodon.socialJ 4 Replies Last reply
          0
          • rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.socialR rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.social

            @inthehands What tripe.

            gnate@ohai.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
            gnate@ohai.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
            gnate@ohai.social
            wrote last edited by
            #17

            @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
            It's just offal.

            inthehands@hachyderm.ioI msbellows@c.imM 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • gnate@ohai.socialG gnate@ohai.social

              @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
              It's just offal.

              inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
              inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
              inthehands@hachyderm.io
              wrote last edited by
              #18

              @gnate @rjblaskiewicz
              Ha, nice. I am now going to start using the phrase “offal data” for this kind of thing

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                Statistical Jesus wept.

                adamr@mstdn.scienceA This user is from outside of this forum
                adamr@mstdn.scienceA This user is from outside of this forum
                adamr@mstdn.science
                wrote last edited by
                #19

                @inthehands this is not the first time I've seen this. I recall someone making claims about how social media design choices influence user behavior based on a LLM simulation of social media.

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                • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                  OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                  Statistical Jesus wept.

                  inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                  inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                  inthehands@hachyderm.io
                  wrote last edited by
                  #20

                  (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                  So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                  wronglang@bayes.clubW cinebox@masto.hackers.townC crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC 3 Replies Last reply
                  0
                  • R relay@relay.an.exchange shared this topic
                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                    (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                    So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                    wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                    wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                    wronglang@bayes.club
                    wrote last edited by
                    #21

                    @inthehands emphasis on the through face stabbing

                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • wronglang@bayes.clubW wronglang@bayes.club

                      @inthehands emphasis on the through face stabbing

                      inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                      inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                      inthehands@hachyderm.io
                      wrote last edited by
                      #22

                      @wronglang
                      But see they juggled the knives first!

                      They •juggled• them, Krzysztof

                      wronglang@bayes.clubW 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                        I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

                        wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                        wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                        wronglang@bayes.club
                        wrote last edited by
                        #23

                        @inthehands they were never looking for a survey methodology, they were looking for a beard!

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                          @wronglang
                          But see they juggled the knives first!

                          They •juggled• them, Krzysztof

                          wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                          wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                          wronglang@bayes.club
                          wrote last edited by
                          #24

                          @inthehands that was so you couldn't tell if they were stabbing their own face or yours

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                            RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                            The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                            “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                            My dudes. No.

                            ai6yr@m.ai6yr.orgA This user is from outside of this forum
                            ai6yr@m.ai6yr.orgA This user is from outside of this forum
                            ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org
                            wrote last edited by
                            #25

                            @inthehands FFS

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                              RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                              The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                              “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                              My dudes. No.

                              mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                              mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                              mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
                              wrote last edited by
                              #26

                              @inthehands

                              Next it will be asking LLMs what voters would choose and just going with that. No need for elections.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                My dudes. No.

                                chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                chancerubbage@mastodon.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #27

                                @inthehands @mastodonmigration @Futurism

                                I think polls should all include the question:

                                Did you find any of these questions leading?

                                And be required to publish that result next to any results along with those that commissioned, paid for, the poll.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                  Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                                  drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  drwho@masto.hackers.town
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #28

                                  @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

                                  inthehands@hachyderm.ioI 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • drwho@masto.hackers.townD drwho@masto.hackers.town

                                    @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

                                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    inthehands@hachyderm.io
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #29

                                    @drwho
                                    Any time

                                    drwho@masto.hackers.townD 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                      @drwho
                                      Any time

                                      drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      drwho@masto.hackers.town
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #30

                                      @inthehands Thank you kindly.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                        RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                        The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                        “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                        My dudes. No.

                                        jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                        jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                        jbayes@sfba.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #31

                                        @inthehands This is just a fancy new way of making shit up.

                                        Publishing fabricated polls as if they were legit, is called "fraud".

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                          OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                                          Statistical Jesus wept.

                                          nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                                          nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                                          nosword@localization.cafe
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #32

                                          @inthehands And not just statistics! I’ve also seen certain linguists and philosophers excited about the possibility of posing grammatical/ethical judgments to LLMs in bulk, apparently fully convinced that the results would hold any meaning or value whatsoever. Can’t wait for the smug “Trolley problem objectively solved” papers

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