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  3. The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

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  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

    RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

    The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

    “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

    My dudes. No.

    aburka@hachyderm.ioA This user is from outside of this forum
    aburka@hachyderm.ioA This user is from outside of this forum
    aburka@hachyderm.io
    wrote last edited by
    #4

    @inthehands Democrats falling over themselves rushing to use this technology to allocate campaign funds, I'm sure

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

      RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

      The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

      “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

      My dudes. No.

      inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
      inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
      inthehands@hachyderm.io
      wrote last edited by
      #5

      Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

      rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.socialR paul_ipv6@infosec.exchangeP cptsuperlative@toot.catC inthehands@hachyderm.ioI T 7 Replies Last reply
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      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

        Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

        rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
        rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
        rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.social
        wrote last edited by
        #6

        @inthehands What tripe.

        gnate@ohai.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

          RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

          The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

          “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

          My dudes. No.

          cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
          cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
          cinebox@masto.hackers.town
          wrote last edited by
          #7

          @inthehands at what point do they decide we don’t need real voters in elections, either.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

            RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

            The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

            “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

            My dudes. No.

            nivex@tenforward.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
            nivex@tenforward.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
            nivex@tenforward.social
            wrote last edited by
            #8

            @inthehands About the time I think "OK, we've finally hit bottom, it's gotta get better from here" something like this comes along and knocks the bar down another peg.

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

              Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

              paul_ipv6@infosec.exchangeP This user is from outside of this forum
              paul_ipv6@infosec.exchangeP This user is from outside of this forum
              paul_ipv6@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #9

              @inthehands

              and you get a musical accompaniment, since you have plenty of organs to play...

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                cptsuperlative@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                cptsuperlative@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                cptsuperlative@toot.cat
                wrote last edited by
                #10

                @inthehands

                This is the exact analogy I’ve used before.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • scott@carfree.cityS scott@carfree.city

                  @inthehands This doesn't make any sense. It's as much a real polling method as Theranos did real blood tests.

                  As a side note, however, regarding the expert saying this could "influence public opinion itself, rather than merely[..]report what the public thinks," polling 100% does this already. Different ways of framing a question yield vastly different results. Big money pressure groups will try different framings and cherry-pick what result they report to shift public opinion.

                  eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                  eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                  eniatitova@sfba.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #11

                  @scott @inthehands I recently asked a coworker for evidence behind a claim she was making. She said she asked ChatGPT.

                  scott@carfree.cityS 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                    Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                    inthehands@hachyderm.io
                    wrote last edited by
                    #12

                    I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI wronglang@bayes.clubW 2 Replies Last reply
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                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                      Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                      T This user is from outside of this forum
                      T This user is from outside of this forum
                      tadbithuman@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #13

                      @inthehands

                      A related aside: while calling others backward, the West has rituals like a beaver seeing his shadow or not to figure out when spring starts...

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • eniatitova@sfba.socialE eniatitova@sfba.social

                        @scott @inthehands I recently asked a coworker for evidence behind a claim she was making. She said she asked ChatGPT.

                        scott@carfree.cityS This user is from outside of this forum
                        scott@carfree.cityS This user is from outside of this forum
                        scott@carfree.city
                        wrote last edited by
                        #14

                        @eniatitova As much as that may be foolish without checking ChatGPT's stated source for the information, it's not *as* wrong as using LLMs to replace polling. Information backing up that claim might actually have been in a given LLM's training set. Knowledge of what the whole population thinks about a specific question right now, can't possibly have been.

                        eniatitova@sfba.socialE 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • scott@carfree.cityS scott@carfree.city

                          @eniatitova As much as that may be foolish without checking ChatGPT's stated source for the information, it's not *as* wrong as using LLMs to replace polling. Information backing up that claim might actually have been in a given LLM's training set. Knowledge of what the whole population thinks about a specific question right now, can't possibly have been.

                          eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                          eniatitova@sfba.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
                          eniatitova@sfba.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #15

                          @scott I agree, I think people have completely lost the plot on what it is LLMs actually do: generate text. hard stop. I can’t reveal my question because atty client privilege but suffice it to say, there was no source that ChatGPT could have had access to that would have provided a credible evidence.

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                          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                            I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

                            inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                            inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                            inthehands@hachyderm.io
                            wrote last edited by
                            #16

                            OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                            Statistical Jesus wept.

                            adamr@mstdn.scienceA inthehands@hachyderm.ioI nosword@localization.cafeN jwz@mastodon.socialJ 4 Replies Last reply
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                            • rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.socialR rjblaskiewicz@mstdn.social

                              @inthehands What tripe.

                              gnate@ohai.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                              gnate@ohai.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                              gnate@ohai.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #17

                              @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
                              It's just offal.

                              inthehands@hachyderm.ioI msbellows@c.imM 2 Replies Last reply
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                              • gnate@ohai.socialG gnate@ohai.social

                                @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
                                It's just offal.

                                inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                inthehands@hachyderm.io
                                wrote last edited by
                                #18

                                @gnate @rjblaskiewicz
                                Ha, nice. I am now going to start using the phrase “offal data” for this kind of thing

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                  OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                                  Statistical Jesus wept.

                                  adamr@mstdn.scienceA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  adamr@mstdn.scienceA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  adamr@mstdn.science
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #19

                                  @inthehands this is not the first time I've seen this. I recall someone making claims about how social media design choices influence user behavior based on a LLM simulation of social media.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                    OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                                    Statistical Jesus wept.

                                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    inthehands@hachyderm.io
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #20

                                    (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                                    So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                                    wronglang@bayes.clubW cinebox@masto.hackers.townC crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC 3 Replies Last reply
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                                    • R relay@relay.an.exchange shared this topic
                                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                      (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                                      So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                                      wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                                      wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                                      wronglang@bayes.club
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #21

                                      @inthehands emphasis on the through face stabbing

                                      inthehands@hachyderm.ioI 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • wronglang@bayes.clubW wronglang@bayes.club

                                        @inthehands emphasis on the through face stabbing

                                        inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        inthehands@hachyderm.io
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #22

                                        @wronglang
                                        But see they juggled the knives first!

                                        They •juggled• them, Krzysztof

                                        wronglang@bayes.clubW 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                          I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

                                          wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                                          wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
                                          wronglang@bayes.club
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #23

                                          @inthehands they were never looking for a survey methodology, they were looking for a beard!

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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