An independent Alberta would be "a real sausage party" according to an Angus Reid poll from Feb9.71% of females plan to vote no

[deadduck@zeroes.ca]

@AlisonCreekside I would stay. I would stay to take up arms and defend my right to be Canadian without an illegitimate government trying to destroy my country. But I would certainly move my family out of Alberta first.

[alisoncreekside@mstdn.ca]

@deadDuck Bless. 23% of 'stay' voters say they would stay in a newly independent Alberta.

[deadduck@zeroes.ca]

@AlisonCreekside I wonder how many would stay because they want to, versus being stuck here? Or some other reason, like me.

[cass_m@mstdn.ca]

@AlisonCreekside yes, or plan is to move out if it came to that. Husband (4th gen Albertan) is disgusted by the whole thing.

[alisoncreekside@mstdn.ca]

@deadDuck Bearing in mind it's only a poll, the questions do a pretty good job of parsing out reasons for voting Stay or Leave and whether people expect their own lives to improve or nah and where they get their information from, but still not granular enough to answer your question.

[dragonfrog@mastodon.sdf.org]

@AlisonCreekside percentage who answer "I would leave" in a survey is not the same as percentage who would leave. Moving is complicated and expensive. You need to find work, housing, a school for your kids.

58% seems realistic as the percentage who would take at least one step - ask about a work transfer, book an apartment viewing, get an estimate from a moving company - not the percentage who would make it through all the obstacles and finish all the steps.

[rowinspeez@mas.to]

@AlisonCreekside turns out women are much much smarter than men when it comes to identifying astroturfed attacks based on fake grievances.

[space_burger_steve@mstdn.ca]

@dragonfrog @AlisonCreekside To be fair, what you're describing is "under normal circumstances." As in, if you didn't like who was elected premiere or something. Throw in a circumstance as drastic as having your citizenship changed or removed, as well as the opportunity of whether or not the rest of Canada would provide aid to Albertans who wanted to escape, and I think that might change otherwise "realistic" limitations.

[space_burger_steve@mstdn.ca]

@dragonfrog @AlisonCreekside Like, I would totally house a family from Alberta that didn't want to stop being Canadian citizens. It would be cramped, but we're describing an extreme circumstance.

[alisoncreekside@mstdn.ca]

@RowinSpeez We always used to say about polls that Men are from Mars and women are from Venus whatever the issue and regardless of class or education and that gender divide hasn't seemed to change over the decades.
Hence myriad polls from Abacus about whether women are warming up to Poilievre yet , answer - No.
I think this accounts for the strategy of having flouffy attractive women suddenly being the public face of the Trump government.

[alisoncreekside@mstdn.ca]

@dragonfrog Yes, the question is about theoretical intention not action.

[scribblersemporium@mastodon.world]

@AlisonCreekside

It's interesting that the UCP voters are simply not convinced by any of the obvious downsides of separation. I wonder what issue would given them pause, if any?

[alisoncreekside@mstdn.ca]

@ScribblersEmporium
Angus Reid has a chart showing the percentages of respondents who either are or are not convinced by the obvious arguments to Stay or Wexit.
It's pretty shocking but then again 23 % of them say they get most of their info from Alberta Prosperity Project events.
https://angusreid.org/alberta-unity-separation-smith-carney-prosperity/