#ClimateInflation, 2023 #Food edition
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Higher temperatures mean higher food and other prices. A new study links climate shocks to #inflation
“There are these productivity shocks that we know about from climate change, from the weather phenomena caused by climate change, from heat waves and so forth to reduce agricultural productivity,” Kotz said. “Those also then have a knock-on effect on food inflation, on headline inflation.”
#ClimateInflation
https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2024-03-22/higher-temperatures-mean-higher-food-and-other-prices-a-new-study-links-climate-shocks-to-inflationBeyond #ClimateInflation: hunger.
In Zimbabwe, "people grow the cereal grain sorghum and pearl millet, crops that are drought resistant and offer a chance at harvests, but even they failed to withstand the conditions this year.
With this year’s harvest a write-off, millions in #Zimbabwe, southern #Malawi, #Mozambique and #Madagascar won’t be able to feed themselves well into 2025."
#hunger
https://www.9news.com.au/world/extreme-drought-in-southern-africa-leaves-millions-hungry/38d2f918-8f2c-42b1-85de-e1f32c6ae0fe -
Beyond #ClimateInflation: hunger.
In Zimbabwe, "people grow the cereal grain sorghum and pearl millet, crops that are drought resistant and offer a chance at harvests, but even they failed to withstand the conditions this year.
With this year’s harvest a write-off, millions in #Zimbabwe, southern #Malawi, #Mozambique and #Madagascar won’t be able to feed themselves well into 2025."
#hunger
https://www.9news.com.au/world/extreme-drought-in-southern-africa-leaves-millions-hungry/38d2f918-8f2c-42b1-85de-e1f32c6ae0fe"The United Nations children’s fund says there is a “dire situation” in several eastern and southern African countries, where at least 45 million children are dealing with severe #FoodInsecurity made worse by #ClimateChange."
#UNICEF #hunger
https://www.voazimbabwe.com/a/unicef-climate-change-leaves-dire-situation-for-45-million-african-children/7552463.html -
"The United Nations children’s fund says there is a “dire situation” in several eastern and southern African countries, where at least 45 million children are dealing with severe #FoodInsecurity made worse by #ClimateChange."
#UNICEF #hunger
https://www.voazimbabwe.com/a/unicef-climate-change-leaves-dire-situation-for-45-million-african-children/7552463.html"#UK #harvests of important crops could be down by nearly a fifth this year due to the unprecedented wet weather farmers have faced, increasing the likelihood that the prices of bread, beer and biscuits will rise.
Some farms were badly affected by persistent rain since October, meaning they have not been able to plant any crops, while the wet weather has significantly depleted the amount other farms have been able to plant."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/29/washout-winter-spells-price-rises-for-uk-shoppers-with-key-crops-down-by-a-fifth
#ClimateInflation -
"#UK #harvests of important crops could be down by nearly a fifth this year due to the unprecedented wet weather farmers have faced, increasing the likelihood that the prices of bread, beer and biscuits will rise.
Some farms were badly affected by persistent rain since October, meaning they have not been able to plant any crops, while the wet weather has significantly depleted the amount other farms have been able to plant."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/29/washout-winter-spells-price-rises-for-uk-shoppers-with-key-crops-down-by-a-fifth
#ClimateInflationDrought is driving #OliveOil prices to staggering new heights
"#Spain, which is the world’s largest olive supplier and home to 40% of the global crop, has been dealing with droughts that have cut output by anywhere from 30% to 50% of its usual 1.3 million metric-ton harvests.
In February Spanish farmers were calling on the government to do more to fight #ClimateChange amid persistent #heatwaves that have decimated their trades."https://qz.com/olive-oil-prices-climate-change-1851458811
#ClimateInflation -
Drought is driving #OliveOil prices to staggering new heights
"#Spain, which is the world’s largest olive supplier and home to 40% of the global crop, has been dealing with droughts that have cut output by anywhere from 30% to 50% of its usual 1.3 million metric-ton harvests.
In February Spanish farmers were calling on the government to do more to fight #ClimateChange amid persistent #heatwaves that have decimated their trades."https://qz.com/olive-oil-prices-climate-change-1851458811
#ClimateInflation"#Bananas are at risk of a “devastating” disease as extreme heat and volatile rain cycles put the plants under stress, Colombian farmers have warned.
Small-scale producers in the northern Magdalena region who supply bananas to the UK say the impacts of #ClimateChange have increased their costs and hit yields by as much as 50%."
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/life-banana-pip-columbia-el-nino-b2543239.html
#ClimateInflation -
"#Bananas are at risk of a “devastating” disease as extreme heat and volatile rain cycles put the plants under stress, Colombian farmers have warned.
Small-scale producers in the northern Magdalena region who supply bananas to the UK say the impacts of #ClimateChange have increased their costs and hit yields by as much as 50%."
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/life-banana-pip-columbia-el-nino-b2543239.html
#ClimateInflation"Global warming is leading to smaller yields and poorer quality in #rice crops, according to new research that suggests rice harvests could decrease by up to 35% and quality by up to 85% compared to plants in 1990s climate conditions.
The research suggests that additional high CO2 concentration further worsened production compared to the high temperature alone."
(So much for that claim that CO2 is "plant food" eh).
https://www.yahoo.com/news/study-rice-harvests-quality-worsening-195323415.html
#ClimateInflation -
"Global warming is leading to smaller yields and poorer quality in #rice crops, according to new research that suggests rice harvests could decrease by up to 35% and quality by up to 85% compared to plants in 1990s climate conditions.
The research suggests that additional high CO2 concentration further worsened production compared to the high temperature alone."
(So much for that claim that CO2 is "plant food" eh).
https://www.yahoo.com/news/study-rice-harvests-quality-worsening-195323415.html
#ClimateInflation#ClimateChange comes for your #Avocados
"Researchers at the charity Christian Aid said that a hotter, drier world would make it more difficult to provide the significant amount of water needed to grow the fruit.
Mexico, the world’s biggest producer, could see its potential growing area reduced by 31 per cent by 2050 - even if global average temperature rises are limited to under 2C, according to the report. "
Climate change having 'terrible impact' on avocados, report says
Charity warns that higher temperatures will make it more difficult to provide water needed for production
The Standard (www.standard.co.uk)
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#ClimateChange comes for your #Avocados
"Researchers at the charity Christian Aid said that a hotter, drier world would make it more difficult to provide the significant amount of water needed to grow the fruit.
Mexico, the world’s biggest producer, could see its potential growing area reduced by 31 per cent by 2050 - even if global average temperature rises are limited to under 2C, according to the report. "
Climate change having 'terrible impact' on avocados, report says
Charity warns that higher temperatures will make it more difficult to provide water needed for production
The Standard (www.standard.co.uk)
"Global warming is bringing on a succession of negative effects on a range of marine creatures across #Japan, such as the relocated habitats of fish and fluctuations in #seafood catches.
Concerns are growing that the summer #heatwave expected this year as well may further exacerbate the situation.
The total seafood catch in Japan has been on a continuous decline."https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15244124
#ClimateInflation -
"Global warming is bringing on a succession of negative effects on a range of marine creatures across #Japan, such as the relocated habitats of fish and fluctuations in #seafood catches.
Concerns are growing that the summer #heatwave expected this year as well may further exacerbate the situation.
The total seafood catch in Japan has been on a continuous decline."https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15244124
#ClimateInflation"#Morocco’s harvest of three main grains, soft #wheat, #durum, and #barley, dropped 43% to 3.12 million tons in 2024, due to a severe #drought that slashes cultivated areas."
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"#Morocco’s harvest of three main grains, soft #wheat, #durum, and #barley, dropped 43% to 3.12 million tons in 2024, due to a severe #drought that slashes cultivated areas."
"“Two years ago, we produced 500 tons of oil, and last year, 70,” he said. “The reduced production shattered my dreams.
Athanasios Molasiotis, a professor of agronomy at the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, said that higher-than-usual temperatures, which are attributed to #ClimateChange, are affecting the Greek #OliveOil sector in multiple ways."
Farmers in Greece Witness the Impacts of Climate Change After Historically Low Harvest
Farmers and millers throughout Greece have reported that climate change is making it increasingly difficult to produce award-winning extra virgin olive oil.
Olive Oil Times (www.oliveoiltimes.com)
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"“Two years ago, we produced 500 tons of oil, and last year, 70,” he said. “The reduced production shattered my dreams.
Athanasios Molasiotis, a professor of agronomy at the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, said that higher-than-usual temperatures, which are attributed to #ClimateChange, are affecting the Greek #OliveOil sector in multiple ways."
Farmers in Greece Witness the Impacts of Climate Change After Historically Low Harvest
Farmers and millers throughout Greece have reported that climate change is making it increasingly difficult to produce award-winning extra virgin olive oil.
Olive Oil Times (www.oliveoiltimes.com)
Where this is going:
This study on "Global impacts of heat and #water stress on #FoodProduction and severe food insecurity" says that if we keep emitting carbon like we do now, 1.36 billion extra people will experience "severe food insecurity" by 2050.
That's 17% of the world population.
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Where this is going:
This study on "Global impacts of heat and #water stress on #FoodProduction and severe food insecurity" says that if we keep emitting carbon like we do now, 1.36 billion extra people will experience "severe food insecurity" by 2050.
That's 17% of the world population.
This is what #ClimateInflation looks like:
People in the heartland of olive oil - Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece - are consuming less of it: as harvests have gone down, prices have soared.
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This is what #ClimateInflation looks like:
People in the heartland of olive oil - Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece - are consuming less of it: as harvests have gone down, prices have soared.
Drought, early frosts, and birds who can't find enough insects to eat in the drought all contribute to a "horror season" for #NewZealand #olive growers.
Horror season for many olive oil producers
Growers in Wairarapa, Nelson/Marlborough and Canterbury are pressing a third fewer olives than last season.
RNZ (www.rnz.co.nz)
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Drought, early frosts, and birds who can't find enough insects to eat in the drought all contribute to a "horror season" for #NewZealand #olive growers.
Horror season for many olive oil producers
Growers in Wairarapa, Nelson/Marlborough and Canterbury are pressing a third fewer olives than last season.
RNZ (www.rnz.co.nz)
"A third of the food price increases in the UK in 2023 was down to climate change, according to the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit think-tank."
That's ... a lot.
For the UK, that's called #ClimateInflation .For developing countries that spend more of their budget on food (and where the ability of growing food is closer to the temperature limits), this could spell real trouble.
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"A third of the food price increases in the UK in 2023 was down to climate change, according to the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit think-tank."
That's ... a lot.
For the UK, that's called #ClimateInflation .For developing countries that spend more of their budget on food (and where the ability of growing food is closer to the temperature limits), this could spell real trouble.
"Many [wheat] farmers saw a decline in crop production.
Al-Akhras and others like him say that decades of conflict in #Syria and #ClimateChange are to blame. And we can see the evidence all around the country."
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"Many [wheat] farmers saw a decline in crop production.
Al-Akhras and others like him say that decades of conflict in #Syria and #ClimateChange are to blame. And we can see the evidence all around the country."
"Portions of Iowa, South Dakota and Nebraska are grappling with the aftermath of #flooding, while continuing to fight a swollen river. The Mississippi River is facing flood threats, too. The high waters and flooding are suffocating fields, causing #CropDamage to key growing areas across the Midwest."
You know all this will contribute to #ClimateInflation
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"Portions of Iowa, South Dakota and Nebraska are grappling with the aftermath of #flooding, while continuing to fight a swollen river. The Mississippi River is facing flood threats, too. The high waters and flooding are suffocating fields, causing #CropDamage to key growing areas across the Midwest."
You know all this will contribute to #ClimateInflation
And yet.
Whem the article talks about where does all this water come from?
"High pressure"
"Cold front"
"Gulf Moisture"
"Recycle local moisture"
and even
"An unbroken jet stream flow from Japan"
But not a single word about global warming. -
And yet.
Whem the article talks about where does all this water come from?
"High pressure"
"Cold front"
"Gulf Moisture"
"Recycle local moisture"
and even
"An unbroken jet stream flow from Japan"
But not a single word about global warming."Different parts of [#China] are being simultaneously hit by floods, droughts and tropical storms, threatening to spur food #inflation if output of wheat, soybeans, rice and corn is affected.
Major rice-growing areas in the south have been soaked by flooding, while droughts further north have damaged wheat and delayed corn and soybean planting."
Extreme Weather Poses Risks for Chinese Crops, Power Over Summer
Another exceptionally hot summer, accompanied by drought, flooding and typhoons, is risking Chinese crop harvests and lifting power demand as climate change creates more extreme weather.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
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"Different parts of [#China] are being simultaneously hit by floods, droughts and tropical storms, threatening to spur food #inflation if output of wheat, soybeans, rice and corn is affected.
Major rice-growing areas in the south have been soaked by flooding, while droughts further north have damaged wheat and delayed corn and soybean planting."
Extreme Weather Poses Risks for Chinese Crops, Power Over Summer
Another exceptionally hot summer, accompanied by drought, flooding and typhoons, is risking Chinese crop harvests and lifting power demand as climate change creates more extreme weather.
Bloomberg.com (www.bloomberg.com)
"Futures for [robusta] have surged about 60% this year, touching a fresh high of $4,667 per ton. Concerns about the next harvest are adding to supply fears after hot and dry weather in parts of #Vietnam damaged #coffee trees earlier this year.
#Brazil’s top growing regions have also faced the brunt of harsh weather, pushing up arabica prices. Some farmers pick smaller-than-usual beans following droughts in late 2023 that hurt crop development."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-09/coffee-prices-will-keep-rising-into-2025-roaster-lavazza-says
#ClimateInflation -
"Futures for [robusta] have surged about 60% this year, touching a fresh high of $4,667 per ton. Concerns about the next harvest are adding to supply fears after hot and dry weather in parts of #Vietnam damaged #coffee trees earlier this year.
#Brazil’s top growing regions have also faced the brunt of harsh weather, pushing up arabica prices. Some farmers pick smaller-than-usual beans following droughts in late 2023 that hurt crop development."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-09/coffee-prices-will-keep-rising-into-2025-roaster-lavazza-says
#ClimateInflationDrought and heat in #Mexico:
"In January 2024, the Ministry of Agriculture (SADER) estimated a 20 to 40 % reduction in corn production directly due to the drought. By March and April, more products, including coffee beans, were at risk. And by May, some dams in the northwest portion of the country were below 20 percent capacity, endangering crops like corn and sorghum."
Multi-year drought and heat waves across Mexico in 2024
Mexico's worst drought since 2011 has caused water scarcity, agricultural concerns, and worsened heat waves so far in 2024.
NOAA Climate.gov (www.climate.gov)
