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  3. Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

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  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

    beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
    beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
    beet_keeper@digipres.club
    wrote last edited by
    #27

    @sundogplanets I absolutely believe that SpaceX should be held accountable and must deliver on their promises. As for long-exposure shots like this, is it demonstrable of a material impact on science? Or just on photography?

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    • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

      @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

      wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
      wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
      wraptile@fosstodon.org
      wrote last edited by
      #28

      @maccruiskeen @Brokar @sundogplanets you mean using satellites as weapons? that seems a bit unlikely but clearly Ukraine has shown how powerful low-orbit internet is as utility for weapons so I meant more of that regard. For that, you do need a lot of them for good coverage and they have limited lifespan + need a large backup overhead.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

        @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

        brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        brokar@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #29

        @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets @wraptile

        I wouldn't want just kinetic stuff because the chance of the satellites breaking up and creating more debris would be too great. I'd rather go for "safe disposal" 😉 Throw a net over them and pull them down. Like you catch drones.

        wraptile@fosstodon.orgW 1 Reply Last reply
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        • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

          @sundogplanets The satellites seem to be dark at some parts of their trails. Are they spinning‽ So their antennas just aren't aimed at Earth half of the time‽ I thought they couldn't be any stupider.

          guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
          guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
          guigsy@mstdn.social
          wrote last edited by
          #30

          @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

          jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
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          • guigsy@mstdn.socialG guigsy@mstdn.social

            @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

            jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jackemled@furry.engineer
            wrote last edited by
            #31

            @guigsy @sundogplanets That's how they reflect light like that, but I don't think it shouldn't be changing so quickly unless they're rotating incorrectly.

            guigsy@mstdn.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

              @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets @wraptile

              I wouldn't want just kinetic stuff because the chance of the satellites breaking up and creating more debris would be too great. I'd rather go for "safe disposal" 😉 Throw a net over them and pull them down. Like you catch drones.

              wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
              wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
              wraptile@fosstodon.org
              wrote last edited by
              #32

              @Brokar @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets I think they are high enough to burn down on re-entry so don't let your dreams be dreams 🙌

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

                @guigsy @sundogplanets That's how they reflect light like that, but I don't think it shouldn't be changing so quickly unless they're rotating incorrectly.

                guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                guigsy@mstdn.social
                wrote last edited by
                #33

                @jackemled @sundogplanets maybe it's a composite of lots of photos and there's a small gap between? They have to be very stable to work.

                jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                  Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                  Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                  Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                  Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                  This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #34

                  Some questions that keep coming up:
                  There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                  Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                  The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                  ali@river.geek.nzA leeloo@c.imL rootwyrm@weird.autosR lp0_on_fire@social.linux.pizzaL elasticsoul@mastodon.socialE 5 Replies Last reply
                  0
                  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                    nini@oldbytes.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                    nini@oldbytes.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                    nini@oldbytes.space
                    wrote last edited by
                    #35

                    @sundogplanets And to think he's only one of these fools destroying the night sky.

                    Nobody wants to be Cassandra for a good few reasons, dealing with the aftermath being one.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                      F This user is from outside of this forum
                      F This user is from outside of this forum
                      fl0und3r@defcon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #36

                      @sundogplanets Mal: "you can't take the sky from me"

                      Elon: "that's where you're wrong, kiddo!"

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • guigsy@mstdn.socialG guigsy@mstdn.social

                        @jackemled @sundogplanets maybe it's a composite of lots of photos and there's a small gap between? They have to be very stable to work.

                        jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                        jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                        jackemled@furry.engineer
                        wrote last edited by
                        #37

                        @guigsy @sundogplanets Why not do a long exposure instead? Aren't composite photos usually done to look at a specific object & using a special tripod to automatically move the camera & telescope to always point at it?

                        Spinning the satellites would be a good way to make sure solar panels are regularly exposed to light if they're just mounted to the outside & not retractable, but then you can't aim the antenna. That's only good for those microsatellites people host BBSs on & communicate with using special equipment at very specific times.

                        guigsy@mstdn.socialG michael_w_busch@mastodon.onlineM 2 Replies Last reply
                        0
                        • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                          Some questions that keep coming up:
                          There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                          Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                          The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                          ali@river.geek.nzA This user is from outside of this forum
                          ali@river.geek.nzA This user is from outside of this forum
                          ali@river.geek.nz
                          wrote last edited by
                          #38

                          @sundogplanets The man who stole the sky

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                          0
                          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                            Some questions that keep coming up:
                            There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                            Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                            The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                            leeloo@c.imL This user is from outside of this forum
                            leeloo@c.imL This user is from outside of this forum
                            leeloo@c.im
                            wrote last edited by
                            #39

                            @sundogplanets
                            It will take hard proof for them to understand.

                            And if the choice is between Kessler Syndrome and North Sahara being the new name for Lapland, I think I prefer Kessler Syndrome.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

                              @sundogplanets @wraptile

                              Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

                              I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

                              I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

                              smiddi@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                              smiddi@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                              smiddi@chaos.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #40

                              @Brokar

                              All that shit burning in our atmosphere (over time), is another big problem.

                              @sundogplanets @wraptile

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                matthewchat@mstdn.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #41

                                @sundogplanets I have a suspicion in the back of my head that a good portion of those million satellites will have bright LEDs installed on them for making advertising.

                                Advertising is much more profitable than AI, and it is easier to ask forgiveness than seek permission, especially since there is no one actually policing space.

                                sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • matthewchat@mstdn.socialM matthewchat@mstdn.social

                                  @sundogplanets I have a suspicion in the back of my head that a good portion of those million satellites will have bright LEDs installed on them for making advertising.

                                  Advertising is much more profitable than AI, and it is easier to ask forgiveness than seek permission, especially since there is no one actually policing space.

                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #42

                                  @MatthewChat Amazingly, the US actually already has a policy against space advertising. But other countries don't.

                                  matthewchat@mstdn.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                    kitkat_blue@mastodon.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                    kitkat_blue@mastodon.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                    kitkat_blue@mastodon.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #43

                                    @sundogplanets

                                    god that's fucking sad

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                      @MatthewChat Amazingly, the US actually already has a policy against space advertising. But other countries don't.

                                      matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      matthewchat@mstdn.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #44

                                      @sundogplanets when I was a child in the USA, there were laws against doctors, lawyers, and pharmaceutical companies advertising. A few well placed millions of dollars changed that.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                        Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                        Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                        Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                        Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                        This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                        ahimsa_pdx@disabled.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        ahimsa_pdx@disabled.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        ahimsa_pdx@disabled.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #45

                                        @sundogplanets
                                        This image should be on the front page of major news outlets. So many folks don't know about this problem!

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

                                          @guigsy @sundogplanets Why not do a long exposure instead? Aren't composite photos usually done to look at a specific object & using a special tripod to automatically move the camera & telescope to always point at it?

                                          Spinning the satellites would be a good way to make sure solar panels are regularly exposed to light if they're just mounted to the outside & not retractable, but then you can't aim the antenna. That's only good for those microsatellites people host BBSs on & communicate with using special equipment at very specific times.

                                          guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                          guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                          guigsy@mstdn.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #46

                                          @jackemled @sundogplanets Starlinks have propulsion. I'm pretty confident they are fully stabilised. They are actively able to avoid colliding (provided there aren't multiple fails). And if they were spinning, they'd need even bigger solar. And they operate at many kilowatts continuously. They aren't microsatellite scale.

                                          jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
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