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  3. Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

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  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

    gimulnautti@mastodon.greenG This user is from outside of this forum
    gimulnautti@mastodon.greenG This user is from outside of this forum
    gimulnautti@mastodon.green
    wrote last edited by
    #23

    @sundogplanets Don’t worry, he won’t make you pay for it with government subsidies!

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

      rycochet@furs.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
      rycochet@furs.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
      rycochet@furs.social
      wrote last edited by
      #24

      @sundogplanets When the first Starlink says went up, Elon stans swore he would use his wealth to fund space telescopes so ground based astronomy wouldn't even be necessary, astronomers would have free access to science funded by his philanthropic largesse... Instead massive cuts to science, attacks on all regulation, higher education, spotty kids using chat GPT to decide what science is and isn't 'woke' and NASA destined to become a SpaceX subsidiary.

      I cannot wait to see all the 'dooming' over atmospheric aluminium and the ozone layer coming true just to add another layer of awful to things. Unlike CFCs, he'll probably block any action being taken and promise ozone replenishment drones at some unspecified point in the future, to be released alongside darker satellites and Full Self Driving.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

        @sundogplanets @wraptile

        Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

        I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

        I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

        maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
        maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
        maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza
        wrote last edited by
        #25

        @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

        wraptile@fosstodon.orgW brokar@mastodon.socialB 2 Replies Last reply
        0
        • guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
          guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
          guigsy@mstdn.social
          wrote last edited by
          #26

          @Tofu_Golem @sundogplanets cooling is a problem. But not as big a deal as some make out. Scott Manley did a good video on the physics. For each square unit of solar panel, you need roughly half as much again in radiators if you want to keep silicon electronics at a reasonable temperature.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

            Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

            Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

            Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

            Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

            This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

            beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
            beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
            beet_keeper@digipres.club
            wrote last edited by
            #27

            @sundogplanets I absolutely believe that SpaceX should be held accountable and must deliver on their promises. As for long-exposure shots like this, is it demonstrable of a material impact on science? Or just on photography?

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

              @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

              wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
              wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
              wraptile@fosstodon.org
              wrote last edited by
              #28

              @maccruiskeen @Brokar @sundogplanets you mean using satellites as weapons? that seems a bit unlikely but clearly Ukraine has shown how powerful low-orbit internet is as utility for weapons so I meant more of that regard. For that, you do need a lot of them for good coverage and they have limited lifespan + need a large backup overhead.

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              • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

                @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

                brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                brokar@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #29

                @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets @wraptile

                I wouldn't want just kinetic stuff because the chance of the satellites breaking up and creating more debris would be too great. I'd rather go for "safe disposal" 😉 Throw a net over them and pull them down. Like you catch drones.

                wraptile@fosstodon.orgW 1 Reply Last reply
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                • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

                  @sundogplanets The satellites seem to be dark at some parts of their trails. Are they spinning‽ So their antennas just aren't aimed at Earth half of the time‽ I thought they couldn't be any stupider.

                  guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                  guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                  guigsy@mstdn.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #30

                  @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

                  jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • guigsy@mstdn.socialG guigsy@mstdn.social

                    @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

                    jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jackemled@furry.engineer
                    wrote last edited by
                    #31

                    @guigsy @sundogplanets That's how they reflect light like that, but I don't think it shouldn't be changing so quickly unless they're rotating incorrectly.

                    guigsy@mstdn.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

                      @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets @wraptile

                      I wouldn't want just kinetic stuff because the chance of the satellites breaking up and creating more debris would be too great. I'd rather go for "safe disposal" 😉 Throw a net over them and pull them down. Like you catch drones.

                      wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                      wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                      wraptile@fosstodon.org
                      wrote last edited by
                      #32

                      @Brokar @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets I think they are high enough to burn down on re-entry so don't let your dreams be dreams 🙌

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

                        @guigsy @sundogplanets That's how they reflect light like that, but I don't think it shouldn't be changing so quickly unless they're rotating incorrectly.

                        guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                        guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                        guigsy@mstdn.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #33

                        @jackemled @sundogplanets maybe it's a composite of lots of photos and there's a small gap between? They have to be very stable to work.

                        jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                          Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                          Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                          Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                          Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                          This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #34

                          Some questions that keep coming up:
                          There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                          Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                          The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                          ali@river.geek.nzA leeloo@c.imL rootwyrm@weird.autosR lp0_on_fire@social.linux.pizzaL elasticsoul@mastodon.socialE 5 Replies Last reply
                          0
                          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                            Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                            Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                            Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                            Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                            This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                            nini@oldbytes.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                            nini@oldbytes.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                            nini@oldbytes.space
                            wrote last edited by
                            #35

                            @sundogplanets And to think he's only one of these fools destroying the night sky.

                            Nobody wants to be Cassandra for a good few reasons, dealing with the aftermath being one.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                              Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                              Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                              Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                              Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                              This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                              F This user is from outside of this forum
                              F This user is from outside of this forum
                              fl0und3r@defcon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #36

                              @sundogplanets Mal: "you can't take the sky from me"

                              Elon: "that's where you're wrong, kiddo!"

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • guigsy@mstdn.socialG guigsy@mstdn.social

                                @jackemled @sundogplanets maybe it's a composite of lots of photos and there's a small gap between? They have to be very stable to work.

                                jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                jackemled@furry.engineer
                                wrote last edited by
                                #37

                                @guigsy @sundogplanets Why not do a long exposure instead? Aren't composite photos usually done to look at a specific object & using a special tripod to automatically move the camera & telescope to always point at it?

                                Spinning the satellites would be a good way to make sure solar panels are regularly exposed to light if they're just mounted to the outside & not retractable, but then you can't aim the antenna. That's only good for those microsatellites people host BBSs on & communicate with using special equipment at very specific times.

                                guigsy@mstdn.socialG michael_w_busch@mastodon.onlineM 2 Replies Last reply
                                0
                                • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                  Some questions that keep coming up:
                                  There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                                  Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                                  The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                                  ali@river.geek.nzA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  ali@river.geek.nzA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  ali@river.geek.nz
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #38

                                  @sundogplanets The man who stole the sky

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                    Some questions that keep coming up:
                                    There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together

                                    Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective)

                                    The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/

                                    leeloo@c.imL This user is from outside of this forum
                                    leeloo@c.imL This user is from outside of this forum
                                    leeloo@c.im
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #39

                                    @sundogplanets
                                    It will take hard proof for them to understand.

                                    And if the choice is between Kessler Syndrome and North Sahara being the new name for Lapland, I think I prefer Kessler Syndrome.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

                                      @sundogplanets @wraptile

                                      Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

                                      I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

                                      I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

                                      smiddi@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      smiddi@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      smiddi@chaos.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #40

                                      @Brokar

                                      All that shit burning in our atmosphere (over time), is another big problem.

                                      @sundogplanets @wraptile

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                        Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                        Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                        Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                        Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                        This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                        matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        matthewchat@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        matthewchat@mstdn.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #41

                                        @sundogplanets I have a suspicion in the back of my head that a good portion of those million satellites will have bright LEDs installed on them for making advertising.

                                        Advertising is much more profitable than AI, and it is easier to ask forgiveness than seek permission, especially since there is no one actually policing space.

                                        sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • matthewchat@mstdn.socialM matthewchat@mstdn.social

                                          @sundogplanets I have a suspicion in the back of my head that a good portion of those million satellites will have bright LEDs installed on them for making advertising.

                                          Advertising is much more profitable than AI, and it is easier to ask forgiveness than seek permission, especially since there is no one actually policing space.

                                          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          sundogplanets@mastodon.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #42

                                          @MatthewChat Amazingly, the US actually already has a policy against space advertising. But other countries don't.

                                          matthewchat@mstdn.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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