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  3. IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code.

IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code.

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  • worik@mastodon.socialW worik@mastodon.social

    @timbray

    > COBOL systems are so old that any viable alternative becomes immediately attractive.

    A tech journalist said that. We're doomed, if we cannot build IT infrastructure that can last for decades.

    Good news is we can.

    Bad news is there is more profit in new crap than in maintaining the existing infrastructure

    Software, generally, socks mostly for that reason. And they are laying off all the computer programmers...

    zbrown@floss.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
    zbrown@floss.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
    zbrown@floss.social
    wrote last edited by
    #19

    @worik @timbray there are plenty of real problems with COBOL, including how increasingly unviable it has become to maintain these code bases.

    The problem with the statement is the implication if not assertion that ‘AI’ is ‘a viable alternative’.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • R relay@relay.mycrowd.ca shared this topic
    • michaelormsby@mastodon.artM michaelormsby@mastodon.art

      @timbray I wonder if there are deeper issues not mentioned in the article? I have heard anecdotally that one of the problems of the COBOL culture is that the practitioners are literally dying off without fresh talent replacing them. Which leaves billions of lines of rock solid but terribly obscure and hard-to-maintain COBOL code. Not to mention the proprietary nature of the underlying hardware architecture.

      seindal@mastodon.unoS This user is from outside of this forum
      seindal@mastodon.unoS This user is from outside of this forum
      seindal@mastodon.uno
      wrote last edited by
      #20

      @michaelormsby @timbray

      The main probe with Cobol is that it takes at least three years just to get into Environment Division.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • zbrown@floss.socialZ zbrown@floss.social

        @worik @timbray there are plenty of real problems with COBOL, including how increasingly unviable it has become to maintain these code bases.

        The problem with the statement is the implication if not assertion that ‘AI’ is ‘a viable alternative’.

        M This user is from outside of this forum
        M This user is from outside of this forum
        mike805@noc.social
        wrote last edited by
        #21

        @zbrown @worik @timbray Last time they laid off all the COBOL programmers, Y2K happened and they had to go hat in hand to the retired people. A lot of older programmers got a serious upgrade to their retirement.

        The fact something lasted decades is good, not bad. If software is going to be infrastructure then it needs to be built like infrastructure.

        What are the AI vibe coders going to do when they have to maintain a code base and the AI model that "wrote" it is discontinued? 1/2

        M 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • M mike805@noc.social

          @zbrown @worik @timbray Last time they laid off all the COBOL programmers, Y2K happened and they had to go hat in hand to the retired people. A lot of older programmers got a serious upgrade to their retirement.

          The fact something lasted decades is good, not bad. If software is going to be infrastructure then it needs to be built like infrastructure.

          What are the AI vibe coders going to do when they have to maintain a code base and the AI model that "wrote" it is discontinued? 1/2

          M This user is from outside of this forum
          M This user is from outside of this forum
          mike805@noc.social
          wrote last edited by
          #22

          @zbrown @worik @timbray Everyone is worried about programmers losing their jobs to AI. From what I am seeing (and I support both kinds of code) there is going to be lots of work for humans fixing what the AIs broke.

          One of the basic problems with this technological era is that production is automated and efficient. Repair is still a medieval craft. Look at current generation cars which are nearly unfixable if they get in an accident. AI is making programming like making cars. 2/2

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • nlowell@zirk.usN nlowell@zirk.us

            @timbray

            What could possibly go wrong.

            I worked on those COBOL systems for much of my programming career. Made good living maintaining 60s and 70s spaghetti code (literally. the comments were all in Italian. I'm not kidding).

            Having AI guessing what the code might look like should give chills to everybody who uses money.

            andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocksA This user is from outside of this forum
            andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocksA This user is from outside of this forum
            andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocks
            wrote last edited by
            #23

            @nlowell @FknHannu @timbray What I want to know is how these models could possibly have been trained on enough COBOL to be even slightly correct. Are there mountains of public repos of COBOL I’m not aware of?

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

              IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

              Link Preview Image
              IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

              Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

              favicon

              (www.techbuzz.ai)

              deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffeeD This user is from outside of this forum
              deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffeeD This user is from outside of this forum
              deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffee
              wrote last edited by
              #24

              @timbray Yes. Let them.

              Do. It.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                Link Preview Image
                IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                favicon

                (www.techbuzz.ai)

                dckc@social.coopD This user is from outside of this forum
                dckc@social.coopD This user is from outside of this forum
                dckc@social.coop
                wrote last edited by
                #25

                @timbray how many COBOL codebases have good test suites? I suspect none.

                How well do LLMs do without tests / types / guardrails?

                Best practice AFAIK is to run in parallel with prod. I guess they could try that, but it would take like a monthly billing cycle or a quarter to test one change.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                  IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                  Link Preview Image
                  IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                  Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                  favicon

                  (www.techbuzz.ai)

                  mainframed767@infosec.exchangeM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mainframed767@infosec.exchangeM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mainframed767@infosec.exchange
                  wrote last edited by
                  #26

                  @timbray finally ending the shackles of evil big COBOL

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • ibboard@hachyderm.ioI ibboard@hachyderm.io

                    @timbray "If Anthropic's Claude or other large language models can understand, maintain, modernize, or even replace COBOL systems…"

                    That "If" is doing a LOT of heavy lifting!

                    capeta@ursal.zoneC This user is from outside of this forum
                    capeta@ursal.zoneC This user is from outside of this forum
                    capeta@ursal.zone
                    wrote last edited by
                    #27

                    @ibboard @timbray Oh so that's what people meant when they said Artificial Intelligence is just a bunch of IF statements.

                    if it's able to """"""understand""""" the code
                    if it's able to maintain it
                    if it's able to modernize it
                    if it's able to replace it
                    if a bunch of other stuff it's not able to do
                    ...
                    and most important of all

                    if my grandma had wheels, she would've been a bike.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • scruss@xoxo.zoneS scruss@xoxo.zone

                      @brooke @timbray
                      s/stock market/rich people's yacht money/g was never more true

                      changemewtf@mastodon.onlineC This user is from outside of this forum
                      changemewtf@mastodon.onlineC This user is from outside of this forum
                      changemewtf@mastodon.online
                      wrote last edited by
                      #28

                      @scruss @brooke @timbray

                      E.C.O.N.O.M.Y. — Estimated Count of Newly-Ordered Multimillionaire Yachts

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                        IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                        Link Preview Image
                        IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                        Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                        favicon

                        (www.techbuzz.ai)

                        cratermoon@zirk.usC This user is from outside of this forum
                        cratermoon@zirk.usC This user is from outside of this forum
                        cratermoon@zirk.us
                        wrote last edited by
                        #29

                        @timbray wtaf

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                          IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                          Link Preview Image
                          IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                          Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                          favicon

                          (www.techbuzz.ai)

                          helge@mas.toH This user is from outside of this forum
                          helge@mas.toH This user is from outside of this forum
                          helge@mas.to
                          wrote last edited by
                          #30

                          @timbray I wonder how much of this is "now they are going to have to divert resources to deal with this nonsense" instead of it being a realistic competitor.

                          Kinda like, this DDoS of management attack will degrade their performance.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • brooke@bikeshed.vibber.netB brooke@bikeshed.vibber.net

                            @timbray it's cool how facts don't matter in the stock market. it's just vibe finance

                            aristot73@infosec.exchangeA This user is from outside of this forum
                            aristot73@infosec.exchangeA This user is from outside of this forum
                            aristot73@infosec.exchange
                            wrote last edited by
                            #31

                            @brooke @timbray
                            vibe trading vs vibe coding 1-0

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                              IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                              Link Preview Image
                              IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                              Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                              favicon

                              (www.techbuzz.ai)

                              jc0f0116@infosec.exchangeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                              jc0f0116@infosec.exchangeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                              jc0f0116@infosec.exchange
                              wrote last edited by
                              #32

                              @timbray webdev vibecoders and llm industry have one thing in common: they're both at the very end of a massively complex and fragile network of interdependant components/processes, and have seemingly no understanding of its complexity. that's how you get "we're just going to build a million datacenters in a year and then the agi will just rewrite everything in rust, simple🚀 "

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • R relay@relay.infosec.exchange shared this topic
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