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  3. IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code.

IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code.

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  • zbrown@floss.socialZ zbrown@floss.social

    @worik @timbray there are plenty of real problems with COBOL, including how increasingly unviable it has become to maintain these code bases.

    The problem with the statement is the implication if not assertion that ‘AI’ is ‘a viable alternative’.

    M This user is from outside of this forum
    M This user is from outside of this forum
    mike805@noc.social
    wrote last edited by
    #21

    @zbrown @worik @timbray Last time they laid off all the COBOL programmers, Y2K happened and they had to go hat in hand to the retired people. A lot of older programmers got a serious upgrade to their retirement.

    The fact something lasted decades is good, not bad. If software is going to be infrastructure then it needs to be built like infrastructure.

    What are the AI vibe coders going to do when they have to maintain a code base and the AI model that "wrote" it is discontinued? 1/2

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • M mike805@noc.social

      @zbrown @worik @timbray Last time they laid off all the COBOL programmers, Y2K happened and they had to go hat in hand to the retired people. A lot of older programmers got a serious upgrade to their retirement.

      The fact something lasted decades is good, not bad. If software is going to be infrastructure then it needs to be built like infrastructure.

      What are the AI vibe coders going to do when they have to maintain a code base and the AI model that "wrote" it is discontinued? 1/2

      M This user is from outside of this forum
      M This user is from outside of this forum
      mike805@noc.social
      wrote last edited by
      #22

      @zbrown @worik @timbray Everyone is worried about programmers losing their jobs to AI. From what I am seeing (and I support both kinds of code) there is going to be lots of work for humans fixing what the AIs broke.

      One of the basic problems with this technological era is that production is automated and efficient. Repair is still a medieval craft. Look at current generation cars which are nearly unfixable if they get in an accident. AI is making programming like making cars. 2/2

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • nlowell@zirk.usN nlowell@zirk.us

        @timbray

        What could possibly go wrong.

        I worked on those COBOL systems for much of my programming career. Made good living maintaining 60s and 70s spaghetti code (literally. the comments were all in Italian. I'm not kidding).

        Having AI guessing what the code might look like should give chills to everybody who uses money.

        andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocksA This user is from outside of this forum
        andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocksA This user is from outside of this forum
        andymoose@fedi.aiga.rocks
        wrote last edited by
        #23

        @nlowell @FknHannu @timbray What I want to know is how these models could possibly have been trained on enough COBOL to be even slightly correct. Are there mountains of public repos of COBOL I’m not aware of?

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

          IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

          Link Preview Image
          IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

          Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

          favicon

          (www.techbuzz.ai)

          deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffeeD This user is from outside of this forum
          deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffeeD This user is from outside of this forum
          deadinside@but.still.drinkin.coffee
          wrote last edited by
          #24

          @timbray Yes. Let them.

          Do. It.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

            IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

            Link Preview Image
            IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

            Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

            favicon

            (www.techbuzz.ai)

            dckc@social.coopD This user is from outside of this forum
            dckc@social.coopD This user is from outside of this forum
            dckc@social.coop
            wrote last edited by
            #25

            @timbray how many COBOL codebases have good test suites? I suspect none.

            How well do LLMs do without tests / types / guardrails?

            Best practice AFAIK is to run in parallel with prod. I guess they could try that, but it would take like a monthly billing cycle or a quarter to test one change.

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

              IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

              Link Preview Image
              IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

              Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

              favicon

              (www.techbuzz.ai)

              mainframed767@infosec.exchangeM This user is from outside of this forum
              mainframed767@infosec.exchangeM This user is from outside of this forum
              mainframed767@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #26

              @timbray finally ending the shackles of evil big COBOL

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • ibboard@hachyderm.ioI ibboard@hachyderm.io

                @timbray "If Anthropic's Claude or other large language models can understand, maintain, modernize, or even replace COBOL systems…"

                That "If" is doing a LOT of heavy lifting!

                capeta@ursal.zoneC This user is from outside of this forum
                capeta@ursal.zoneC This user is from outside of this forum
                capeta@ursal.zone
                wrote last edited by
                #27

                @ibboard @timbray Oh so that's what people meant when they said Artificial Intelligence is just a bunch of IF statements.

                if it's able to """"""understand""""" the code
                if it's able to maintain it
                if it's able to modernize it
                if it's able to replace it
                if a bunch of other stuff it's not able to do
                ...
                and most important of all

                if my grandma had wheels, she would've been a bike.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • scruss@xoxo.zoneS scruss@xoxo.zone

                  @brooke @timbray
                  s/stock market/rich people's yacht money/g was never more true

                  changemewtf@mastodon.onlineC This user is from outside of this forum
                  changemewtf@mastodon.onlineC This user is from outside of this forum
                  changemewtf@mastodon.online
                  wrote last edited by
                  #28

                  @scruss @brooke @timbray

                  E.C.O.N.O.M.Y. — Estimated Count of Newly-Ordered Multimillionaire Yachts

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                  • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                    IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                    Link Preview Image
                    IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                    Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                    favicon

                    (www.techbuzz.ai)

                    cratermoon@zirk.usC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cratermoon@zirk.usC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cratermoon@zirk.us
                    wrote last edited by
                    #29

                    @timbray wtaf

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                      IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                      Link Preview Image
                      IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                      Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                      favicon

                      (www.techbuzz.ai)

                      helge@mas.toH This user is from outside of this forum
                      helge@mas.toH This user is from outside of this forum
                      helge@mas.to
                      wrote last edited by
                      #30

                      @timbray I wonder how much of this is "now they are going to have to divert resources to deal with this nonsense" instead of it being a realistic competitor.

                      Kinda like, this DDoS of management attack will degrade their performance.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • brooke@bikeshed.vibber.netB brooke@bikeshed.vibber.net

                        @timbray it's cool how facts don't matter in the stock market. it's just vibe finance

                        aristot73@infosec.exchangeA This user is from outside of this forum
                        aristot73@infosec.exchangeA This user is from outside of this forum
                        aristot73@infosec.exchange
                        wrote last edited by
                        #31

                        @brooke @timbray
                        vibe trading vs vibe coding 1-0

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • timbray@cosocial.caT timbray@cosocial.ca

                          IBM crashes because we’re gonna YOLO a replacement for banking and credit-card back-ends, replacing billions of lines of COBOL with vibe code. Uh…

                          Link Preview Image
                          IBM Crashes 11% as Anthropic Threatens COBOL Empire

                          Anthropic's AI disrupts IBM's mainframe business, sending shares down 11% on threat

                          favicon

                          (www.techbuzz.ai)

                          jc0f0116@infosec.exchangeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jc0f0116@infosec.exchangeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jc0f0116@infosec.exchange
                          wrote last edited by
                          #32

                          @timbray webdev vibecoders and llm industry have one thing in common: they're both at the very end of a massively complex and fragile network of interdependant components/processes, and have seemingly no understanding of its complexity. that's how you get "we're just going to build a million datacenters in a year and then the agi will just rewrite everything in rust, simple🚀 "

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