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  3. > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

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  • iank@hostux.socialI iank@hostux.social

    @cwebber I suspect there is something important that is misleading about that graph, and I don't know quite what it is, but here are clues. A "data center" in practical / technical terms, is not defined by the computers inside it, but by a building (real estate), and the power & network connected to it. I walk through a floor of a data center in the Boston area every few weeks, for the past 5 years. I see maybe 200 racks, and room for 200 more. A large empty room, extremely little change. (1/2)

    iank@hostux.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
    iank@hostux.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
    iank@hostux.social
    wrote last edited by
    #53

    @cwebber The company, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Tower , has 27 data centers, 10 billion in revenue, it is not a small player, and its revenue and stock price have been flat over the past few years. So, I have to wonder how much of this kind of this stuff is at the same level of reporting as science reporting constantly telling us about the breakthrough that is about to cure cancer.

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    • darkuncle@infosec.exchangeD darkuncle@infosec.exchange

      @cwebber wish we had LHC on that graph

      marcel@waldvogel.familyM This user is from outside of this forum
      marcel@waldvogel.familyM This user is from outside of this forum
      marcel@waldvogel.family
      wrote last edited by
      #54

      @darkuncle @cwebber
      It's a measly 4 or 5 billion USD (4.3*10⁹ CHF)
      https://home.cern/resources/faqs/facts-and-figures-about-lhc

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

        > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

        Link Preview Image

        favicon

        X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

        this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

        bms48@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        bms48@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        bms48@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #55

        @cwebber OOPSIE!

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

          > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

          Link Preview Image

          favicon

          X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

          this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

          mhartle@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
          mhartle@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
          mhartle@mastodon.online
          wrote last edited by
          #56

          @cwebber Contrast this with current revenue generated by AI providers running on top of these and future necessary revenue these providers would need to generate during the lifetime of these data centers for a positive ROI.

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          • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

            @buermann

            That's my point. None of those programs are private. However, the data centers _are_. It is unusual when the spending of private corporations outstrips that of their own government, on infrastructure.

            Which is why GDP seems a bad fit, here. Because it uses the investments by private corps as part of its calculation, but doesn't fully cover government spending in the same period.

            buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
            buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
            buermann@mastodon.social
            wrote last edited by
            #57

            @shaknais

            Government spending is included in GDP. Public and private investment recruit from the same pool of capital.

            shaknais@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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            • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

              > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

              Link Preview Image

              favicon

              X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

              this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

              di4na@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
              di4na@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
              di4na@hachyderm.io
              wrote last edited by
              #58

              @cwebber
              is this spending or announced future spendings?

              nwin@mastodon.ieN 1 Reply Last reply
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              • di4na@hachyderm.ioD di4na@hachyderm.io

                @cwebber
                is this spending or announced future spendings?

                nwin@mastodon.ieN This user is from outside of this forum
                nwin@mastodon.ieN This user is from outside of this forum
                nwin@mastodon.ie
                wrote last edited by
                #59

                @Di4na @cwebber I think it’s spending as my understanding is that the announced figure is ~$5t by 2030.

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                • buermann@mastodon.socialB buermann@mastodon.social

                  @shaknais

                  Government spending is included in GDP. Public and private investment recruit from the same pool of capital.

                  shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  shaknais@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #60

                  @buermann

                  Government spending goes into debt, not profits. Governments usually go into deficit on purpose. The investment is not visible, in the same way, in the same timeframe.

                  buermann@mastodon.socialB 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • darkuncle@infosec.exchangeD darkuncle@infosec.exchange

                    @cwebber wish we had LHC on that graph

                    thias@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                    thias@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                    thias@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #61

                    @darkuncle @cwebber the LHC was not a US project, and cost only between 4.7 and 6.5 B. That’s a most a third of what Facebook paid for WhatsApp. Probably less than a week of Iran war.

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                    • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

                      @buermann

                      Government spending goes into debt, not profits. Governments usually go into deficit on purpose. The investment is not visible, in the same way, in the same timeframe.

                      buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                      buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                      buermann@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #62

                      @shaknais

                      Do you think that the private sector does not finance its capital spending with debt, or doesn't do it on purpose, or something? We were at one point comparing the scale of capital flows into infrastructure projects, the structure of the financing is irrelevant.

                      reuters.com

                      favicon

                      (www.reuters.com)

                      shaknais@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                        > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                        Link Preview Image

                        favicon

                        X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                        this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                        stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                        stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                        stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.place
                        wrote last edited by
                        #63

                        @cwebber

                        The counter argument is that computational intelligence grows our ability to do things (grows the economy) to keep paying for it.

                        The first railroads, power lines, and cell phones seemed like excessively expensive boondoggles in the beginning.

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                        • buermann@mastodon.socialB buermann@mastodon.social

                          @shaknais

                          Do you think that the private sector does not finance its capital spending with debt, or doesn't do it on purpose, or something? We were at one point comparing the scale of capital flows into infrastructure projects, the structure of the financing is irrelevant.

                          reuters.com

                          favicon

                          (www.reuters.com)

                          shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          shaknais@mastodon.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #64

                          @buermann

                          If there's no difference, why do we even use the debt-to-GDP ratio for measuring governments at all, then?

                          buermann@mastodon.socialB 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                            > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                            Link Preview Image

                            favicon

                            X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                            this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                            dtabb73@mastodon.africaD This user is from outside of this forum
                            dtabb73@mastodon.africaD This user is from outside of this forum
                            dtabb73@mastodon.africa
                            wrote last edited by
                            #65

                            @cwebber
                            I found a handy website (https://pcpartpicker.com/trends/price/memory/#ram.ddr5.4800.2x16384) to track the price of various types of RAM. I use DDR5-4800 2x16GB in my recently-purchased used laptop. The chart suggests this pair of DIMMs increased in cost by four-fold over a period of about six months!
                            #bioinformatics #DenyAI

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                            • aeva@mastodon.gamedev.placeA aeva@mastodon.gamedev.place

                              @cwebber imagine all the things that could have been done with that money if it was spent on stuff that benefited the general public instead

                              graydon@canada.masto.hostG This user is from outside of this forum
                              graydon@canada.masto.hostG This user is from outside of this forum
                              graydon@canada.masto.host
                              wrote last edited by
                              #66

                              @aeva I have no idea if you can usefully search the term, but "capital strike".

                              This is the idea that holders of capital/capital as a social entity asserts power not by not spending (it's capital, it can't not be spent, that's not how it works) but by spending on harmful things.

                              And once you're fueling the whole thing off habitability loss/certain genocide/upping the risk of human extinction, a little social collapse hardly seems notable.

                              @cwebber

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                              • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                                > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                                Link Preview Image

                                favicon

                                X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                                this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                                dacmot@sunny.gardenD This user is from outside of this forum
                                dacmot@sunny.gardenD This user is from outside of this forum
                                dacmot@sunny.garden
                                wrote last edited by
                                #67

                                @cwebber and all we have to show for this insane waste of money is slop, lies and technical debt. Yet somehow the decision makers keep thinking the problem is that we're not spending enough money.

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                                • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

                                  @buermann

                                  If there's no difference, why do we even use the debt-to-GDP ratio for measuring governments at all, then?

                                  buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  buermann@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #68

                                  @shaknais

                                  Debt ratios indicate the sustainability of a budget under different interest rate scenarios, whether a household or a corporate conglomerate or national government, whether the denominator is income or assets or an aggregate estimate of total production. E.g. to get a read on the sustainability of the present federal budget under existing interest rate conditions you would look up net interest payments as a share of GDP:

                                  Link Preview Image
                                  Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product

                                  Graph and download economic data for Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (FYOIGDA188S) from 1940 to 2025 about outlays, federal, percent, interest, GDP, and USA.

                                  favicon

                                  (fred.stlouisfed.org)

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                                  • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                                    > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                                    Link Preview Image

                                    favicon

                                    X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                                    this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                                    sandorspruit@mastodon.nlS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sandorspruit@mastodon.nlS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sandorspruit@mastodon.nl
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #69

                                    @cwebber @photovince even if you correct for inflation it still does not make any sense

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