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  3. > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

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  • darkuncle@infosec.exchangeD darkuncle@infosec.exchange

    @cwebber wish we had LHC on that graph

    marcel@waldvogel.familyM This user is from outside of this forum
    marcel@waldvogel.familyM This user is from outside of this forum
    marcel@waldvogel.family
    wrote last edited by
    #54

    @darkuncle @cwebber
    It's a measly 4 or 5 billion USD (4.3*10⁹ CHF)
    https://home.cern/resources/faqs/facts-and-figures-about-lhc

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    • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

      > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

      Link Preview Image

      favicon

      X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

      this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

      bms48@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
      bms48@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
      bms48@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #55

      @cwebber OOPSIE!

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

        > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

        Link Preview Image

        favicon

        X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

        this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

        mhartle@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
        mhartle@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
        mhartle@mastodon.online
        wrote last edited by
        #56

        @cwebber Contrast this with current revenue generated by AI providers running on top of these and future necessary revenue these providers would need to generate during the lifetime of these data centers for a positive ROI.

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        • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

          @buermann

          That's my point. None of those programs are private. However, the data centers _are_. It is unusual when the spending of private corporations outstrips that of their own government, on infrastructure.

          Which is why GDP seems a bad fit, here. Because it uses the investments by private corps as part of its calculation, but doesn't fully cover government spending in the same period.

          buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
          buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
          buermann@mastodon.social
          wrote last edited by
          #57

          @shaknais

          Government spending is included in GDP. Public and private investment recruit from the same pool of capital.

          shaknais@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

            > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

            Link Preview Image

            favicon

            X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

            this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

            di4na@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
            di4na@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
            di4na@hachyderm.io
            wrote last edited by
            #58

            @cwebber
            is this spending or announced future spendings?

            nwin@mastodon.ieN 1 Reply Last reply
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            • di4na@hachyderm.ioD di4na@hachyderm.io

              @cwebber
              is this spending or announced future spendings?

              nwin@mastodon.ieN This user is from outside of this forum
              nwin@mastodon.ieN This user is from outside of this forum
              nwin@mastodon.ie
              wrote last edited by
              #59

              @Di4na @cwebber I think it’s spending as my understanding is that the announced figure is ~$5t by 2030.

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              • buermann@mastodon.socialB buermann@mastodon.social

                @shaknais

                Government spending is included in GDP. Public and private investment recruit from the same pool of capital.

                shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                shaknais@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #60

                @buermann

                Government spending goes into debt, not profits. Governments usually go into deficit on purpose. The investment is not visible, in the same way, in the same timeframe.

                buermann@mastodon.socialB 1 Reply Last reply
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                • darkuncle@infosec.exchangeD darkuncle@infosec.exchange

                  @cwebber wish we had LHC on that graph

                  thias@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                  thias@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                  thias@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #61

                  @darkuncle @cwebber the LHC was not a US project, and cost only between 4.7 and 6.5 B. That’s a most a third of what Facebook paid for WhatsApp. Probably less than a week of Iran war.

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                  • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

                    @buermann

                    Government spending goes into debt, not profits. Governments usually go into deficit on purpose. The investment is not visible, in the same way, in the same timeframe.

                    buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                    buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                    buermann@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #62

                    @shaknais

                    Do you think that the private sector does not finance its capital spending with debt, or doesn't do it on purpose, or something? We were at one point comparing the scale of capital flows into infrastructure projects, the structure of the financing is irrelevant.

                    reuters.com

                    favicon

                    (www.reuters.com)

                    shaknais@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                      > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                      Link Preview Image

                      favicon

                      X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                      this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                      stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                      stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                      stompyrobot@mastodon.gamedev.place
                      wrote last edited by
                      #63

                      @cwebber

                      The counter argument is that computational intelligence grows our ability to do things (grows the economy) to keep paying for it.

                      The first railroads, power lines, and cell phones seemed like excessively expensive boondoggles in the beginning.

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                      • buermann@mastodon.socialB buermann@mastodon.social

                        @shaknais

                        Do you think that the private sector does not finance its capital spending with debt, or doesn't do it on purpose, or something? We were at one point comparing the scale of capital flows into infrastructure projects, the structure of the financing is irrelevant.

                        reuters.com

                        favicon

                        (www.reuters.com)

                        shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                        shaknais@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                        shaknais@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #64

                        @buermann

                        If there's no difference, why do we even use the debt-to-GDP ratio for measuring governments at all, then?

                        buermann@mastodon.socialB 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                          > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                          Link Preview Image

                          favicon

                          X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                          this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                          dtabb73@mastodon.africaD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dtabb73@mastodon.africaD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dtabb73@mastodon.africa
                          wrote last edited by
                          #65

                          @cwebber
                          I found a handy website (https://pcpartpicker.com/trends/price/memory/#ram.ddr5.4800.2x16384) to track the price of various types of RAM. I use DDR5-4800 2x16GB in my recently-purchased used laptop. The chart suggests this pair of DIMMs increased in cost by four-fold over a period of about six months!
                          #bioinformatics #DenyAI

                          Link Preview Image
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                          • aeva@mastodon.gamedev.placeA aeva@mastodon.gamedev.place

                            @cwebber imagine all the things that could have been done with that money if it was spent on stuff that benefited the general public instead

                            graydon@canada.masto.hostG This user is from outside of this forum
                            graydon@canada.masto.hostG This user is from outside of this forum
                            graydon@canada.masto.host
                            wrote last edited by
                            #66

                            @aeva I have no idea if you can usefully search the term, but "capital strike".

                            This is the idea that holders of capital/capital as a social entity asserts power not by not spending (it's capital, it can't not be spent, that's not how it works) but by spending on harmful things.

                            And once you're fueling the whole thing off habitability loss/certain genocide/upping the risk of human extinction, a little social collapse hardly seems notable.

                            @cwebber

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                            • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                              > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                              Link Preview Image

                              favicon

                              X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                              this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                              dacmot@sunny.gardenD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dacmot@sunny.gardenD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dacmot@sunny.garden
                              wrote last edited by
                              #67

                              @cwebber and all we have to show for this insane waste of money is slop, lies and technical debt. Yet somehow the decision makers keep thinking the problem is that we're not spending enough money.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • shaknais@mastodon.socialS shaknais@mastodon.social

                                @buermann

                                If there's no difference, why do we even use the debt-to-GDP ratio for measuring governments at all, then?

                                buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                buermann@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                buermann@mastodon.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #68

                                @shaknais

                                Debt ratios indicate the sustainability of a budget under different interest rate scenarios, whether a household or a corporate conglomerate or national government, whether the denominator is income or assets or an aggregate estimate of total production. E.g. to get a read on the sustainability of the present federal budget under existing interest rate conditions you would look up net interest payments as a share of GDP:

                                Link Preview Image
                                Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product

                                Graph and download economic data for Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (FYOIGDA188S) from 1940 to 2025 about outlays, federal, percent, interest, GDP, and USA.

                                favicon

                                (fred.stlouisfed.org)

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                                • cwebber@social.coopC cwebber@social.coop

                                  > The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects

                                  Link Preview Image

                                  favicon

                                  X (formerly Twitter) (x.com)

                                  this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?

                                  sandorspruit@mastodon.nlS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sandorspruit@mastodon.nlS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sandorspruit@mastodon.nl
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #69

                                  @cwebber @photovince even if you correct for inflation it still does not make any sense

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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