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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

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  • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

    Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

    Nasdaq rewrote its #index inclusion rules to accommodate #SpaceX’s mega-IPO, implementing a "Fast Entry" provision that allows the company to join the Nasdaq-100 index just 15 trading days after its initial public offering, down from the standard three-month seasoning period.

    They also eliminated the minimum float requirement of 20% available public shares and instead stocks with less than 20% of shares publicly traded, Nasdaq applies a 3x multiplier to the free-float for index weighting purposes, artificially inflating low-float giants like SpaceX in passive funds.

    Ok, but in English? #SpaceX, #OpenAI and #Anthropic have just figured out a scam to force every passive #IRA, #401k, and index fund to buy their stock before pricing evaluation.

    They’ve figured out how to steal your #retirement.

    #AI #LLM #Scam #guillotines #YouWillOwnNothing

    Link Preview Image
    What the SpaceX IPO means for markets

    SpaceX's IPO filing has arrived. Elon Musk's rocket company is set to reshape the market when it goes public, with impacts at the index level and beyond.

    favicon

    Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

    sibshops@mastodon.onlineS This user is from outside of this forum
    sibshops@mastodon.onlineS This user is from outside of this forum
    sibshops@mastodon.online
    wrote last edited by
    #50

    @MissConstrue Time to dump nasdaq index funds, then.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • kevinashworth@mastodon.socialK kevinashworth@mastodon.social

      @MissConstrue @shredder7579
      Ah, I remember back before, to a simpler time when I never understood why the French used those guillotines.

      saanichguy@mstdn.caS This user is from outside of this forum
      saanichguy@mstdn.caS This user is from outside of this forum
      saanichguy@mstdn.ca
      wrote last edited by
      #51

      @MissConstrue @shredder7579 @kevinashworth #frenchrevolution

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

        @troy_frizzell Unfortunately, thanks to the Reaganites and Republicans, EVERYBODY who has a retirement plan in the United States is funding this private equity grab.

        The GOP and the neoliberals masquerading as the Left gave us 401ks and IRAs. Both of which are deeply, irretrievably, connected to the the financial markets.

        Every teacher, firefighter, union worker...they've all paid into this slush fund the billionaires are about to raid. The "market" isn't just rich people. They're the ones who make the most money because they have the most resources and inside information, but so many Americans, so many have their future hopes of survival riding on this bubbling, insane, tulip-crazed, stock market.

        troy_frizzell@mstdn.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
        troy_frizzell@mstdn.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
        troy_frizzell@mstdn.social
        wrote last edited by
        #52

        @MissConstrue

        I’m 64, just about to retire and absolutely tied to these creepy weirdos.

        I don’t care.

        Burn it down.

        I’ll take the hit. We have to end these leeches that are wrecking our culture.

        I would happily give up my comfort to end that plague.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

          @Beggarmidas

          Yes...and no. employees rarely have that kind of autonomy about their 401ks. Also, the laws around index funds are tricky, and excluding a single stock might run into regulatory issues.

          It's all prospectus. If the fund "tracks an index", then it has to buy in proportional percentages everything in that index. And with companies like amazon and alphabet overweight, it means indexes hold more.

          These IPOS are coming in bigger than anything has ever come in before, including the Saudi Aramco IPO...and Aramco actually produces profit.

          So, short answer; any prospectus which covers broad index cannot avoid a singular stock, as I understand it.

          I am not an expert.

          Just a moment...

          favicon

          (uslawexplained.com)

          beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
          beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
          beggarmidas@mastodon.social
          wrote last edited by
          #53

          @MissConstrue Eliminate all investment? Perhaps not. But we CAN firewall a majority of it. It would require employees broadly discussing concerns with employers in small & medium enterprise about risky investments that broadly impact ALL of them, prompting moves to ESGs. For bigger setups weaponization of The Intransigent Minority Rule by having enough core employees & management sticking to their guns & up HR's ass with irritating frequency.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

            Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

            Nasdaq rewrote its #index inclusion rules to accommodate #SpaceX’s mega-IPO, implementing a "Fast Entry" provision that allows the company to join the Nasdaq-100 index just 15 trading days after its initial public offering, down from the standard three-month seasoning period.

            They also eliminated the minimum float requirement of 20% available public shares and instead stocks with less than 20% of shares publicly traded, Nasdaq applies a 3x multiplier to the free-float for index weighting purposes, artificially inflating low-float giants like SpaceX in passive funds.

            Ok, but in English? #SpaceX, #OpenAI and #Anthropic have just figured out a scam to force every passive #IRA, #401k, and index fund to buy their stock before pricing evaluation.

            They’ve figured out how to steal your #retirement.

            #AI #LLM #Scam #guillotines #YouWillOwnNothing

            Link Preview Image
            What the SpaceX IPO means for markets

            SpaceX's IPO filing has arrived. Elon Musk's rocket company is set to reshape the market when it goes public, with impacts at the index level and beyond.

            favicon

            Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

            decapitae@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
            decapitae@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
            decapitae@mastodon.social
            wrote last edited by
            #54

            @MissConstrue Dump

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

              @Beggarmidas

              Yes...and no. employees rarely have that kind of autonomy about their 401ks. Also, the laws around index funds are tricky, and excluding a single stock might run into regulatory issues.

              It's all prospectus. If the fund "tracks an index", then it has to buy in proportional percentages everything in that index. And with companies like amazon and alphabet overweight, it means indexes hold more.

              These IPOS are coming in bigger than anything has ever come in before, including the Saudi Aramco IPO...and Aramco actually produces profit.

              So, short answer; any prospectus which covers broad index cannot avoid a singular stock, as I understand it.

              I am not an expert.

              Just a moment...

              favicon

              (uslawexplained.com)

              beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
              beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
              beggarmidas@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #55

              @MissConstrue You could also start a petition drive asking the hedge funds to include an investment spread that avoids or only lightly invests in 'high risk' companies forcing premature/irrational market IPOs inclusion. Or hell, just call a spade a spade. Say "X Y Z are forcing high risk investment into medium & lower risk portfolio. We want an index option that specifically discludes companies X Y Z from the index. Get enough signatures on that, hedge fund managers will sit up & take notice

              missconstrue@mefi.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                @Beggarmidas

                Yes...and no. employees rarely have that kind of autonomy about their 401ks. Also, the laws around index funds are tricky, and excluding a single stock might run into regulatory issues.

                It's all prospectus. If the fund "tracks an index", then it has to buy in proportional percentages everything in that index. And with companies like amazon and alphabet overweight, it means indexes hold more.

                These IPOS are coming in bigger than anything has ever come in before, including the Saudi Aramco IPO...and Aramco actually produces profit.

                So, short answer; any prospectus which covers broad index cannot avoid a singular stock, as I understand it.

                I am not an expert.

                Just a moment...

                favicon

                (uslawexplained.com)

                beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                beggarmidas@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #56

                @MissConstrue One final thought on possible tactical approaches. For hundreds if not thousands of years smaller players could sometimes leverage the unlimited ego and ambition of larger players against each other. The techbros believe they are the gods of the market right now. That however, to Hedge Fund managers could be seen as encroachment on their union turf. Bringing big egos into conflict can create a lot of wiggle room for the rest of us.
                ...Just some thoughts. Better than doing NOTHING.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                  @iamnotU The churn is gonna look like feeding time at the gator tank.

                  T This user is from outside of this forum
                  T This user is from outside of this forum
                  tribactam@social.vivaldi.net
                  wrote last edited by
                  #57

                  @MissConstrue @iamnotU

                  when the guy doing the feeding falls in...

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                    Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

                    Nasdaq rewrote its #index inclusion rules to accommodate #SpaceX’s mega-IPO, implementing a "Fast Entry" provision that allows the company to join the Nasdaq-100 index just 15 trading days after its initial public offering, down from the standard three-month seasoning period.

                    They also eliminated the minimum float requirement of 20% available public shares and instead stocks with less than 20% of shares publicly traded, Nasdaq applies a 3x multiplier to the free-float for index weighting purposes, artificially inflating low-float giants like SpaceX in passive funds.

                    Ok, but in English? #SpaceX, #OpenAI and #Anthropic have just figured out a scam to force every passive #IRA, #401k, and index fund to buy their stock before pricing evaluation.

                    They’ve figured out how to steal your #retirement.

                    #AI #LLM #Scam #guillotines #YouWillOwnNothing

                    Link Preview Image
                    What the SpaceX IPO means for markets

                    SpaceX's IPO filing has arrived. Elon Musk's rocket company is set to reshape the market when it goes public, with impacts at the index level and beyond.

                    favicon

                    Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                    artharg@mastodon.nlA This user is from outside of this forum
                    artharg@mastodon.nlA This user is from outside of this forum
                    artharg@mastodon.nl
                    wrote last edited by
                    #58

                    @MissConstrue Hmmm … so passive index funds will be forced to include the bloatstocks into their portfolios, right? But to make room for that, they will have to sell off much of their current portfolio. Which means downward pressure on all other stocks. Maybe time to buy some put options?

                    missconstrue@mefi.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • artharg@mastodon.nlA artharg@mastodon.nl

                      @MissConstrue Hmmm … so passive index funds will be forced to include the bloatstocks into their portfolios, right? But to make room for that, they will have to sell off much of their current portfolio. Which means downward pressure on all other stocks. Maybe time to buy some put options?

                      missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                      missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                      missconstrue@mefi.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #59

                      @ArtHarg I've heard a few analysts say something similar, but I don't have the courage to play the puts and shorts game. I'm more on the dividend aristocrat reinvesting for twenty years side of the board. 😉

                      artharg@mastodon.nlA 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB beggarmidas@mastodon.social

                        @MissConstrue You could also start a petition drive asking the hedge funds to include an investment spread that avoids or only lightly invests in 'high risk' companies forcing premature/irrational market IPOs inclusion. Or hell, just call a spade a spade. Say "X Y Z are forcing high risk investment into medium & lower risk portfolio. We want an index option that specifically discludes companies X Y Z from the index. Get enough signatures on that, hedge fund managers will sit up & take notice

                        missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                        missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                        missconstrue@mefi.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #60

                        @Beggarmidas There are index and etfs that are not broad spectrum. They're vertical markets that focus on a specific industry or niche.

                        indices can get really confusing really fast, which is why most people's funds are in broad market, it spreads out the risk...theoretically. I think these rules make that less true than it was.

                        Simple Page

                        favicon

                        (www.investopedia.com)

                        beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB 2 Replies Last reply
                        0
                        • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                          @ArtHarg I've heard a few analysts say something similar, but I don't have the courage to play the puts and shorts game. I'm more on the dividend aristocrat reinvesting for twenty years side of the board. 😉

                          artharg@mastodon.nlA This user is from outside of this forum
                          artharg@mastodon.nlA This user is from outside of this forum
                          artharg@mastodon.nl
                          wrote last edited by
                          #61

                          @MissConstrue I never did shorts either. Too risky for my tolerance, since the losses are potentially unbounded. Puts and calls are safer: I stand to lose the cost of the option at most. What is actually fun is to buy call options when you sense a short squeeze coming up. Buying them “out of the money” makes them cheap and then when the short squeeze drives up the price of the asset, you can make a nice profit by selling the option.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                            @Beggarmidas There are index and etfs that are not broad spectrum. They're vertical markets that focus on a specific industry or niche.

                            indices can get really confusing really fast, which is why most people's funds are in broad market, it spreads out the risk...theoretically. I think these rules make that less true than it was.

                            Simple Page

                            favicon

                            (www.investopedia.com)

                            beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                            beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                            beggarmidas@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #62

                            @MissConstrue It's all very complicated, I suspect by intent to a degree. I mean, we're all pretty well agreed that Crypto is a giant ponzi and that hype around AI has brought in such a level of investment that it's creating it's own special gravity. It's textbook overvalued. Both Crypto & AI have drawn in SO much money, including many deep pockets normally more risk adverse. A bubble popping will almost immediately pop the other as people in a panic create a run cash in their chips.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                              @Beggarmidas There are index and etfs that are not broad spectrum. They're vertical markets that focus on a specific industry or niche.

                              indices can get really confusing really fast, which is why most people's funds are in broad market, it spreads out the risk...theoretically. I think these rules make that less true than it was.

                              Simple Page

                              favicon

                              (www.investopedia.com)

                              beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                              beggarmidas@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                              beggarmidas@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #63

                              @MissConstrue BTW: Love your nick. I had an idea for a character absolutely years ago who in the story had a public nom du guerre like Miss Take or Miss Demeanor or Miss Direction or Miss Teak. All very saucy, almost burlesque stage name adjacent for a screenplay I was working on.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                                @shredder7579 Qualify: I’m not a financial advisor, but as I understand it, passive index is forced to buy shares in any stock listed in the 100.

                                That’s why changing the rules to allow a company that will be 95% privately held to be jammed into every index portfolio is a massive risk to the entire market.

                                Spacex ipo is coming in a valuation that exceed all other military contractors combined. A bigger cap that all of coke, Pepsi, frito, nestle, et al, combined.

                                The SpaceX IPO is expected to be the largest in history, with a targeted valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, placing it among the world’s top 10 most valuable companies by market cap. At a $1.75 trillion valuation, SpaceX would rank 8th globally, surpassing companies like Meta, Tesla, and Broadcom, and exceeding Saudi Aramco’s $1.7 trillion IPO in 2019.

                                For a company valued at 1000x earnings. A company that has never made a profit. It’s bugfuck insane. It’s pure grift.

                                cadejohnson@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                                cadejohnson@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                                cadejohnson@toot.cat
                                wrote last edited by
                                #64

                                @MissConstrue
                                The point is valid, but the index weighting of the SpaceX stock is not directly determined by market value. Because the company will be mostly privately held, the index will have a weighting factor that reduces the SpaceX proportion of the index. The NASDAQ approach is "aggressive" so SpaceX will still have considerable impact (I think they use 30% of market value for corporation with under 10% public ownership, or something like that). The S&P indexes are less aggressive, and MSCI indexes even less (maybe only accounting the direct public market capitalization in the index?).

                                Interestingly, the SpaceX ipo is expected to depress the index in the prelude to ipo day because everyone knows index funds will be compelled to sell various other holdings at market price to buy ipo shares. Nobody wants to own shares they'll be forced to sell in a buyer's market.

                                @shredder7579

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                                  Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

                                  Nasdaq rewrote its #index inclusion rules to accommodate #SpaceX’s mega-IPO, implementing a "Fast Entry" provision that allows the company to join the Nasdaq-100 index just 15 trading days after its initial public offering, down from the standard three-month seasoning period.

                                  They also eliminated the minimum float requirement of 20% available public shares and instead stocks with less than 20% of shares publicly traded, Nasdaq applies a 3x multiplier to the free-float for index weighting purposes, artificially inflating low-float giants like SpaceX in passive funds.

                                  Ok, but in English? #SpaceX, #OpenAI and #Anthropic have just figured out a scam to force every passive #IRA, #401k, and index fund to buy their stock before pricing evaluation.

                                  They’ve figured out how to steal your #retirement.

                                  #AI #LLM #Scam #guillotines #YouWillOwnNothing

                                  Link Preview Image
                                  What the SpaceX IPO means for markets

                                  SpaceX's IPO filing has arrived. Elon Musk's rocket company is set to reshape the market when it goes public, with impacts at the index level and beyond.

                                  favicon

                                  Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                                  cadejohnson@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                                  cadejohnson@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
                                  cadejohnson@toot.cat
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #65

                                  @MissConstrue
                                  It is worth mentioning that nobody is FORCED to buy or hold a NASDAQ index fund. If I owned such a fund, I'd move to the sidelines for a while (i.e. switch to a different fund) while these mega-ipo deals play out. fwiw

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                                    @shredder7579 Qualify: I’m not a financial advisor, but as I understand it, passive index is forced to buy shares in any stock listed in the 100.

                                    That’s why changing the rules to allow a company that will be 95% privately held to be jammed into every index portfolio is a massive risk to the entire market.

                                    Spacex ipo is coming in a valuation that exceed all other military contractors combined. A bigger cap that all of coke, Pepsi, frito, nestle, et al, combined.

                                    The SpaceX IPO is expected to be the largest in history, with a targeted valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, placing it among the world’s top 10 most valuable companies by market cap. At a $1.75 trillion valuation, SpaceX would rank 8th globally, surpassing companies like Meta, Tesla, and Broadcom, and exceeding Saudi Aramco’s $1.7 trillion IPO in 2019.

                                    For a company valued at 1000x earnings. A company that has never made a profit. It’s bugfuck insane. It’s pure grift.

                                    mlanger@mastodon.worldM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    mlanger@mastodon.worldM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    mlanger@mastodon.world
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #66

                                    @MissConstrue @shredder7579 I think having any stock that Elon Musk actively manages is a risk. The guy is unstable and toxic. The IPO is set up to make him even richer than he already is. The company has many unprofitable subsidies. I wouldn't touch SpaceX stock with a 10 foot pole and I certainly would not buy into any fund that included it. (1/2)

                                    mlanger@mastodon.worldM 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • mlanger@mastodon.worldM mlanger@mastodon.world

                                      @MissConstrue @shredder7579 I think having any stock that Elon Musk actively manages is a risk. The guy is unstable and toxic. The IPO is set up to make him even richer than he already is. The company has many unprofitable subsidies. I wouldn't touch SpaceX stock with a 10 foot pole and I certainly would not buy into any fund that included it. (1/2)

                                      mlanger@mastodon.worldM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      mlanger@mastodon.worldM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      mlanger@mastodon.world
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #67

                                      I am slowly moving all of my retirement investments out of the stock market and into FDIC insured CDs. Yes, I know the potential for profit is much lower, but I also know that the risk is basically nonexistent. It's all going to come tumbling down and I'm not going to let it take my retirement funds with it. (2/2)
                                      @MissConstrue @shredder7579

                                      soojinl@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                                        @shredder7579 Qualify: I’m not a financial advisor, but as I understand it, passive index is forced to buy shares in any stock listed in the 100.

                                        That’s why changing the rules to allow a company that will be 95% privately held to be jammed into every index portfolio is a massive risk to the entire market.

                                        Spacex ipo is coming in a valuation that exceed all other military contractors combined. A bigger cap that all of coke, Pepsi, frito, nestle, et al, combined.

                                        The SpaceX IPO is expected to be the largest in history, with a targeted valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, placing it among the world’s top 10 most valuable companies by market cap. At a $1.75 trillion valuation, SpaceX would rank 8th globally, surpassing companies like Meta, Tesla, and Broadcom, and exceeding Saudi Aramco’s $1.7 trillion IPO in 2019.

                                        For a company valued at 1000x earnings. A company that has never made a profit. It’s bugfuck insane. It’s pure grift.

                                        atleagle@mastodon.onlineA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        atleagle@mastodon.onlineA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        atleagle@mastodon.online
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #68

                                        @MissConstrue @shredder7579 those numbers are silly. That is just blatantly making things up out of thin air. People aren't going to only lose faith in markets, they're going to stop believing in money

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • missconstrue@mefi.socialM missconstrue@mefi.social

                                          Y’all, we need to talk about upcoming #IPOs, and the insane rule changes that #nasdaq has just announced.

                                          Nasdaq rewrote its #index inclusion rules to accommodate #SpaceX’s mega-IPO, implementing a "Fast Entry" provision that allows the company to join the Nasdaq-100 index just 15 trading days after its initial public offering, down from the standard three-month seasoning period.

                                          They also eliminated the minimum float requirement of 20% available public shares and instead stocks with less than 20% of shares publicly traded, Nasdaq applies a 3x multiplier to the free-float for index weighting purposes, artificially inflating low-float giants like SpaceX in passive funds.

                                          Ok, but in English? #SpaceX, #OpenAI and #Anthropic have just figured out a scam to force every passive #IRA, #401k, and index fund to buy their stock before pricing evaluation.

                                          They’ve figured out how to steal your #retirement.

                                          #AI #LLM #Scam #guillotines #YouWillOwnNothing

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          What the SpaceX IPO means for markets

                                          SpaceX's IPO filing has arrived. Elon Musk's rocket company is set to reshape the market when it goes public, with impacts at the index level and beyond.

                                          favicon

                                          Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                                          kkarhan@c.imK This user is from outside of this forum
                                          kkarhan@c.imK This user is from outside of this forum
                                          kkarhan@c.im
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #69

                                          @MissConstrue so YET ANOTHER REASON* why #retirements should not be contingent on #StockTrading and #Stocks in general!

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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