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  3. Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI.

Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI.

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machinesociety
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  • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

    Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

    #MachineSociety

    dckim@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dckim@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dckim@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #51

    @MikeElgan I don't think that those companies would spend so much money, with such little short term return if it did not make sense to do it.

    What do you think will be the longer term return? Is this a combined competitive loss? Are they each compelled to do this? It seems like a lot but, are any of these companies going broke on this?

    What is the end-game here?

    N 1 Reply Last reply
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    • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

      Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

      #MachineSociety

      fmd@mastodon.sdf.orgF This user is from outside of this forum
      fmd@mastodon.sdf.orgF This user is from outside of this forum
      fmd@mastodon.sdf.org
      wrote last edited by
      #52

      @MikeElgan Is there any information on lifetime of these data center racks and cost of replacement? How is Moore's law on these Nvidia GPUs? If this stuff is getting superseded within a few years, are their capex forecasts allowing for that? It seems like a fresh competitor with more efficient algorithms and new generation of hardware could kill here. More deep seek type events etc.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

        Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

        #MachineSociety

        kronogarrett@meow.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
        kronogarrett@meow.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
        kronogarrett@meow.social
        wrote last edited by
        #53

        @MikeElgan Burn, baby burn.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

          Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

          #MachineSociety

          only_ohm@mas.toO This user is from outside of this forum
          only_ohm@mas.toO This user is from outside of this forum
          only_ohm@mas.to
          wrote last edited by
          #54

          @MikeElgan And yet there's no sign of the shareholders suing the directors for failing in their fiduciary duties, which I presume means the shareholders are bent as nine bob notes too.

          bookandswordblog@scholar.socialB 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

            Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

            #MachineSociety

            john_fisherman@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
            john_fisherman@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
            john_fisherman@mastodon.social
            wrote last edited by
            #55

            @MikeElgan CLiMatE cHanGE MitiGatION is ToO ExpEnsIve, We CAN't!

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • A azad@toot.community

              @MikeElgan I don't doubt that they will get all that money back, by selling it to the public, business, or get all the public's money by selling it to the government.
              History has enough examples.

              jumpmed@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jumpmed@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jumpmed@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #56

              @azad @MikeElgan or by becoming so large (on paper) that when they fail the government pays out to prevent total collapse of the stock markets. We the people are left footing the bill even though we were collectively fighting against it the whole time.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                #MachineSociety

                earthshine@masto.hackers.townE This user is from outside of this forum
                earthshine@masto.hackers.townE This user is from outside of this forum
                earthshine@masto.hackers.town
                wrote last edited by
                #57

                @MikeElgan there are a few other winners like TSMC and Micron etc. In fact when you add all the economy propped up *by* this ai foolishness you get a huge bubble that's the primary thing keeping the markets afloat. Once AI companies finally fold under the pressure, I strongly suspect the rest of our economy to go down like a sinking ship, especially in the west.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                  Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                  #MachineSociety

                  emmecola@fediscience.orgE This user is from outside of this forum
                  emmecola@fediscience.orgE This user is from outside of this forum
                  emmecola@fediscience.org
                  wrote last edited by
                  #58

                  @MikeElgan Some of these companies rely only on AI, while others have a diversified business. I think this will make a big difference in the long run

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                    Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                    #MachineSociety

                    okuna@social.tchncs.deO This user is from outside of this forum
                    okuna@social.tchncs.deO This user is from outside of this forum
                    okuna@social.tchncs.de
                    wrote last edited by
                    #59

                    @MikeElgan Amazon, Tesla and many others weren't profitable for decades.
                    Now they are run the world.
                    They just try to achieve the same thing.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • happyborg@fosstodon.orgH happyborg@fosstodon.org

                      @MikeElgan that's a great visualisation. So #Nvidia is the only company shown that is profiting. I wonder which other sectors or companies are raking it in. I was thinking cloud, but look at Amazon. Surely some are profiting? And 👍 to see where the funding is coming from.

                      Also, I hope he'll add a time based graph so we can watch the trend, but this is awesome.

                      gepasi@fediscience.orgG This user is from outside of this forum
                      gepasi@fediscience.orgG This user is from outside of this forum
                      gepasi@fediscience.org
                      wrote last edited by
                      #60

                      @happyborg @MikeElgan construction industry (data centers), no one else

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                        Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                        #MachineSociety

                        mensrea@freeradical.zoneM This user is from outside of this forum
                        mensrea@freeradical.zoneM This user is from outside of this forum
                        mensrea@freeradical.zone
                        wrote last edited by
                        #61

                        @MikeElgan in a gold rush, sell shovels

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN n_dimension@infosec.exchange

                          @MikeElgan

                          The Internet was losing money for at least 20 years.

                          max@gruene.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                          max@gruene.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                          max@gruene.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #62

                          @n_dimension @MikeElgan In case someone honestly believes this (and this isn't read as the obvious joke about AI-bros saying similar things):

                          The internet basically was never losing money, it enabled researchers to communicate and compute things way faster than before when they needed to send out mail and tapes manually. The amount of value their faster research created is basically immeasurable.

                          Also of course the internet wasn't burning our planet alive to work.

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                            Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                            #MachineSociety

                            hannorein@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                            hannorein@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                            hannorein@mastodon.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #63

                            @MikeElgan Shouldn't it use profit rather than revenue to answer the question of whether it is profitable? You can have all the revenue in the world and still make a loss.

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • julesbl@mastodon.me.ukJ julesbl@mastodon.me.uk

                              @sebastian @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan
                              The funny thing is that they utterly depend on those industries for content to train their lying machines, so its a bit hard to see a future for those machines

                              bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                              bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                              bob_zim@infosec.exchange
                              wrote last edited by
                              #64

                              @julesbl @sebastian @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan A future? That sounds like a problem for whoever is in charge later! The people in charge now will have already made their money and power wrecking everything by then.

                              julesbl@mastodon.me.ukJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                                Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                                #MachineSociety

                                sfpodge@famichiki.jpS This user is from outside of this forum
                                sfpodge@famichiki.jpS This user is from outside of this forum
                                sfpodge@famichiki.jp
                                wrote last edited by
                                #65

                                @MikeElgan @savvykenya let’s see SpaceX now 🤔

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB bob_zim@infosec.exchange

                                  @julesbl @sebastian @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan A future? That sounds like a problem for whoever is in charge later! The people in charge now will have already made their money and power wrecking everything by then.

                                  julesbl@mastodon.me.ukJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  julesbl@mastodon.me.ukJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  julesbl@mastodon.me.uk
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #66

                                  @bob_zim @sebastian @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan
                                  I'm not sure about that, the shear vast amounts of debt are big even for these big companies, but time will tell

                                  bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • mikeelgan@mastodon.socialM mikeelgan@mastodon.social

                                    Now you can keep track of how many billions the AI companies are losing on AI. (Red is spending, green is revenue.) https://isaiprofitable.com/

                                    #MachineSociety

                                    noplasticshower@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    noplasticshower@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    noplasticshower@infosec.exchange
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #67

                                    @MikeElgan loss leaders

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN n_dimension@infosec.exchange

                                      @MikeElgan

                                      The Internet was losing money for at least 20 years.

                                      jay_peper@chaos.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                      jay_peper@chaos.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                      jay_peper@chaos.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #68

                                      @n_dimension in case this wasn't sarcasm, No, "the internet" never lost money. And outside of government projects (think moon landing, wars), I've never seen unbalanced investment like this ever before.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • kennedyrichard@fosstodon.orgK kennedyrichard@fosstodon.org

                                        @sebastian @julesbl @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan Can't personal websites help with that?

                                        Genuinely asking, not trying to be a smartass. I know the outlook isn't good, just thought that people should do their part individually as well.

                                        I know creating and maintaining content isn't easy, nor cheap. But perhaps what the internet lacks is more people making simpler websites with real content. An interconnected yet decentralized/independent web of real content, like we had in the past.

                                        cohentheblue@ohai.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                        cohentheblue@ohai.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                        cohentheblue@ohai.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #69

                                        @KennedyRichard @sebastian @julesbl @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan How would you find my home page for example? For a while now, the only way to search for general knowledge is a site:*subdomain.com search. I see a lot of that independent content around, most people aren't aware of it because there's no true useful search unless you already know where to search. There's no lack of content but there is an incentive to lock it away by initially the corporate search engine owners, now AI owners.

                                        sebastian@norrebro.spaceS kennedyrichard@fosstodon.orgK 2 Replies Last reply
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                                        • cohentheblue@ohai.socialC cohentheblue@ohai.social

                                          @KennedyRichard @sebastian @julesbl @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan How would you find my home page for example? For a while now, the only way to search for general knowledge is a site:*subdomain.com search. I see a lot of that independent content around, most people aren't aware of it because there's no true useful search unless you already know where to search. There's no lack of content but there is an incentive to lock it away by initially the corporate search engine owners, now AI owners.

                                          sebastian@norrebro.spaceS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          sebastian@norrebro.spaceS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          sebastian@norrebro.space
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #70

                                          @cohentheblue @KennedyRichard @julesbl @PaulaToThePeople @MikeElgan

                                          You can certainly search not knowing *where* you are searching, but there is always a mediator inbetween - that most people might not be so aware of.
                                          And if and when that mediator not only takes the role of filtering, deciding, but also presenting the results from their engines - no traffic will ever hit the original content.

                                          kennedyrichard@fosstodon.orgK 1 Reply Last reply
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