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  3. We may be entering our true Spring #COVID19 lull in the US.

We may be entering our true Spring #COVID19 lull in the US.

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  • augieray@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
    augieray@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
    augieray@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    We may be entering our true Spring #COVID19 lull in the US. The positive rate of testing is lower today than it's been since December.

    The positive rate of testing didn't spike all that much over winter, rising from 1.9% to 2.9%. Now, we're down to 2.3%. That 1.9% rate is the lowest we've hit in a year, and I'm curious if we might not drop beneath that before April.

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    augieray@mastodon.socialA leeolds@mastodon.socialL 2 Replies Last reply
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    • augieray@mastodon.socialA augieray@mastodon.social

      We may be entering our true Spring #COVID19 lull in the US. The positive rate of testing is lower today than it's been since December.

      The positive rate of testing didn't spike all that much over winter, rising from 1.9% to 2.9%. Now, we're down to 2.3%. That 1.9% rate is the lowest we've hit in a year, and I'm curious if we might not drop beneath that before April.

      1/2

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      augieray@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
      augieray@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
      augieray@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      For years, our surges have gotten lower. Could COVID be on its way to finally become a more predicable and endemic virus? I'll stay cautious, given Long COVID risks, but it would be nice to see infection risks continue to drop, wouldn't it?

      Signs point to continued lower levels of surges--until and unless our low vaccination rate OR a significant COVID mutation causes a greater surge. 2026 will be an interesting bellwether year for #COVID19, I think.

      P yatil@yatil.socialY 2 Replies Last reply
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      • augieray@mastodon.socialA augieray@mastodon.social

        For years, our surges have gotten lower. Could COVID be on its way to finally become a more predicable and endemic virus? I'll stay cautious, given Long COVID risks, but it would be nice to see infection risks continue to drop, wouldn't it?

        Signs point to continued lower levels of surges--until and unless our low vaccination rate OR a significant COVID mutation causes a greater surge. 2026 will be an interesting bellwether year for #COVID19, I think.

        P This user is from outside of this forum
        P This user is from outside of this forum
        proscience@toot.community
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @augieray

        Since testing is pretty much everywhere inadequate, I don't think so. At all.

        abscientist@forall.socialA 1 Reply Last reply
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        • P proscience@toot.community

          @augieray

          Since testing is pretty much everywhere inadequate, I don't think so. At all.

          abscientist@forall.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
          abscientist@forall.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
          abscientist@forall.social
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          @proscience @augieray

          Some countries have wastewater testing and that suggests that the peaks have been lower since the huge peak in 2023.

          Still, for me it still not worth the risk unmasking, because long Covid can be devastating.

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          • augieray@mastodon.socialA augieray@mastodon.social

            For years, our surges have gotten lower. Could COVID be on its way to finally become a more predicable and endemic virus? I'll stay cautious, given Long COVID risks, but it would be nice to see infection risks continue to drop, wouldn't it?

            Signs point to continued lower levels of surges--until and unless our low vaccination rate OR a significant COVID mutation causes a greater surge. 2026 will be an interesting bellwether year for #COVID19, I think.

            yatil@yatil.socialY This user is from outside of this forum
            yatil@yatil.socialY This user is from outside of this forum
            yatil@yatil.social
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @augieray It is interesting, and I agree: the way long-covid can be devastating and repeat infections affect the immune system, it pays off to stay vigilant. That said, Influenza has done this all the time, at least there are a lot of studies that point to Longfluenza being a thing, with symptoms that we put on other illnesses before.

            I personally think we shouldn’t be satisfied with endemic-level infection rates like Influenza. But then, nobody asks me 😂

            It’ll make some interactions easier.

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            • augieray@mastodon.socialA augieray@mastodon.social

              We may be entering our true Spring #COVID19 lull in the US. The positive rate of testing is lower today than it's been since December.

              The positive rate of testing didn't spike all that much over winter, rising from 1.9% to 2.9%. Now, we're down to 2.3%. That 1.9% rate is the lowest we've hit in a year, and I'm curious if we might not drop beneath that before April.

              1/2

              Link Preview Image
              leeolds@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              leeolds@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              leeolds@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @augieray for this to be useful, need to show more info (such as total number tests). If more people are testing because flu is raging, that could skew results.

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