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  3. Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

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  • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

    @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

    Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

    He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

    And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

    From the article:

    "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

    "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
    ...
    "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

    "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

    https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

    msdropbear42@infosec.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
    msdropbear42@infosec.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
    msdropbear42@infosec.space
    wrote last edited by
    #21

    @aj @kcarruthers yeah but look, in fairness to the poor hard done by codger, he rooly is learning & growing... this time he did not invite any journos into his secret chats...

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

      Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

      AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

      Link Preview Image
      Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

      AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

      favicon

      House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

      proedie@mastodon.greenP This user is from outside of this forum
      proedie@mastodon.greenP This user is from outside of this forum
      proedie@mastodon.green
      wrote last edited by
      #22

      @kcarruthers Not exactly a trustworthy source, but still: LOL

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • processparsnip@mastodon.ieP This user is from outside of this forum
        processparsnip@mastodon.ieP This user is from outside of this forum
        processparsnip@mastodon.ie
        wrote last edited by
        #23

        @C0rn3lius definitely.

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        0
        • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

          Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

          AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

          Link Preview Image
          Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

          AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

          favicon

          House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

          hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH This user is from outside of this forum
          hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH This user is from outside of this forum
          hydreprever@mathstodon.xyz
          wrote last edited by
          #24

          @kcarruthers lol

          Link Preview Image
          kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH hydreprever@mathstodon.xyz

            @kcarruthers lol

            Link Preview Image
            kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
            kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
            kcarruthers@infosec.exchange
            wrote last edited by
            #25

            @HydrePrever yup - but who can even trust the alleged ai checkers too 🤷‍♀️

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

              Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

              AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

              Link Preview Image
              Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

              AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

              favicon

              House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

              chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
              chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
              chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.science
              wrote last edited by
              #26

              @kcarruthers #AI helped to derail the #FelonsCrusade in #Iran , starting with bombing the girls school in #Minab. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/iran-school-attack-ai-investigation-b2937456.html

              But it was *started* by two felons who want to stay out of jail. https://newrepublic.com/post/207228/donald-trump-benjamin-netanyahu-iran

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

                @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

                Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

                He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

                And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

                From the article:

                "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

                "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
                ...
                "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

                "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

                https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

                nmba@mstdn.caN This user is from outside of this forum
                nmba@mstdn.caN This user is from outside of this forum
                nmba@mstdn.ca
                wrote last edited by
                #27

                @aj @kcarruthers
                Appears that Ai has won the first battle against humanity.

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