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  3. Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

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  • gnoll110@ruby.socialG gnoll110@ruby.social

    @kcarruthers

    The trouble with a decapitation strike is if your enemy has broken itself down into multiple cells and has commands to 'keep following most recent commands until a next leadership issues new orders'.

    kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
    kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
    kcarruthers@infosec.exchange
    wrote last edited by
    #18

    @gnoll110 it is almost like they expected the Israelis to do that 👀

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

      @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

      Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

      He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

      And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

      From the article:

      "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

      "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
      ...
      "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

      "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

      https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

      sister_ratched@toot.communityS This user is from outside of this forum
      sister_ratched@toot.communityS This user is from outside of this forum
      sister_ratched@toot.community
      wrote last edited by
      #19

      @aj @kcarruthers Mind boggling.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

        @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

        Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

        He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

        And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

        From the article:

        "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

        "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
        ...
        "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

        "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

        https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

        goss@c.imG This user is from outside of this forum
        goss@c.imG This user is from outside of this forum
        goss@c.im
        wrote last edited by
        #20

        @aj @kcarruthers
        Following in the foosteps of McNamara.
        Next up: Conscription with lowered fitness standards.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

          @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

          Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

          He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

          And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

          From the article:

          "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

          "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
          ...
          "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

          "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

          https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

          msdropbear42@infosec.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
          msdropbear42@infosec.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
          msdropbear42@infosec.space
          wrote last edited by
          #21

          @aj @kcarruthers yeah but look, in fairness to the poor hard done by codger, he rooly is learning & growing... this time he did not invite any journos into his secret chats...

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

            Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

            AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

            Link Preview Image
            Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

            AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

            favicon

            House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

            proedie@mastodon.greenP This user is from outside of this forum
            proedie@mastodon.greenP This user is from outside of this forum
            proedie@mastodon.green
            wrote last edited by
            #22

            @kcarruthers Not exactly a trustworthy source, but still: LOL

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            • processparsnip@mastodon.ieP This user is from outside of this forum
              processparsnip@mastodon.ieP This user is from outside of this forum
              processparsnip@mastodon.ie
              wrote last edited by
              #23

              @C0rn3lius definitely.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

                Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

                AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

                Link Preview Image
                Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

                AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

                favicon

                House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

                hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH This user is from outside of this forum
                hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH This user is from outside of this forum
                hydreprever@mathstodon.xyz
                wrote last edited by
                #24

                @kcarruthers lol

                Link Preview Image
                kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK 1 Reply Last reply
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                • hydreprever@mathstodon.xyzH hydreprever@mathstodon.xyz

                  @kcarruthers lol

                  Link Preview Image
                  kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
                  kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
                  kcarruthers@infosec.exchange
                  wrote last edited by
                  #25

                  @HydrePrever yup - but who can even trust the alleged ai checkers too 🤷‍♀️

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • kcarruthers@infosec.exchangeK kcarruthers@infosec.exchange

                    Lolwut: “Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis?

                    AI simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.”

                    Link Preview Image
                    Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

                    AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

                    favicon

                    House of Saud (houseofsaud.com)

                    chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
                    chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
                    chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.science
                    wrote last edited by
                    #26

                    @kcarruthers #AI helped to derail the #FelonsCrusade in #Iran , starting with bombing the girls school in #Minab. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/iran-school-attack-ai-investigation-b2937456.html

                    But it was *started* by two felons who want to stay out of jail. https://newrepublic.com/post/207228/donald-trump-benjamin-netanyahu-iran

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • aj@gts.sadauskas.id.auA aj@gts.sadauskas.id.au

                      @kcarruthers Just astounding. We really are in the Idiocracy timeline, aren't we?

                      Hesgeth didn't just leave all the war planning to a Palantir AI system based on Claude.

                      He insisted that all the guardrails were "woke" and must be switched off.

                      And he listened to Claude's analysis over the advice of experienced intelligence officers, who warned that removing the dictator was unlikely to bring down the regime, or that Iran could restrict oil supply.

                      From the article:

                      "Hegseth made his philosophy explicit at SpaceX in mid-January: “We will judge AI models on this standard alone: factually accurate, mission-relevant, without ideological constraints that limit lawful military applications. Department of War AI will not be woke.”

                      "The phrase “ideological constraints” performed significant rhetorical work. Safety filters designed to prevent AI hallucinations, sycophantic validation of flawed premises, and overconfident probability estimates were recast as political obstacles — “woke” limitations imposed by Silicon Valley liberals on America’s warfighters. The distinction between a guardrail that prevents an AI from endorsing a genocide and a guardrail that prevents an AI from inflating a strike’s predicted success rate was erased in a single speech.
                      ...
                      "AI planning models assumed decapitating the senior leadership would trigger cascading institutional failure — IRGC fracture, Assembly of Experts deadlock, pro-reform street protests. Instead, the regime’s mosaic defence architecture — designed to survive exactly this scenario — activated as intended. By March 9, Mojtaba Khamenei had been installed as the new supreme leader, having reportedly survived the airstrike that killed his father by minutes.

                      "The National Intelligence Council had assessed beforehand that “even a large-scale assault would probably not collapse Iran’s clerical-military order.” This assessment had little impact. The polished, high-confidence outputs of AI simulation models proved more compelling to decision-makers than the hedged, probabilistic language of traditional intelligence analysis. As Foreign Policy noted, the succession “signals regime exhaustion” but not regime death — the IRGC backed continuity precisely because it was preferable to the chaos American planners expected to exploit."

                      https://houseofsaud.com/iran-war-ai-psychosis-sycophancy-rlhf/

                      nmba@mstdn.caN This user is from outside of this forum
                      nmba@mstdn.caN This user is from outside of this forum
                      nmba@mstdn.ca
                      wrote last edited by
                      #27

                      @aj @kcarruthers
                      Appears that Ai has won the first battle against humanity.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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