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  3. Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites!

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  • mdc@mstdn.caM mdc@mstdn.ca

    @sundogplanets

    I've been seeing more posts trying to downplay Kessler Syndrome lately. Hard to tell how much of that is coming from SpaceX/Musk fans or corporate PR bots

    crazyeddie@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
    crazyeddie@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
    crazyeddie@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #12

    @mdc @sundogplanets same same

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    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

      wiesodennblos@hessen.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
      wiesodennblos@hessen.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
      wiesodennblos@hessen.social
      wrote last edited by
      #13

      @sundogplanets the "data centers in orbit" is the part that is not happening. Maybe the idea was advertised to justify spaceX investment in xAI and keep the circular money flows busy.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

        @wraptile This is excellent napkin math that I hadn't even thought to work out, thanks!

        brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
        brokar@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #14

        @sundogplanets @wraptile

        Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

        I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

        I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

        wraptile@fosstodon.orgW maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM smiddi@chaos.socialS S cosmiccactus@mastodon.socialC 5 Replies Last reply
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        • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

          @sundogplanets @wraptile

          Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

          I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

          I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

          wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
          wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
          wraptile@fosstodon.org
          wrote last edited by
          #15

          @Brokar @sundogplanets yup it's a war machine disguised as a commercial product because the commerce math just doesn't math.

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          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

            Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

            Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

            Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

            Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

            This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

            kierkegaanks@beige.partyK This user is from outside of this forum
            kierkegaanks@beige.partyK This user is from outside of this forum
            kierkegaanks@beige.party
            wrote last edited by
            #16

            @sundogplanets in my defense i didn’t think anybody was radically stupid enough to actually put a million datacenters in orbit and that elmo was scamming shareholders as per usual

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

              Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

              Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

              Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

              Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

              This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

              jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jackemled@furry.engineer
              wrote last edited by
              #17

              @sundogplanets The satellites seem to be dark at some parts of their trails. Are they spinning‽ So their antennas just aren't aimed at Earth half of the time‽ I thought they couldn't be any stupider.

              guigsy@mstdn.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
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              • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                screwturn@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                screwturn@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                screwturn@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #18

                @sundogplanets
                If it weren't for the various categories of pollution and risk here, I would be 100% behind Sam and others blowing investor's fortunes on silly parlor games.

                Like sure, go put a data center in orbit where a service call to replace a pump will cost a million bucks, and sure, expose your computers to radiation, and please, by all means find out the hard way that space is cold, but has very low specific heat capacity. Be my guest, play stupid games.

                But sadly, the pollution costs

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                • mttaggart@infosec.exchangeM mttaggart@infosec.exchange shared this topic
                • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                  Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                  Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                  Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                  Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                  This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                  benhm3@saint-paul.usB This user is from outside of this forum
                  benhm3@saint-paul.usB This user is from outside of this forum
                  benhm3@saint-paul.us
                  wrote last edited by
                  #19

                  @sundogplanets

                  When Prof. Lawler swears, we are in trouble.
                  #ListenToExperts

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                  • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                    Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                    Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                    Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                    Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                    This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                    castanea_jo@ni.hil.istC This user is from outside of this forum
                    castanea_jo@ni.hil.istC This user is from outside of this forum
                    castanea_jo@ni.hil.ist
                    wrote last edited by
                    #20

                    RE: https://mastodon.social/@sundogplanets/116477011532548038

                    Cowboy Bebop was a dystopia and we don't have nearly their technological acumen (it was magic). I think often the people planning, enabling, building, launching these satellites have bad brain syndrome

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                    • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                      Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                      Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                      Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                      Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                      This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                      terribletowelie@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                      terribletowelie@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                      terribletowelie@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #21

                      @sundogplanets

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                      • jesterchen@social.tchncs.deJ jesterchen@social.tchncs.de

                        @sundogplanets Well... one brightside of the eternal and eviscerating chaos that Kessler will put us into: if the AI data centers crash and burn due to Kessler, the hype will finally come to a screeching halt.

                        endlessmason@hachyderm.ioE This user is from outside of this forum
                        endlessmason@hachyderm.ioE This user is from outside of this forum
                        endlessmason@hachyderm.io
                        wrote last edited by
                        #22

                        @jesterchen @sundogplanets
                        Literally the main problem is the "bright side"

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                          Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                          Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                          Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                          Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                          This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                          gimulnautti@mastodon.greenG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gimulnautti@mastodon.greenG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gimulnautti@mastodon.green
                          wrote last edited by
                          #23

                          @sundogplanets Don’t worry, he won’t make you pay for it with government subsidies!

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                          • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                            Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                            Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                            Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                            Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                            This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                            rycochet@furs.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                            rycochet@furs.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                            rycochet@furs.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #24

                            @sundogplanets When the first Starlink says went up, Elon stans swore he would use his wealth to fund space telescopes so ground based astronomy wouldn't even be necessary, astronomers would have free access to science funded by his philanthropic largesse... Instead massive cuts to science, attacks on all regulation, higher education, spotty kids using chat GPT to decide what science is and isn't 'woke' and NASA destined to become a SpaceX subsidiary.

                            I cannot wait to see all the 'dooming' over atmospheric aluminium and the ozone layer coming true just to add another layer of awful to things. Unlike CFCs, he'll probably block any action being taken and promise ozone replenishment drones at some unspecified point in the future, to be released alongside darker satellites and Full Self Driving.

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                            • brokar@mastodon.socialB brokar@mastodon.social

                              @sundogplanets @wraptile

                              Well, you can also spy with the satellites. Can't do that with a cell tower (not that effective) and destroying one satellite does nothing to the system.

                              I really wish China would launch their own 10.000 satellites and program them on a collision course with the Starlink ones, forcing all of them to enter the atmosphere and burn out.

                              I would personally thank Xi for making astronomy possible again 😉

                              maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
                              maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
                              maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza
                              wrote last edited by
                              #25

                              @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

                              wraptile@fosstodon.orgW brokar@mastodon.socialB 2 Replies Last reply
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                              • guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                guigsy@mstdn.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #26

                                @Tofu_Golem @sundogplanets cooling is a problem. But not as big a deal as some make out. Scott Manley did a good video on the physics. For each square unit of solar panel, you need roughly half as much again in radiators if you want to keep silicon electronics at a reasonable temperature.

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                                • sundogplanets@mastodon.socialS sundogplanets@mastodon.social

                                  Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit)

                                  Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF)

                                  Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

                                  Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366

                                  This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

                                  beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  beet_keeper@digipres.clubB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  beet_keeper@digipres.club
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #27

                                  @sundogplanets I absolutely believe that SpaceX should be held accountable and must deliver on their promises. As for long-exposure shots like this, is it demonstrable of a material impact on science? Or just on photography?

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                                  • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

                                    @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

                                    wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                                    wraptile@fosstodon.orgW This user is from outside of this forum
                                    wraptile@fosstodon.org
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #28

                                    @maccruiskeen @Brokar @sundogplanets you mean using satellites as weapons? that seems a bit unlikely but clearly Ukraine has shown how powerful low-orbit internet is as utility for weapons so I meant more of that regard. For that, you do need a lot of them for good coverage and they have limited lifespan + need a large backup overhead.

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                                    • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

                                      @Brokar @sundogplanets @wraptile If they were just going to do kinetic kill vehicles, they wouldn't need nearly that many to really screw things up. The problem of course is that whoever did it would be screwing up their own assets at the same time.

                                      brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                      brokar@mastodon.socialB This user is from outside of this forum
                                      brokar@mastodon.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #29

                                      @maccruiskeen @sundogplanets @wraptile

                                      I wouldn't want just kinetic stuff because the chance of the satellites breaking up and creating more debris would be too great. I'd rather go for "safe disposal" 😉 Throw a net over them and pull them down. Like you catch drones.

                                      wraptile@fosstodon.orgW 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • jackemled@furry.engineerJ jackemled@furry.engineer

                                        @sundogplanets The satellites seem to be dark at some parts of their trails. Are they spinning‽ So their antennas just aren't aimed at Earth half of the time‽ I thought they couldn't be any stupider.

                                        guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                        guigsy@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                        guigsy@mstdn.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #30

                                        @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

                                        jackemled@furry.engineerJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • guigsy@mstdn.socialG guigsy@mstdn.social

                                          @jackemled @sundogplanets I'm not sure. I think the brightness is when their solar panels are in sunlight when the ground below is in darkness. And they orbit pretty low. So I think the trails are just because it was after dusk and/or before dawn? But sure.

                                          jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          jackemled@furry.engineerJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          jackemled@furry.engineer
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #31

                                          @guigsy @sundogplanets That's how they reflect light like that, but I don't think it shouldn't be changing so quickly unless they're rotating incorrectly.

                                          guigsy@mstdn.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
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