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  3. One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

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  • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

    One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

    The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

    Here’s the reality:

    * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

    * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

    * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

    * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

    * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

    Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

    Link Preview Image
    Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

    China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

    favicon

    Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

    mantis@mathstodon.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
    mantis@mathstodon.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
    mantis@mathstodon.xyz
    wrote last edited by
    #2

    @kathhayhoe Glory to the people's republic, the architects of modern socialism.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

      One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

      The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

      Here’s the reality:

      * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

      * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

      * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

      * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

      * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

      Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

      Link Preview Image
      Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

      China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

      favicon

      Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

      staceycornelius@zeroes.caS This user is from outside of this forum
      staceycornelius@zeroes.caS This user is from outside of this forum
      staceycornelius@zeroes.ca
      wrote last edited by
      #3

      @kathhayhoe Curious: What are you hearing about China starting up more coal plants at the same time? I'm wondering if what I've read is correct, and if so how their clean energy initiatives compare to that.

      It seems like there's less coal than clean energy, but still.

      laird_dave@chaos.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

        One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

        The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

        Here’s the reality:

        * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

        * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

        * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

        * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

        * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

        Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

        Link Preview Image
        Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

        China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

        favicon

        Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

        nilajones@zeroes.caN This user is from outside of this forum
        nilajones@zeroes.caN This user is from outside of this forum
        nilajones@zeroes.ca
        wrote last edited by
        #4

        @kathhayhoe

        If China is to doing nothing, then we should do nothing, or very little, because Chinese leadership is very smart and strategic

        If China is doing a lot, then we should do nothing, or very little, because renewables are Communist foolishness

        Is that about the size of it?

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • staceycornelius@zeroes.caS staceycornelius@zeroes.ca

          @kathhayhoe Curious: What are you hearing about China starting up more coal plants at the same time? I'm wondering if what I've read is correct, and if so how their clean energy initiatives compare to that.

          It seems like there's less coal than clean energy, but still.

          laird_dave@chaos.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
          laird_dave@chaos.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
          laird_dave@chaos.social
          wrote last edited by
          #5

          @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe they are building coal-fired plants, yes, but they are building so much more PV that their emissions actually aren't rising. At the same time they're reducing pollution by tearing down older and dirtier coal-fired plants.

          China is treating domestically "produced" energy as a strategic lever. They want to become independent of exports to be less extortable. Less pollution is a nice side effect to them.

          staceycornelius@zeroes.caS qole@techhub.socialQ 2 Replies Last reply
          0
          • laird_dave@chaos.socialL laird_dave@chaos.social

            @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe they are building coal-fired plants, yes, but they are building so much more PV that their emissions actually aren't rising. At the same time they're reducing pollution by tearing down older and dirtier coal-fired plants.

            China is treating domestically "produced" energy as a strategic lever. They want to become independent of exports to be less extortable. Less pollution is a nice side effect to them.

            staceycornelius@zeroes.caS This user is from outside of this forum
            staceycornelius@zeroes.caS This user is from outside of this forum
            staceycornelius@zeroes.ca
            wrote last edited by
            #6

            @Laird_Dave Aha. The article I read didn't mention the new plants vs the old ones. This makes a lot more sense, thank you.

            @kathhayhoe

            laird_dave@chaos.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • staceycornelius@zeroes.caS staceycornelius@zeroes.ca

              @Laird_Dave Aha. The article I read didn't mention the new plants vs the old ones. This makes a lot more sense, thank you.

              @kathhayhoe

              laird_dave@chaos.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              laird_dave@chaos.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              laird_dave@chaos.social
              wrote last edited by
              #7

              @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe https://e360.yale.edu/digest/china-coal-backup-power

              Moving coal into the backup-when-neither-wind-nor-sun-work role helps as well, but with recent breakthroughs in battery storage I guess this will become less relevant and may see plants closing.

              Again, China sees renewables as a path to energy independence, an important strategic goal. If you own your energy sources you can tell all kinds of people to fuck off.

              jbqueru@floss.socialJ 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                Here’s the reality:

                * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                Link Preview Image
                Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                favicon

                Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                spacewrangler@shakedown.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                spacewrangler@shakedown.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                spacewrangler@shakedown.social
                wrote last edited by
                #8

                @kathhayhoe

                A key factor here is that the Chinese public is fed up with pollution. It hurts the legitimacy of the government.

                The country may not be a democracy, but public opinion still matters. In mega-cities like Beijing the issue has become something the regime simply cannot ignore.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                  One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                  The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                  Here’s the reality:

                  * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                  * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                  * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                  * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                  * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                  Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                  Link Preview Image
                  Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                  China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                  favicon

                  Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                  knutson_brain@sfba.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                  knutson_brain@sfba.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                  knutson_brain@sfba.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #9

                  @kathhayhoe
                  We are the baddies. (let’s change that)

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • laird_dave@chaos.socialL laird_dave@chaos.social

                    @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe https://e360.yale.edu/digest/china-coal-backup-power

                    Moving coal into the backup-when-neither-wind-nor-sun-work role helps as well, but with recent breakthroughs in battery storage I guess this will become less relevant and may see plants closing.

                    Again, China sees renewables as a path to energy independence, an important strategic goal. If you own your energy sources you can tell all kinds of people to fuck off.

                    jbqueru@floss.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jbqueru@floss.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jbqueru@floss.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #10

                    @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe I see 3 things at the same time:
                    -increased total energy consumption, unlike the western world
                    -electrification of tranportation
                    -construction of low-carbon electricity generation

                    The first aspect won't keep going forever. The second aspect is key, it takes decades to change, so it's a leading indicator. Once you build electricity demand, the third aspect then takes over.

                    Personal opinion, not an expert.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                      One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                      The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                      Here’s the reality:

                      * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                      * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                      * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                      * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                      * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                      Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                      Link Preview Image
                      Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                      China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                      favicon

                      Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                      contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                      contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                      contrasocial@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #11

                      @kathhayhoe

                      It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                      It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                      Link Preview Image
                      CO₂ emissions

                      How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                      favicon

                      Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                      Link Preview Image
                      torbeni@mastodon.socialT sherbang@chaos.socialS pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP 3 Replies Last reply
                      0
                      • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                        One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                        The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                        Here’s the reality:

                        * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                        * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                        * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                        * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                        * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                        Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                        Link Preview Image
                        Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                        China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                        favicon

                        Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                        cazabon@mindly.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                        cazabon@mindly.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                        cazabon@mindly.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #12

                        @kathhayhoe

                        China is also adding nuclear energy at a fantastic rate. In addition to having the third-most operating power plants by country (59), they have about 30 additional plants in construction and should overtake France (in second place) this year.

                        Every watt of that is carbon-free.

                        Funny the folks concerned about climate action seem to always forget to mention nuclear energy.

                        #nuclear #NuclearEnergy #NuclearPower

                        lkanies@hachyderm.ioL 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • laird_dave@chaos.socialL laird_dave@chaos.social

                          @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe they are building coal-fired plants, yes, but they are building so much more PV that their emissions actually aren't rising. At the same time they're reducing pollution by tearing down older and dirtier coal-fired plants.

                          China is treating domestically "produced" energy as a strategic lever. They want to become independent of exports to be less extortable. Less pollution is a nice side effect to them.

                          qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
                          qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
                          qole@techhub.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #13

                          @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
                          I think that less pollution is more than just a nice side effect. China is grappling with terrible smog problems, which is driving up health care expenses.
                          https://www.iqair.com/ca/newsroom/november-5-2025-beijing-among-top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world

                          qole@techhub.socialQ 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • qole@techhub.socialQ qole@techhub.social

                            @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
                            I think that less pollution is more than just a nice side effect. China is grappling with terrible smog problems, which is driving up health care expenses.
                            https://www.iqair.com/ca/newsroom/november-5-2025-beijing-among-top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world

                            qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
                            qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
                            qole@techhub.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #14

                            @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
                            Interesting... The live ranking puts Beijing below Houston, Washington DC, and Toronto! Maybe all that solar is paying off already!
                            https://www.iqair.com/ca/world-air-quality-ranking

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                              @kathhayhoe

                              It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                              It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                              Link Preview Image
                              CO₂ emissions

                              How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                              favicon

                              Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                              Link Preview Image
                              torbeni@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                              torbeni@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                              torbeni@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #15

                              @contrasocial @kathhayhoe
                              Zooming in on the data you are linking to, you can see that China has slowed down their emission increase

                              Link Preview Image
                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                                @kathhayhoe

                                It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                                It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                                Link Preview Image
                                CO₂ emissions

                                How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                                favicon

                                Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                                Link Preview Image
                                sherbang@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                sherbang@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                sherbang@chaos.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #16

                                @contrasocial @kathhayhoe the article talks about 2024/2025 numbers. This graph ends at 2024. Also if you zoom into the last 10 years in the graph you can see that the growth is leveling off in 2024. So the data you're presenting is agreeing with the article so far as they overlap.

                                contrasocial@mastodon.socialC 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • dec23k@mastodon.ieD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dec23k@mastodon.ieD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dec23k@mastodon.ie
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #17

                                  @thegarbagebird @TorbenI @contrasocial @kathhayhoe
                                  "Their annual emissions are a vertical line" (1950 to 2024)

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                                    One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                                    The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                                    Here’s the reality:

                                    * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                                    * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                                    * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                                    * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                                    * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                                    Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                                    Link Preview Image
                                    Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                                    China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                                    favicon

                                    Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                                    ar1@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
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                                    ar1@mastodon.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #18

                                    @kathhayhoe China also changed a desert into a CO2 recipient - by planting plants.....

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                      contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                      contrasocial@mastodon.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #19

                                      @thegarbagebird @TorbenI @kathhayhoe

                                      Because it's not a normal country and the regime has a long history of lying and manipulating information to save face. They have fleets of heavily armed, illegal fishing vessels stripping the oceans right off the coasts of countries as far as South America.

                                      A better question to ask is how people have been massaged over the past 20 years into accepting that China is normal and pretending that they are a friend to the environment or human rights.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • sherbang@chaos.socialS sherbang@chaos.social

                                        @contrasocial @kathhayhoe the article talks about 2024/2025 numbers. This graph ends at 2024. Also if you zoom into the last 10 years in the graph you can see that the growth is leveling off in 2024. So the data you're presenting is agreeing with the article so far as they overlap.

                                        contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                        contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                        contrasocial@mastodon.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #20

                                        @sherbang @kathhayhoe

                                        So I'm to weight a single year over the clear trend of unabated rise in emissions?

                                        Every other nation shows the same pattern of rise and decline over the last decades except China. The scale to which China has spiked their emissions means that even if they have started declining the damage is still catastrophic and will take decades to stop. There's a reason China left the Paris accords, they decided they were entitled to an extra 40 years of emissions in their own goals

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                                          @kathhayhoe

                                          It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                                          It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          CO₂ emissions

                                          How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                                          favicon

                                          Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                                          pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                                          pixie@social.yesterweb.org
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #21

                                          @contrasocial @kathhayhoe you are not wrong, but I reckon this take is over simplistic.
                                          even in the Our World in Data you can see the per capta emissions and, and here is the important bit, the historical progression.
                                          take Europe (and the regions of Africa and others places it used to control) and the US and analise it with this question in mind: is it fair the rich countries, that got rich by exploring everything and everyone, now demands countries that are getting richer and making life for its people better to curb that because said rich countries now developed a conscience?
                                          I'm not saying we should follow the destruction method or not care for environment, I'm just pointing out the complexity.
                                          western rich countries need to be held MORE accountable.
                                          and yet, places like China and Brazil, places that were harmed by colonialism and power play for such a long time and are, now, getting richer and prosperous (I'm not talking about just numbers, I'm talking taking people from the hunger map and etc), are developing it's industries and technology I a way more green way then the western world did. China is emitting a lot os CO2 but is aware and has a huge decrease plan for it - but to develop green tech, you need traditional industrial ways first...

                                          contrasocial@mastodon.socialC 1 Reply Last reply
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