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  3. One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

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  • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

    One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

    The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

    Here’s the reality:

    * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

    * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

    * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

    * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

    * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

    Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

    Link Preview Image
    Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

    China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

    favicon

    Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

    knutson_brain@sfba.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
    knutson_brain@sfba.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
    knutson_brain@sfba.social
    wrote last edited by
    #9

    @kathhayhoe
    We are the baddies. (let’s change that)

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • laird_dave@chaos.socialL laird_dave@chaos.social

      @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe https://e360.yale.edu/digest/china-coal-backup-power

      Moving coal into the backup-when-neither-wind-nor-sun-work role helps as well, but with recent breakthroughs in battery storage I guess this will become less relevant and may see plants closing.

      Again, China sees renewables as a path to energy independence, an important strategic goal. If you own your energy sources you can tell all kinds of people to fuck off.

      jbqueru@floss.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jbqueru@floss.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jbqueru@floss.social
      wrote last edited by
      #10

      @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe I see 3 things at the same time:
      -increased total energy consumption, unlike the western world
      -electrification of tranportation
      -construction of low-carbon electricity generation

      The first aspect won't keep going forever. The second aspect is key, it takes decades to change, so it's a leading indicator. Once you build electricity demand, the third aspect then takes over.

      Personal opinion, not an expert.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

        One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

        The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

        Here’s the reality:

        * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

        * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

        * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

        * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

        * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

        Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

        Link Preview Image
        Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

        China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

        favicon

        Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

        contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
        contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
        contrasocial@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #11

        @kathhayhoe

        It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

        It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

        Link Preview Image
        CO₂ emissions

        How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

        favicon

        Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

        Link Preview Image
        torbeni@mastodon.socialT sherbang@chaos.socialS pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP 3 Replies Last reply
        0
        • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

          One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

          The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

          Here’s the reality:

          * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

          * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

          * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

          * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

          * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

          Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

          Link Preview Image
          Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

          China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

          favicon

          Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

          cazabon@mindly.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
          cazabon@mindly.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
          cazabon@mindly.social
          wrote last edited by
          #12

          @kathhayhoe

          China is also adding nuclear energy at a fantastic rate. In addition to having the third-most operating power plants by country (59), they have about 30 additional plants in construction and should overtake France (in second place) this year.

          Every watt of that is carbon-free.

          Funny the folks concerned about climate action seem to always forget to mention nuclear energy.

          #nuclear #NuclearEnergy #NuclearPower

          lkanies@hachyderm.ioL 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • laird_dave@chaos.socialL laird_dave@chaos.social

            @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe they are building coal-fired plants, yes, but they are building so much more PV that their emissions actually aren't rising. At the same time they're reducing pollution by tearing down older and dirtier coal-fired plants.

            China is treating domestically "produced" energy as a strategic lever. They want to become independent of exports to be less extortable. Less pollution is a nice side effect to them.

            qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
            qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
            qole@techhub.social
            wrote last edited by
            #13

            @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
            I think that less pollution is more than just a nice side effect. China is grappling with terrible smog problems, which is driving up health care expenses.
            https://www.iqair.com/ca/newsroom/november-5-2025-beijing-among-top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world

            qole@techhub.socialQ 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • qole@techhub.socialQ qole@techhub.social

              @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
              I think that less pollution is more than just a nice side effect. China is grappling with terrible smog problems, which is driving up health care expenses.
              https://www.iqair.com/ca/newsroom/november-5-2025-beijing-among-top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world

              qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
              qole@techhub.socialQ This user is from outside of this forum
              qole@techhub.social
              wrote last edited by
              #14

              @Laird_Dave @StaceyCornelius @kathhayhoe
              Interesting... The live ranking puts Beijing below Houston, Washington DC, and Toronto! Maybe all that solar is paying off already!
              https://www.iqair.com/ca/world-air-quality-ranking

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                @kathhayhoe

                It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                Link Preview Image
                CO₂ emissions

                How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                favicon

                Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                Link Preview Image
                torbeni@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                torbeni@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                torbeni@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #15

                @contrasocial @kathhayhoe
                Zooming in on the data you are linking to, you can see that China has slowed down their emission increase

                Link Preview Image
                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                  @kathhayhoe

                  It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                  It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                  Link Preview Image
                  CO₂ emissions

                  How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                  favicon

                  Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                  Link Preview Image
                  sherbang@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sherbang@chaos.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sherbang@chaos.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #16

                  @contrasocial @kathhayhoe the article talks about 2024/2025 numbers. This graph ends at 2024. Also if you zoom into the last 10 years in the graph you can see that the growth is leveling off in 2024. So the data you're presenting is agreeing with the article so far as they overlap.

                  contrasocial@mastodon.socialC 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • dec23k@mastodon.ieD This user is from outside of this forum
                    dec23k@mastodon.ieD This user is from outside of this forum
                    dec23k@mastodon.ie
                    wrote last edited by
                    #17

                    @thegarbagebird @TorbenI @contrasocial @kathhayhoe
                    "Their annual emissions are a vertical line" (1950 to 2024)

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • kathhayhoe@fediscience.orgK kathhayhoe@fediscience.org

                      One of the most common objections I hear to climate action is: “But what about China?”

                      The person making this argument usually goes on to claim that China is doing nothing, while everyone else is making sacrifices. But that’s not what the data show.

                      Here’s the reality:

                      * As the U.S. doubles down on fossil fuels and blocks new wind and solar projects, its emissions are ticking up.

                      * In contrast, China’s emissions appear to have peaked — and may now be starting to decline.

                      * Last year, China installed a full half of all the world's new wind and solar energy.

                      * Over the past two years, China installed more new solar power each year than the U.S. has installed in total across its entire history.

                      * China's clean exports alone are cutting CO2 outside its borders by 1% year on year.

                      Of course no country can fix climate change on its own. But just as it's a global problem, progress in one place helps everyone.

                      Link Preview Image
                      Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months - Carbon Brief

                      China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

                      favicon

                      Carbon Brief (www.carbonbrief.org)

                      ar1@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                      ar1@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                      ar1@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #18

                      @kathhayhoe China also changed a desert into a CO2 recipient - by planting plants.....

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                        contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                        contrasocial@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #19

                        @thegarbagebird @TorbenI @kathhayhoe

                        Because it's not a normal country and the regime has a long history of lying and manipulating information to save face. They have fleets of heavily armed, illegal fishing vessels stripping the oceans right off the coasts of countries as far as South America.

                        A better question to ask is how people have been massaged over the past 20 years into accepting that China is normal and pretending that they are a friend to the environment or human rights.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • sherbang@chaos.socialS sherbang@chaos.social

                          @contrasocial @kathhayhoe the article talks about 2024/2025 numbers. This graph ends at 2024. Also if you zoom into the last 10 years in the graph you can see that the growth is leveling off in 2024. So the data you're presenting is agreeing with the article so far as they overlap.

                          contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                          contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                          contrasocial@mastodon.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #20

                          @sherbang @kathhayhoe

                          So I'm to weight a single year over the clear trend of unabated rise in emissions?

                          Every other nation shows the same pattern of rise and decline over the last decades except China. The scale to which China has spiked their emissions means that even if they have started declining the damage is still catastrophic and will take decades to stop. There's a reason China left the Paris accords, they decided they were entitled to an extra 40 years of emissions in their own goals

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • contrasocial@mastodon.socialC contrasocial@mastodon.social

                            @kathhayhoe

                            It's a lie that China's emissions have peaked. Their annual emissions are a vertical line. How are people suppose to take this argument seriously? Their coal production has outpaced even that of the US.

                            It's pure wishcasting by people who want there to be a "good guy" who will save us.

                            Link Preview Image
                            CO₂ emissions

                            How much CO₂ does the world emit? Which countries emit the most?

                            favicon

                            Our World in Data (ourworldindata.org)

                            Link Preview Image
                            pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pixie@social.yesterweb.org
                            wrote last edited by
                            #21

                            @contrasocial @kathhayhoe you are not wrong, but I reckon this take is over simplistic.
                            even in the Our World in Data you can see the per capta emissions and, and here is the important bit, the historical progression.
                            take Europe (and the regions of Africa and others places it used to control) and the US and analise it with this question in mind: is it fair the rich countries, that got rich by exploring everything and everyone, now demands countries that are getting richer and making life for its people better to curb that because said rich countries now developed a conscience?
                            I'm not saying we should follow the destruction method or not care for environment, I'm just pointing out the complexity.
                            western rich countries need to be held MORE accountable.
                            and yet, places like China and Brazil, places that were harmed by colonialism and power play for such a long time and are, now, getting richer and prosperous (I'm not talking about just numbers, I'm talking taking people from the hunger map and etc), are developing it's industries and technology I a way more green way then the western world did. China is emitting a lot os CO2 but is aware and has a huge decrease plan for it - but to develop green tech, you need traditional industrial ways first...

                            contrasocial@mastodon.socialC 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • pixie@social.yesterweb.orgP pixie@social.yesterweb.org

                              @contrasocial @kathhayhoe you are not wrong, but I reckon this take is over simplistic.
                              even in the Our World in Data you can see the per capta emissions and, and here is the important bit, the historical progression.
                              take Europe (and the regions of Africa and others places it used to control) and the US and analise it with this question in mind: is it fair the rich countries, that got rich by exploring everything and everyone, now demands countries that are getting richer and making life for its people better to curb that because said rich countries now developed a conscience?
                              I'm not saying we should follow the destruction method or not care for environment, I'm just pointing out the complexity.
                              western rich countries need to be held MORE accountable.
                              and yet, places like China and Brazil, places that were harmed by colonialism and power play for such a long time and are, now, getting richer and prosperous (I'm not talking about just numbers, I'm talking taking people from the hunger map and etc), are developing it's industries and technology I a way more green way then the western world did. China is emitting a lot os CO2 but is aware and has a huge decrease plan for it - but to develop green tech, you need traditional industrial ways first...

                              contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                              contrasocial@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                              contrasocial@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #22

                              @pixie @kathhayhoe

                              I don't believe the atmosphere distinguishes between per capita and national, so I've never really bought that justification.

                              I also don't believe in the idea that any nation is entitled to an empire. Yes, China was once a great imperial power who colonized their region and then fell, and was subsequently abused by another imperial power. But to say they are therefore entitled to a new empire is the same logic the zionists use for what they are doing in occupied Palestine.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • cazabon@mindly.socialC cazabon@mindly.social

                                @kathhayhoe

                                China is also adding nuclear energy at a fantastic rate. In addition to having the third-most operating power plants by country (59), they have about 30 additional plants in construction and should overtake France (in second place) this year.

                                Every watt of that is carbon-free.

                                Funny the folks concerned about climate action seem to always forget to mention nuclear energy.

                                #nuclear #NuclearEnergy #NuclearPower

                                lkanies@hachyderm.ioL This user is from outside of this forum
                                lkanies@hachyderm.ioL This user is from outside of this forum
                                lkanies@hachyderm.io
                                wrote last edited by
                                #23

                                @cazabon @kathhayhoe mostly because you can get a gigawatt of solar+batteries online in a few years but it takes like 15-30 to get a nuclear plant online. It also happens to be a lot more expensive.

                                We absolutely should not have killed nuclear power in favor of coal in the 70s. But we don’t have time now to focus on it as a solution.

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