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  3. You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan?

You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan?

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  • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

    @lexinova interesting, What's the difference between the metaphor of a bubble bursting Vs a dramatic market correction?

    @marco @nixCraft

    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
    lexinova@cyberplace.social
    wrote last edited by
    #53

    @sarajw @marco @nixCraft bubble bursting imply wrongly the tech migh disapear.

    where market correction, mean 90% of fund actually given to them by investor will be cut, so the tech will not disapear in itself the company that pomoted it will without fund.

    sarajw@front-end.socialS notsoloud@expressional.socialN 2 Replies Last reply
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    • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

      @sarajw @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Collateral damage? The main difference between this bubble and the 90s tech bubble and the 2000s housing bubble is the concentration--vast amounts of capital expenditure by relatively small number of players. Valuations completely disconnected from reality. But it is unlikely the unwinding of that trade is going to be 'contained'--it wasn't in 2001, or 2008, it's going to blow a big hole in the financial system.

      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
      lexinova@cyberplace.social
      wrote last edited by
      #54

      @maccruiskeen @sarajw @marco @nixCraft 99% of the fall with be in US market tough.

      because yeah the world have invested, but the colosal majority of it come from US.

      So even if the whole world will take a hit, the US economy will be hit so hard that it will certainely take them decate to recover.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • blogdiva@mastodon.socialB blogdiva@mastodon.social

        @lexinova @nixCraft read somewhere (guardian?) there is supposedly an increase in sales for chinese language primers in the US. wouldn’t surprise me.

        sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
        sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
        sassinake@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #55

        @blogdiva @lexinova @nixCraft the kids went to RedNote for a while...

        and they will go back if needs be

        lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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        • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

          @sarajw @marco @nixCraft bubble bursting imply wrongly the tech migh disapear.

          where market correction, mean 90% of fund actually given to them by investor will be cut, so the tech will not disapear in itself the company that pomoted it will without fund.

          sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
          sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
          sarajw@front-end.social
          wrote last edited by
          #56

          @lexinova I'm not sure that's assumed when talking about economic bubbles. We still have .com websites, tulips, uranium and housing, after all (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_bubble)

          @marco @nixCraft

          lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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          • synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.netS synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.net

            @nixCraft the author's name is "Swastika Das Sharma"

            decaturnature@theatl.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
            decaturnature@theatl.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
            decaturnature@theatl.social
            wrote last edited by
            #57

            @synlogic4242 Yes. Here's her LinkedIn.
            https://www.linkedin.com/in/swastika-das-sharma-82a464153/
            I understand that it's a bit shocking for many people to see that word, but it has nothing to do with the Nazis. The European abuse of the swastika has nothing to do with India.
            @nixCraft

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

              @lexinova I'm not sure that's assumed when talking about economic bubbles. We still have .com websites, tulips, uranium and housing, after all (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_bubble)

              @marco @nixCraft

              lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
              lexinova@cyberplace.social
              wrote last edited by
              #58

              @sarajw @marco @nixCraft i can only repeat what was said to me, does the people actually misuse the term ?

              propably.

              sarajw@front-end.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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              • sassinake@mastodon.socialS sassinake@mastodon.social

                @blogdiva @lexinova @nixCraft the kids went to RedNote for a while...

                and they will go back if needs be

                lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                lexinova@cyberplace.social
                wrote last edited by
                #59

                @Sassinake @blogdiva @nixCraft rednote is also a chinese app that have shady link to Chinese intelligence.

                It's quite funny (in a sad way) that normal people always take the worse possible choice to their privacy / security.

                sassinake@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                  @sarajw @marco @nixCraft i can only repeat what was said to me, does the people actually misuse the term ?

                  propably.

                  sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                  sarajw@front-end.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #60

                  @lexinova very possibly!

                  @marco @nixCraft

                  lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

                    @lexinova very possibly!

                    @marco @nixCraft

                    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                    lexinova@cyberplace.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #61

                    @sarajw @marco @nixCraft but to come back on AI at the end of the day, i expect to see something similar to .com bubble.

                    AI will disapear from talk for half a decate, and come back when actual useful thing come from it, or will be renamed to something else in PR to prevent bad cover at later date.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                      @Sassinake @blogdiva @nixCraft rednote is also a chinese app that have shady link to Chinese intelligence.

                      It's quite funny (in a sad way) that normal people always take the worse possible choice to their privacy / security.

                      sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                      sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                      sassinake@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #62

                      @lexinova @blogdiva @nixCraft

                      they were thinking that the Chinese govt was probably not going to break down their door in the middle of the night to seize them for something they said online.

                      but the US might.

                      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • sassinake@mastodon.socialS sassinake@mastodon.social

                        @lexinova @blogdiva @nixCraft

                        they were thinking that the Chinese govt was probably not going to break down their door in the middle of the night to seize them for something they said online.

                        but the US might.

                        lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                        lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                        lexinova@cyberplace.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #63

                        @Sassinake @blogdiva @nixCraft it's where you make a mistake, all rednote server are in China, so per law a direct access to CCP is built in.

                        so they just open a software and have access no need to break their door.

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                          @marco @nixCraft will not be a burst, but more a market correction.

                          meaning 80 - 90 % of AI startup and company will go bankrupt, while other will take a major hit.

                          AI will not disapear (like the web during the .com bubble) did not disapear.

                          but only actually usefull feature will remain (not many).

                          jpaskaruk@growers.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jpaskaruk@growers.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jpaskaruk@growers.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #64

                          @lexinova question is

                          useful to whom

                          @marco @nixCraft

                          lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • jpaskaruk@growers.socialJ jpaskaruk@growers.social

                            @lexinova question is

                            useful to whom

                            @marco @nixCraft

                            lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lexinova@cyberplace.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #65

                            @jpaskaruk @marco @nixCraft millitary and some specific data analist.

                            in the future ? no idea i don't see the future xD

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

                              these are early signs that the AI bubble is about to pop (combined with wars and tariff biz). When it does, it won’t just sink those "Plagiarism Machine" startups, it will create a massive problems for the whole IT/tech industry and it will even hurt other businesses too. It's going to be so bad that the Great Depression of 1929 will look like a walk in the park.

                              mvilain@sfba.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
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                              mvilain@sfba.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #66

                              @nixCraft

                              The avalanche has already started. It is to late for pebble to vote.

                              - YouTube

                              Auf YouTube findest du die angesagtesten Videos und Tracks. Außerdem kannst du eigene Inhalte hochladen und mit Freunden oder gleich der ganzen Welt teilen.

                              favicon

                              (www.youtube.com)

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                              • R relay@relay.mycrowd.ca shared this topic
                              • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                                @sarajw @marco @nixCraft bubble bursting imply wrongly the tech migh disapear.

                                where market correction, mean 90% of fund actually given to them by investor will be cut, so the tech will not disapear in itself the company that pomoted it will without fund.

                                notsoloud@expressional.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                notsoloud@expressional.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                notsoloud@expressional.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #67

                                @lexinova
                                UK had a rail mania right after the invention of the railroad, then the bubble burst.

                                Railroad became very economically important but many companies from the first wave weren't around for that.
                                @sarajw @marco @nixCraft

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                                • zbrown@floss.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  zbrown@floss.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  zbrown@floss.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #68

                                  @synlogic4242 @nixCraft this just in: person has name common in their culture

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • mvrenselaar@mastodon.nlM mvrenselaar@mastodon.nl

                                    @nixCraft dreams? Or hallucinations 😎

                                    S This user is from outside of this forum
                                    S This user is from outside of this forum
                                    shadsterling@mastodon.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #69

                                    @mvrenselaar @nixCraft lies.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

                                      Over the past few weeks, several US banks have pulled off from lending to Oracle for expanding its AI data centres, as per a report. So Oracle is now firing 30000 engineers as banks pull out from financing AI data centres and OpenAI deals to meet fools dream. Wise investors are pulling out of data centres now as they found out it's impossible to reach AGI & exponential AI growth through increasing the scale of compute. LLMs have already hit their developmental plateau https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/oracle-layoffs-tech-giant-to-slash-30-000-jobs-as-banks-pull-out-from-financing-ai-data-centres-11769996619410.html

                                      gullevek@famichiki.jpG This user is from outside of this forum
                                      gullevek@famichiki.jpG This user is from outside of this forum
                                      gullevek@famichiki.jp
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #70

                                      @nixCraft Very smart to fire the people who build your product

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • infosec812@foojay.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        infosec812@foojay.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        infosec812@foojay.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #71

                                        @violetmadder
                                        Larry Ellison and Oracle are not making as bad of a bet as some may think. I suspect there is a bailout waiting in the wings from the Trump administration. Yet more waste of taxpayer money.
                                        @liquor_american @rotnroll666 @nixCraft

                                        1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

                                          You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan? We all know that story usually has a "happy" ending. Right?

                                          Well, SoftBank is basically doing the same thing. They are talking to banks to get a massive $40 billion loan just to buy a stake in OpenAI. It is their biggest loan ever. I’m sure betting the house on a single hand will work out perfectly this time. https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/softbank-seeks-record-40-billion-loan-financing-banks-fund-openai-stake-invest-masayoshi-son-ai-bubble-concern-liquidity-11772773618772.html

                                          These AI people are running out of money

                                          rytmis@hachyderm.ioR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          rytmis@hachyderm.ioR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          rytmis@hachyderm.io
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #72

                                          @nixCraft

                                          Specifically _other_ people’s money, too. What was that Thatcher quote about socialism again? 🤔

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