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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan?

You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan?

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  • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

    @marco @nixCraft will not be a burst, but more a market correction.

    meaning 80 - 90 % of AI startup and company will go bankrupt, while other will take a major hit.

    AI will not disapear (like the web during the .com bubble) did not disapear.

    but only actually usefull feature will remain (not many).

    sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
    sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
    sarajw@front-end.social
    wrote last edited by
    #40

    @lexinova interesting, What's the difference between the metaphor of a bubble bursting Vs a dramatic market correction?

    @marco @nixCraft

    maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 2 Replies Last reply
    0
    • tkissing@mastodon.socialT tkissing@mastodon.social

      @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Are these actually useful features in the room with us now?

      martinvermeer@fediscience.orgM This user is from outside of this forum
      martinvermeer@fediscience.orgM This user is from outside of this forum
      martinvermeer@fediscience.org
      wrote last edited by
      #41

      @tkissing @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Kyllä ovat

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

        You know how a gambler who loses it all starts begging his family for cash or putting their house up for a loan? We all know that story usually has a "happy" ending. Right?

        Well, SoftBank is basically doing the same thing. They are talking to banks to get a massive $40 billion loan just to buy a stake in OpenAI. It is their biggest loan ever. I’m sure betting the house on a single hand will work out perfectly this time. https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/softbank-seeks-record-40-billion-loan-financing-banks-fund-openai-stake-invest-masayoshi-son-ai-bubble-concern-liquidity-11772773618772.html

        These AI people are running out of money

        simonzerafa@infosec.exchangeS This user is from outside of this forum
        simonzerafa@infosec.exchangeS This user is from outside of this forum
        simonzerafa@infosec.exchange
        wrote last edited by
        #42

        @nixCraft

        Given the money is going around and around between different AI companies (or not, it's sometimes just promises to do so) then I'm sure someone will lend SoftBank the money.

        Maybe Nvidia? 😕🤷‍♂️

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • justincrozer@mastodon.greenJ justincrozer@mastodon.green

          @nixCraft the only good AI that will stick around will be Gemini the rest will crumble.

          teflontrout@beige.partyT This user is from outside of this forum
          teflontrout@beige.partyT This user is from outside of this forum
          teflontrout@beige.party
          wrote last edited by
          #43

          @justincrozer @nixCraft

          only good one is a dead one

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

            Over the past few weeks, several US banks have pulled off from lending to Oracle for expanding its AI data centres, as per a report. So Oracle is now firing 30000 engineers as banks pull out from financing AI data centres and OpenAI deals to meet fools dream. Wise investors are pulling out of data centres now as they found out it's impossible to reach AGI & exponential AI growth through increasing the scale of compute. LLMs have already hit their developmental plateau https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/oracle-layoffs-tech-giant-to-slash-30-000-jobs-as-banks-pull-out-from-financing-ai-data-centres-11769996619410.html

            synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.netS This user is from outside of this forum
            synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.netS This user is from outside of this forum
            synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.net
            wrote last edited by
            #44

            @nixCraft the author's name is "Swastika Das Sharma"

            decaturnature@theatl.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
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            • huntingdon@mstdn.socialH huntingdon@mstdn.social

              @nixCraft

              Oracle firing 30,000 employees because banks refuse to finance its AI expansion?

              LOL. Like any large corporation, it will take any step that allows it to avoid admitting that its own management makes supremely bad decisions.

              n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
              n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN This user is from outside of this forum
              n_dimension@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #45

              @nixCraft @huntingdon

              Ellison is buing media companies now.
              The 30K employees who build his software empire are just meat.

              #oracle

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

                Over the past few weeks, several US banks have pulled off from lending to Oracle for expanding its AI data centres, as per a report. So Oracle is now firing 30000 engineers as banks pull out from financing AI data centres and OpenAI deals to meet fools dream. Wise investors are pulling out of data centres now as they found out it's impossible to reach AGI & exponential AI growth through increasing the scale of compute. LLMs have already hit their developmental plateau https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/oracle-layoffs-tech-giant-to-slash-30-000-jobs-as-banks-pull-out-from-financing-ai-data-centres-11769996619410.html

                jprjr@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jprjr@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jprjr@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #46

                @nixCraft

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • drwho@masto.hackers.townD drwho@masto.hackers.town

                  @marco @nixCraft We're fungible assets on the balance sheet. We don't matter.

                  tourma@tech.lgbtT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tourma@tech.lgbtT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tourma@tech.lgbt
                  wrote last edited by
                  #47

                  @drwho
                  @marco @nixCraft
                  To be fung is to know woe.

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • nixcraft@mastodon.socialN nixcraft@mastodon.social

                    Over the past few weeks, several US banks have pulled off from lending to Oracle for expanding its AI data centres, as per a report. So Oracle is now firing 30000 engineers as banks pull out from financing AI data centres and OpenAI deals to meet fools dream. Wise investors are pulling out of data centres now as they found out it's impossible to reach AGI & exponential AI growth through increasing the scale of compute. LLMs have already hit their developmental plateau https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/oracle-layoffs-tech-giant-to-slash-30-000-jobs-as-banks-pull-out-from-financing-ai-data-centres-11769996619410.html

                    jordgubben@mastodon.gamedev.placeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jordgubben@mastodon.gamedev.placeJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    jordgubben@mastodon.gamedev.place
                    wrote last edited by
                    #48

                    @nixCraft Is the madness finally comming to an end? How I’ve been longing to this day.

                    I hope those 30k engineers can now find something with meaning and purpose to put their cognition and skill into. Preferably something related to saving the planet from impending doom. That, or cool video games.

                    Also, should we be warning the genetics and/or robotics folk that tech bros are coming for them next?

                    antopatriarca@mathstodon.xyzA 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

                      @lexinova interesting, What's the difference between the metaphor of a bubble bursting Vs a dramatic market correction?

                      @marco @nixCraft

                      maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
                      maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM This user is from outside of this forum
                      maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza
                      wrote last edited by
                      #49

                      @sarajw @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Collateral damage? The main difference between this bubble and the 90s tech bubble and the 2000s housing bubble is the concentration--vast amounts of capital expenditure by relatively small number of players. Valuations completely disconnected from reality. But it is unlikely the unwinding of that trade is going to be 'contained'--it wasn't in 2001, or 2008, it's going to blow a big hole in the financial system.

                      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • joonq@mastodon.socialJ joonq@mastodon.social

                        @nixCraft and then small and mid sized businesses are going to go down and whos going to buy them? The tech bros and other billionaires! BOOM succesfully grifted and rugpulled literal coutries! Again

                        n@coolworld.ccN This user is from outside of this forum
                        n@coolworld.ccN This user is from outside of this forum
                        n@coolworld.cc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #50

                        @joonq In the dotcom crash and subsequent web 2.0 crash most of the smaller companies just closed their doors. There wasn't a lot of 'buying up businesses' going on.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • rotnroll666@mastodon.socialR rotnroll666@mastodon.social

                          @nixCraft @infosec812 Ed was right

                          Link Preview Image
                          Premium: The Hater's Guide to Oracle

                          You can’t avoid Oracle. No, really, you can’t. Oracle is everywhere. It sells ERP software – enterprise resource planning, which is a rat king of different services for giant companies for financial services, procurement (IE: sourcing and organizing the goods your company needs to run), compliance, project management, and

                          favicon

                          Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At (www.wheresyoured.at)

                          praetor@mstdn.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                          praetor@mstdn.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                          praetor@mstdn.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #51

                          @rotnroll666 @nixCraft @infosec812 I'm in Abilene, TX where Stargate is being built. And there are TONS of jobs. But they're slave jobs - 12 hour days 6 days a week at $25/hr on a 1099. And Oracle is very well known for not paying their contractors in a timely manner. I've heard some contractors are 60 days out in aged payments from Oracle.

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • tkissing@mastodon.socialT tkissing@mastodon.social

                            @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Are these actually useful features in the room with us now?

                            lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lexinova@cyberplace.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #52

                            @tkissing @marco @nixCraft yep but none of them are for consumer market.

                            nearly all of them are for military, scientist or heavy data analisis.

                            so the fact company bet everything on consumer market is stupid.

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

                              @lexinova interesting, What's the difference between the metaphor of a bubble bursting Vs a dramatic market correction?

                              @marco @nixCraft

                              lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lexinova@cyberplace.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #53

                              @sarajw @marco @nixCraft bubble bursting imply wrongly the tech migh disapear.

                              where market correction, mean 90% of fund actually given to them by investor will be cut, so the tech will not disapear in itself the company that pomoted it will without fund.

                              sarajw@front-end.socialS notsoloud@expressional.socialN 2 Replies Last reply
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                              • maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizzaM maccruiskeen@social.linux.pizza

                                @sarajw @lexinova @marco @nixCraft Collateral damage? The main difference between this bubble and the 90s tech bubble and the 2000s housing bubble is the concentration--vast amounts of capital expenditure by relatively small number of players. Valuations completely disconnected from reality. But it is unlikely the unwinding of that trade is going to be 'contained'--it wasn't in 2001, or 2008, it's going to blow a big hole in the financial system.

                                lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                lexinova@cyberplace.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #54

                                @maccruiskeen @sarajw @marco @nixCraft 99% of the fall with be in US market tough.

                                because yeah the world have invested, but the colosal majority of it come from US.

                                So even if the whole world will take a hit, the US economy will be hit so hard that it will certainely take them decate to recover.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • blogdiva@mastodon.socialB blogdiva@mastodon.social

                                  @lexinova @nixCraft read somewhere (guardian?) there is supposedly an increase in sales for chinese language primers in the US. wouldn’t surprise me.

                                  sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sassinake@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                  sassinake@mastodon.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #55

                                  @blogdiva @lexinova @nixCraft the kids went to RedNote for a while...

                                  and they will go back if needs be

                                  lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                                    @sarajw @marco @nixCraft bubble bursting imply wrongly the tech migh disapear.

                                    where market correction, mean 90% of fund actually given to them by investor will be cut, so the tech will not disapear in itself the company that pomoted it will without fund.

                                    sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sarajw@front-end.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    sarajw@front-end.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #56

                                    @lexinova I'm not sure that's assumed when talking about economic bubbles. We still have .com websites, tulips, uranium and housing, after all (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_bubble)

                                    @marco @nixCraft

                                    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.netS synlogic4242@social.vivaldi.net

                                      @nixCraft the author's name is "Swastika Das Sharma"

                                      decaturnature@theatl.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      decaturnature@theatl.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      decaturnature@theatl.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #57

                                      @synlogic4242 Yes. Here's her LinkedIn.
                                      https://www.linkedin.com/in/swastika-das-sharma-82a464153/
                                      I understand that it's a bit shocking for many people to see that word, but it has nothing to do with the Nazis. The European abuse of the swastika has nothing to do with India.
                                      @nixCraft

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • sarajw@front-end.socialS sarajw@front-end.social

                                        @lexinova I'm not sure that's assumed when talking about economic bubbles. We still have .com websites, tulips, uranium and housing, after all (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_bubble)

                                        @marco @nixCraft

                                        lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                        lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                        lexinova@cyberplace.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #58

                                        @sarajw @marco @nixCraft i can only repeat what was said to me, does the people actually misuse the term ?

                                        propably.

                                        sarajw@front-end.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • sassinake@mastodon.socialS sassinake@mastodon.social

                                          @blogdiva @lexinova @nixCraft the kids went to RedNote for a while...

                                          and they will go back if needs be

                                          lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                          lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                                          lexinova@cyberplace.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #59

                                          @Sassinake @blogdiva @nixCraft rednote is also a chinese app that have shady link to Chinese intelligence.

                                          It's quite funny (in a sad way) that normal people always take the worse possible choice to their privacy / security.

                                          sassinake@mastodon.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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