There aren't a lot of things I agree with Mark Carney about, but there's one area where he and I are in *total* accord: the old, US-dominated, "rules-based international order" was total bullshit:
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When the oil-captured Texas legislature introduced a bill to force electric companies to add one watt of fossil power for every watt of solar that their customers installed, furious ranchers from blood red Republican rural districts flooded their town hall meetings, decrying the plan as "DEI for fossil fuels." The bill died:
Renewables are now the ‘Costco’ of energy production, Bill McKibben says
Austin Sierra Club hosted a virtual conversation on May 6 with climate activist Bill McKibben on the current state of environmental affairs.
Austin Free Press (austinfreepress.org)
This is the template for the long-foreseeable future.
24/
Thanks to Trump's stupid, bloody, unforgivable war of choice in the Gulf, the world is going to install *unimaginable* amounts of cleantech. They're gonna throw away their water heaters, motorbikes, furnaces and cars and replace them with all-electric versions. They're going to cover their roofs and balconies with panels. The battery industry will experience a sustained boom. The fortunes that fossil fuel companies are reaping from the current shortage is their last windfall.
25/
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Thanks to Trump's stupid, bloody, unforgivable war of choice in the Gulf, the world is going to install *unimaginable* amounts of cleantech. They're gonna throw away their water heaters, motorbikes, furnaces and cars and replace them with all-electric versions. They're going to cover their roofs and balconies with panels. The battery industry will experience a sustained boom. The fortunes that fossil fuel companies are reaping from the current shortage is their last windfall.
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The writing is on the wall. Trump opened Alaska for drilling and the oil companies noped out because they couldn't find a bank that would loan them the money needed to get started. Then it happened again in Venezuela. This de-fossilizing was already the direction of travel, the only question was the pace at which the transition would proceed - and Comrade Trump has just stomped all over the (liquid natural) gas pedal.
26/
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The writing is on the wall. Trump opened Alaska for drilling and the oil companies noped out because they couldn't find a bank that would loan them the money needed to get started. Then it happened again in Venezuela. This de-fossilizing was already the direction of travel, the only question was the pace at which the transition would proceed - and Comrade Trump has just stomped all over the (liquid natural) gas pedal.
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Energy is just one realm where Trump is doing praxis. One of the most exciting developments that Trumpismo's incontinent belligerence has induced is the global *technology* transition.
For decades, the only people pointing out the dangers of using America's cash-grabbing, privacy invading defective tech exports were digital rights hippies like me, and our victories were modest and far between.
27/
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Energy is just one realm where Trump is doing praxis. One of the most exciting developments that Trumpismo's incontinent belligerence has induced is the global *technology* transition.
For decades, the only people pointing out the dangers of using America's cash-grabbing, privacy invading defective tech exports were digital rights hippies like me, and our victories were modest and far between.
27/
Despite the Snowden revelations, despite the tech industry's prolific snood-cocking at EU privacy regulators and Canadian lawmakers, we all just carried on using these incredibly dangerous, steadily enshittifying Big Tech products. We even run our governments and structurally important companies off Big Tech. We let US tech companies update (that is, downgrade) the software on our cars and tractors, our pacemakers and ventilators, our power plants and telephone switches.
28/
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Despite the Snowden revelations, despite the tech industry's prolific snood-cocking at EU privacy regulators and Canadian lawmakers, we all just carried on using these incredibly dangerous, steadily enshittifying Big Tech products. We even run our governments and structurally important companies off Big Tech. We let US tech companies update (that is, downgrade) the software on our cars and tractors, our pacemakers and ventilators, our power plants and telephone switches.
28/
There's lots of reasons for this. For one thing, ripping out and replacing all that software and firmware is a prodigious challenge, as is building the data-centers to host it for every "digitally sovereign" country.
29/
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There's lots of reasons for this. For one thing, ripping out and replacing all that software and firmware is a prodigious challenge, as is building the data-centers to host it for every "digitally sovereign" country.
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Add to that the complexity of successfully migrating data, edit histories, archives and identities and you're looking at a very big lift. So long as the American tech bosses kept their enshittificatory gambits to a measured, slow flow, they could keep the pain beneath the threshold where it was worth us boiling frogs leaping out of their pot.
30/
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Add to that the complexity of successfully migrating data, edit histories, archives and identities and you're looking at a very big lift. So long as the American tech bosses kept their enshittificatory gambits to a measured, slow flow, they could keep the pain beneath the threshold where it was worth us boiling frogs leaping out of their pot.
30/
But the most important force defending American internet hegemony was free trade: specifically, the US forced all of its trading partners to adopt "anticircumvention" laws that make it illegal to modify US tech exports. That means that you can't go into business selling your neighbors the tools to use generic ink or an independent app store, much less make a fortune exporting those tools to the rest of the world:
31/
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But the most important force defending American internet hegemony was free trade: specifically, the US forced all of its trading partners to adopt "anticircumvention" laws that make it illegal to modify US tech exports. That means that you can't go into business selling your neighbors the tools to use generic ink or an independent app store, much less make a fortune exporting those tools to the rest of the world:
31/
Enter Comrade Trump. When Trump started weaponizing US tech platforms to take away the working files, email accounts and cloud calendars of judges who pissed him off (by sentencing Bolsonaro to prison and swearing out a genocide warrant for Netanyahu), he put the whole world on notice that he could shut down their governments, judiciaries or companies at the click of a mouse:
32/
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Enter Comrade Trump. When Trump started weaponizing US tech platforms to take away the working files, email accounts and cloud calendars of judges who pissed him off (by sentencing Bolsonaro to prison and swearing out a genocide warrant for Netanyahu), he put the whole world on notice that he could shut down their governments, judiciaries or companies at the click of a mouse:
32/
And of course, he's whacked the whole world with tariffs that violate the trade agreements that imposed those anticircumvention obligations that protect America's defective tech exports. Now there's no longer any reason to keep those laws on the books. Happy Liberation Day, everyone! The post-American internet is at hand:
But Trump has *even more* praxis up his spraytan-stained sleeves.
33/
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And of course, he's whacked the whole world with tariffs that violate the trade agreements that imposed those anticircumvention obligations that protect America's defective tech exports. Now there's no longer any reason to keep those laws on the books. Happy Liberation Day, everyone! The post-American internet is at hand:
But Trump has *even more* praxis up his spraytan-stained sleeves.
33/
Trump is succeeding where Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and AOC failed: he's making the case for Democrats to defenestrate their useless, sellout, Epstein-poisoned leaders. All across the country, radical Dems and avowed socialists are sweeping primaries and elections, as voters realize that Blue No Matter Who will doom them to eternal torment in the Manchin-Synematic Universe:
Progressive Win in New Jersey Hinged on Anti-ICE Organizing - The American Prospect
Mejia combined campaigning with training, including town halls with sessions about anti-authoritarianism, civil disobedience, and ways to prepare for encounters with immigration agents, who are terrorizing New Jersey and every other state.
The American Prospect (prospect.org)
34/
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Trump is succeeding where Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and AOC failed: he's making the case for Democrats to defenestrate their useless, sellout, Epstein-poisoned leaders. All across the country, radical Dems and avowed socialists are sweeping primaries and elections, as voters realize that Blue No Matter Who will doom them to eternal torment in the Manchin-Synematic Universe:
Progressive Win in New Jersey Hinged on Anti-ICE Organizing - The American Prospect
Mejia combined campaigning with training, including town halls with sessions about anti-authoritarianism, civil disobedience, and ways to prepare for encounters with immigration agents, who are terrorizing New Jersey and every other state.
The American Prospect (prospect.org)
34/
Fury over Trumpismo is pushing even the most useless Democratic leaders to sign up for billionaire taxes:
Zohran Mamdani and the Left Made Kathy Hochul Tax the Rich
In New York City, a tax on superexpensive second homes is a victory for Zohran Mamdani and the socialist movement and should mark the beginning of a larger project of redistribution.
(jacobin.com)
Thanks to Comrade Trump, the median Democratic voter will no longer be satisfied with Kente cloth photo-ops and little ping-pong paddles stenciled with "down with this sort of thing":
Ping-Pong Paddles to a Gun Fight - Truthdig
The Democrats had a chance to do something bold last night. Almost all of them blew it.
Truthdig (www.truthdig.com)
35/
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Fury over Trumpismo is pushing even the most useless Democratic leaders to sign up for billionaire taxes:
Zohran Mamdani and the Left Made Kathy Hochul Tax the Rich
In New York City, a tax on superexpensive second homes is a victory for Zohran Mamdani and the socialist movement and should mark the beginning of a larger project of redistribution.
(jacobin.com)
Thanks to Comrade Trump, the median Democratic voter will no longer be satisfied with Kente cloth photo-ops and little ping-pong paddles stenciled with "down with this sort of thing":
Ping-Pong Paddles to a Gun Fight - Truthdig
The Democrats had a chance to do something bold last night. Almost all of them blew it.
Truthdig (www.truthdig.com)
35/
Thanks to Trump, we might see criminal prosecutions - and a primary challenge for any Dem that gets in the way of a serious, Nuremberg-style reckoning with Trumpismo and its gangsters:
Look, all things being equal, I would have preferred that Trump had keeled over from a mid-burger stroke on the campaign trail in 2016. But when life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla.
36/
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Thanks to Trump, we might see criminal prosecutions - and a primary challenge for any Dem that gets in the way of a serious, Nuremberg-style reckoning with Trumpismo and its gangsters:
Look, all things being equal, I would have preferred that Trump had keeled over from a mid-burger stroke on the campaign trail in 2016. But when life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla.
36/
This is a deeply shitty timeline, but Comrade Trump keeps tripping over his red tie. Let's take the wins.
eof/
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Not just subsidies for the energy transition, but also policy shifts in areas that were deadlocked for a decade, like approvals for balcony solar, which is transforming the continent. Even the UK, one of the oil industry's most reliable vassal states, is now greenlighting balcony solar:
Government to make 'plug-in solar' available within months
'Plug-in' solar panels to be in shops within months, offering households chance to significantly cut energy bills.
GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)
This may not sound like much, but the UK is a country whose politics is composed 50% hatred of migrants and trans people, and 50% incredibly stupid planning battles.
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@pluralistic UK planning is a game of snakes and ladders with no ladders. And a lot of snakes.
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(Maybe at this point you're thinking dark thoughts about critical minerals and such. That's not the problem you think it is and it's getting better every day. To take just one example, lithium batteries are about to be replaced with *sodium* batteries. Sodium is the world's sixth-most abundant element:)
China puts a sodium-ion battery into an EV for the first time — it can drive 248 miles on a single charge
A new vehicle is the first mass-produced passenger EV with a viable sodium-based alternative to conventional lithium-ion batteries.
Live Science (www.livescience.com)
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Ooh Tesla is gonna be real salty about this news
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This is a deeply shitty timeline, but Comrade Trump keeps tripping over his red tie. Let's take the wins.
eof/
What was that SF quote something like "bad things in the short term are often good things in the long run"?
H. Beam Piper I think. (Who was rather a right wing nut job, granted.)
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What was that SF quote something like "bad things in the short term are often good things in the long run"?
H. Beam Piper I think. (Who was rather a right wing nut job, granted.)
I also recall the rant from "Space Viking" about barbarians who get in power and don't understand what it takes to keep society running, and destroy it.
(Except he meant left-wingers, which is not how it is working out lately.)
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What was that SF quote something like "bad things in the short term are often good things in the long run"?
H. Beam Piper I think. (Who was rather a right wing nut job, granted.)
Found it:
""Might be a good thing, in the long run. Good things in the long run are often tough while they're happening."
"Space Viking" by H. Beam Piper, 1963.
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I also recall the rant from "Space Viking" about barbarians who get in power and don't understand what it takes to keep society running, and destroy it.
(Except he meant left-wingers, which is not how it is working out lately.)
Found it:
"Don't you? You were there; you saw what's happening. The barbarians are rising; they have a leader, and they're uniting. Every society rests on a barbarian base. The people who don't understand civilization, and wouldn't like it if they did. The hitchhikers."
1/3
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This is a deeply shitty timeline, but Comrade Trump keeps tripping over his red tie. Let's take the wins.
eof/
Thank you for that look at the bright side. There are some really good things happening, and that is what I need to focus on right now.
