There are only 4 possible scenarios.
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@QasimRashid I am expecting 2. Nuclear Weapons are neither flexible nor particulary effective in the big picture.
@opalmirror @QasimRashid this whole war is not very effective
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@QasimRashid 5. Iran gives in
@freyjfreyj @QasimRashid why would they now do that?
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@QasimRashid Add to #4 the possibility that Donald Trump dies.
That said, I’m not sure we can bank on what a President J. D. Vance will do.
@benfell @QasimRashid you can. He is a turncoat, a bigot, a coward. Miller will run the show.
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@freyjfreyj @QasimRashid why would they now do that?
@lindarosesmit @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid
Would you consider Russian style strikes against the power infrastructure and dams unthinkable if the war protracts? -
There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
@QasimRashid Unfortunately I do not see option 4 as viable, even if Trump resigns, is impeached or dies. The fundamental problem is the American political system.
No country or institution can trust America to honour any agreement long term. Even if a new Democratic president comes in and start negotiating in good faith, everything can be off the table in 4 years.
There is a joke about a man that did everything for his community, yet was always known for f** one sheep. America is now there.
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There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
Option 5, he might be struck by lightning and actually die?
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@lindarosesmit @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid
Would you consider Russian style strikes against the power infrastructure and dams unthinkable if the war protracts?@klegdixal @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid no. Nothing us unthinkable. Thus has already started. From all sudes. Energy, water, transportation (food). All is attacked.
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@QasimRashid 5. Iran gives in
Gives in to what exactly? Unconditional surrender after illegal airstrikes?
Won't happen. -
There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
@QasimRashid 5. Just do a "Mission Accomplished"?
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@QasimRashid Unfortunately I do not see option 4 as viable, even if Trump resigns, is impeached or dies. The fundamental problem is the American political system.
No country or institution can trust America to honour any agreement long term. Even if a new Democratic president comes in and start negotiating in good faith, everything can be off the table in 4 years.
There is a joke about a man that did everything for his community, yet was always known for f** one sheep. America is now there.
@HermanJS @QasimRashid How are the epstein files coming along ??
That's the REAL question.
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There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
@QasimRashid
1. The USA won't admit defeat, it's stupid. Russia is a paper tiger, isn't industrially competitive and would be turned into a parking lot by Europe in case of a conventional war.
2. A ground invasion would most likely be successful. The insurgency, however would be a massive issue. Also, there's no point in causing a global war over Iran.
3. The USA and Israel have no reason to use nuclear weapons. -
There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
Looking at the physical state of Trump, there's option 5, in which the horrible slob carks it.
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@klegdixal @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid no. Nothing us unthinkable. Thus has already started. From all sudes. Energy, water, transportation (food). All is attacked.
@lindarosesmit @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid
Then you have to consider the fifth possibility – Iran will become a humanitarian disaster 50 times worse than Gaza. -
@lindarosesmit @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid
Then you have to consider the fifth possibility – Iran will become a humanitarian disaster 50 times worse than Gaza.@klegdixal @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid i fear that may be what will happen if no one high enough up in several military structures is wise and brave enough to stop it. They have all sworn an oath.
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There are only 4 possible scenarios. 4th is the best option for humanity & the one Trump would rather die than accept.
1. Trump admits defeat & leaves Iran. Global power shifts clearly to China and Russia
2. Trump conducts a ground invasion. USA will lose. Potentially millions killed. Likely global war erupts.
3. Israel & USA use nuclear weapons. Definite global war erupts. Potentially billions killed.
4. Trump resigns or is impeached and actual peace negotiations begin.Praying for Option 4.
@QasimRashid
5. Trump declares victory, nothing changes, owned US media goes along with it. Gasoline prices achieve homeostasis at $4.25/gal.
Offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico resumes, because it breaks even at $100/bbl. -
@QasimRashid
1. The USA won't admit defeat, it's stupid. Russia is a paper tiger, isn't industrially competitive and would be turned into a parking lot by Europe in case of a conventional war.
2. A ground invasion would most likely be successful. The insurgency, however would be a massive issue. Also, there's no point in causing a global war over Iran.
3. The USA and Israel have no reason to use nuclear weapons.@Fokeu @QasimRashid We had no reason to bomb Iran to begin with.
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