There are only 4 possible scenarios.

[ferricoxide@blahaj.zone]

@QasimRashid@mastodon.social

With respect to #1:

Russia's already spent themselves in Ukraine.

China's advanced state of adoption of non-petroleum energy makes it feel like they're best-positioned to weather $200/bbl oil.

[ralann@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid and expect a hybrid of 2 and 3.

[freyjfreyj@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid 5. Iran gives in

[jdeisenberg@tech.lgbt]

@QasimRashid Option 4 would leave Vance in charge (or if he were also impeached, then Mike Johnson would be in charge). I seriously doubt actual peace negotiations would begin in that case.

[benfell@infosec.exchange]

@QasimRashid Add to #4 the possibility that Donald Trump dies.

That said, I’m not sure we can bank on what a President J. D. Vance will do.

[pizzademon@mastodon.online]

@QasimRashid There's a version where he blows up a lot more people and things, then declares victory and throws himself an even bigger birthday parade.

There's also a version where there's a terrorist retaliation in the Lower 48 and a hard pivot back to war on minority populations in blue states

[ingmar69@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid
5. Homeland Security organises a False Flag Operation against the Total GOP including Trump and his whole offspring and ofcourse Blame it on the Iranian who will gladly take the blame for it and pay the new government with free oil.

[lindarosesmit@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid with the option in the intro a good option to begin with. Lets hope for wise voters in the US and Israel this November

[lindarosesmit@mastodon.social]

@opalmirror @QasimRashid this whole war is not very effective

[lindarosesmit@mastodon.social]

@freyjfreyj @QasimRashid why would they now do that?

[lindarosesmit@mastodon.social]

@benfell @QasimRashid you can. He is a turncoat, a bigot, a coward. Miller will run the show.

[klegdixal@social.vivaldi.net]

@lindarosesmit @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid
Would you consider Russian style strikes against the power infrastructure and dams unthinkable if the war protracts?

[hermanjs@epicure.social]

@QasimRashid Unfortunately I do not see option 4 as viable, even if Trump resigns, is impeached or dies. The fundamental problem is the American political system.

No country or institution can trust America to honour any agreement long term. Even if a new Democratic president comes in and start negotiating in good faith, everything can be off the table in 4 years.

There is a joke about a man that did everything for his community, yet was always known for f** one sheep. America is now there.

[xs4me2@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid

Option 5, he might be struck by lightning and actually die?

[lindarosesmit@mastodon.social]

@klegdixal @freyjfreyj @QasimRashid no. Nothing us unthinkable. Thus has already started. From all sudes. Energy, water, transportation (food). All is attacked.

[mega@mastouille.fr]

@freyjfreyj @QasimRashid

Gives in to what exactly? Unconditional surrender after illegal airstrikes?
Won't happen.

[dtwx@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid 5. Just do a "Mission Accomplished"?

[swggrkllr3rd@mastodon.world]

@HermanJS @QasimRashid How are the epstein files coming along ??

That's the REAL question.

[fokeu@mastodon.social]

@QasimRashid
1. The USA won't admit defeat, it's stupid. Russia is a paper tiger, isn't industrially competitive and would be turned into a parking lot by Europe in case of a conventional war.
2. A ground invasion would most likely be successful. The insurgency, however would be a massive issue. Also, there's no point in causing a global war over Iran.
3. The USA and Israel have no reason to use nuclear weapons.

[walrus@toot.wales]

@QasimRashid

Looking at the physical state of Trump, there's option 5, in which the horrible slob carks it.