@sarajw 100% agree on all points.
I'm not sure whether people just don't recognise patterns re-playing, or whether that doesn't matter because social and economic systems chug along in their normal flow anyway and are pretty much impossible to actually control, because they're mostly emergent rather than directed.
Like no bird being in charge of the flock - you can see how it works but have no real control. Human systems feel more and more like that.