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  3. The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades.

The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades.

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  • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

    The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

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    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
    lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
    lexinova@cyberplace.social
    wrote last edited by
    #8

    @shoq if only something could avoid this ... ah yes the green energy trump want to kill so bad.

    he litterally destroyed the only thing that could soften the blow for us.

    that show how dumb he is.

    I would still preger to put a dog (animal) in his place the USA would be better directed.

    x41h@infosec.exchangeX joewein@mastodon.socialJ 2 Replies Last reply
    0
    • tasket@infosec.exchangeT tasket@infosec.exchange

      @shoq The Trump admin has spent much more time obsessing about regime change in Europe and China (which is now official US policy, btw) than any other foreign issue.

      Which region is the most sensitive to oil price shocks, having no substantial oil supply of its own? Europe.

      The oil price surge was probably intended to bring down the the liberal EU order, as well as help Russia and put them in the drivers' seat in their partnership with China. Trump can force US domestic producers to keep prices here low in time for the midterms, while he and Putin extort Europe and China.

      Hence the US military is more interested in stopping oil flow in the Strait than restoring it.

      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
      lexinova@cyberplace.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
      lexinova@cyberplace.social
      wrote last edited by
      #9

      @tasket @shoq it seem you don't know europe that much ?

      because unlike US we have 3 powerfull green enegy supply, and massive oil reserve since 2008 economic shock.

      also even the straigh closed mean only 2/3rd loss as there are pinepline that move 1/3rd of it.

      Did you really thinked that the country arround iran did not have an emergency plan if this happened ?

      tasket@infosec.exchangeT 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

        @shoq if only something could avoid this ... ah yes the green energy trump want to kill so bad.

        he litterally destroyed the only thing that could soften the blow for us.

        that show how dumb he is.

        I would still preger to put a dog (animal) in his place the USA would be better directed.

        x41h@infosec.exchangeX This user is from outside of this forum
        x41h@infosec.exchangeX This user is from outside of this forum
        x41h@infosec.exchange
        wrote last edited by
        #10

        @lexinova @shoq Ha. Elon donated $250,000,000 to Trump's campaign and Trump in typical backstabbing fashion never awarded him the electric car tax credit. Im sure he never has and never will endorse clean energy.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

          The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

          Link Preview Image
          x41h@infosec.exchangeX This user is from outside of this forum
          x41h@infosec.exchangeX This user is from outside of this forum
          x41h@infosec.exchange
          wrote last edited by
          #11

          @shoq Operation Epic Fury is an Epic Failure.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • tasket@infosec.exchangeT tasket@infosec.exchange

            @shoq The Trump admin has spent much more time obsessing about regime change in Europe and China (which is now official US policy, btw) than any other foreign issue.

            Which region is the most sensitive to oil price shocks, having no substantial oil supply of its own? Europe.

            The oil price surge was probably intended to bring down the the liberal EU order, as well as help Russia and put them in the drivers' seat in their partnership with China. Trump can force US domestic producers to keep prices here low in time for the midterms, while he and Putin extort Europe and China.

            Hence the US military is more interested in stopping oil flow in the Strait than restoring it.

            pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
            pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
            pattykimura@beige.party
            wrote last edited by
            #12

            @tasket

            How, do you assert, will Trump be able to keep domestic oil prices low?

            The US Strategic Oil Reserve is at 60%, not 100%.

            In 2006 Bush tried to depress pump prices during high global cost by rigging the refiners cost of the crack (process to break a molecule of crude into more than its parts) from a steady $18-$22 per bbl to a peculiar $6. But it was not sustainable and made no difference politically.

            What, specifically, do you believe Trump can do that others have failed at? I don't see it. Unless he nationalizes oil companies, or mandates fixed prices - neither seem tenable.

            @shoq

            ix9@social.vivaldi.netI 1 Reply Last reply
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            • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

              The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

              Link Preview Image
              pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
              pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
              pattykimura@beige.party
              wrote last edited by
              #13

              @shoq Big slow moving ships are sitting ducks. It's why the US Navy knows it's suicide, martyrdom, or capture & parade if it goes in.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

                The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

                Link Preview Image
                npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                npars01@mstdn.social
                wrote last edited by
                #14

                @shoq

                Fossil Fuel Shakedowns & US foreign policy ...

                https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/03/12/russian-oil-sanctions-lifted-iran/

                Trump's fossil fuel owners wanted a fast way to boost oil prices before Putin lost his war in Ukraine.

                The fossil fuel industry is in an axis alliance against any nation acting on climate.

                Link Preview Image
                US easing of Russia oil sanctions faces pushback from other leaders

                Leaders in Europe and Canada have pushed back against Washington's move to allow Russia to sell stranded oil.

                favicon

                (www.bbc.com)

                Link Preview Image
                Access Error

                favicon

                (www.ft.com)

                nytimes.com

                favicon

                (www.nytimes.com)

                How often are we supposed to tolerate market manipulation of oil commodities before a switch to solar & wind becomes mandatory?

                forbes.com

                favicon

                (www.forbes.com)

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                  @shoq if only something could avoid this ... ah yes the green energy trump want to kill so bad.

                  he litterally destroyed the only thing that could soften the blow for us.

                  that show how dumb he is.

                  I would still preger to put a dog (animal) in his place the USA would be better directed.

                  joewein@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  joewein@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  joewein@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #15

                  @lexinova @shoq

                  It all makes sense once you accept that he doesn't work for America.

                  When Putin says, "Make the oil price jump!"
                  then Donald will reply: "How high?"

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • pattykimura@beige.partyP pattykimura@beige.party

                    @tasket

                    How, do you assert, will Trump be able to keep domestic oil prices low?

                    The US Strategic Oil Reserve is at 60%, not 100%.

                    In 2006 Bush tried to depress pump prices during high global cost by rigging the refiners cost of the crack (process to break a molecule of crude into more than its parts) from a steady $18-$22 per bbl to a peculiar $6. But it was not sustainable and made no difference politically.

                    What, specifically, do you believe Trump can do that others have failed at? I don't see it. Unless he nationalizes oil companies, or mandates fixed prices - neither seem tenable.

                    @shoq

                    ix9@social.vivaldi.netI This user is from outside of this forum
                    ix9@social.vivaldi.netI This user is from outside of this forum
                    ix9@social.vivaldi.net
                    wrote last edited by
                    #16

                    @pattykimura @tasket @shoq I'm just guessing, but maybe he could simply ask his friends running the companies to lower their prices temporary? They are already scratching each other`s backs; its not the most farfetched idea.

                    pattykimura@beige.partyP 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

                      The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

                      Link Preview Image
                      xs4me2@mastodon.socialX This user is from outside of this forum
                      xs4me2@mastodon.socialX This user is from outside of this forum
                      xs4me2@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #17

                      @shoq

                      The ultimate stupidity the Trump regime displays is mind-boggling..

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • shoq@mastodon.socialS shoq@mastodon.social

                        The Strait of Hormuz has been Iran’s ace in the hole for decades. Trump’s fluffers didn’t understand that militaries don’t keep tankers afloat, insurance does. With thousands of drones, and only one hit needed for shipping to cease, it’s a cheap asymmetric war for Iran now.

                        Link Preview Image
                        meuwese@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                        meuwese@mastodon.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                        meuwese@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #18

                        @shoq plenty of people in Trump's direct surrounding have one primary strategic objective: dismantle the United States, whether to replace it by their technofeudal network states or just to bring back Jesus. And then there's of course the insider trading on policy no disastrous nobody on Wall Street would predict it.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                          tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                          tasket@infosec.exchange
                          wrote last edited by
                          #19

                          @hszakher @shoq Who did this at the start of the war..?

                          Link Preview Image
                          Why air strikes on Tehran oil facilities are causing black rain

                          Air strikes have damaged at least four oil facilities since US-Israeli attacks on Iran began last month.

                          favicon

                          (www.bbc.com)

                          The dialogue here is proving far worse than I experienced on forums during the Iraq War. Very muddled thinking. Social media and a tidal wave of automatic entertainment has damaged people's faculties across the board; doesn't matter what side you think you're on.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • ix9@social.vivaldi.netI ix9@social.vivaldi.net

                            @pattykimura @tasket @shoq I'm just guessing, but maybe he could simply ask his friends running the companies to lower their prices temporary? They are already scratching each other`s backs; its not the most farfetched idea.

                            pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pattykimura@beige.partyP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pattykimura@beige.party
                            wrote last edited by
                            #20

                            @ix9

                            Not how public corporations work. That's how privately owned/family Saudi or Gulf State businesses typically operate, and lol, they are the targets of the successful Iranian asymmetrical retaliation. Iran has been planning for an attack by the US for 50 years.

                            If Trump was as powerful as you fantasize his buddies would have already dropped their prices. He's a bully, but he's rapidly losing his edge, his shtick is losing its power and threat, and his "buddies" have watched him double-cross his most loyal and pathetic acolytes who dutifully paid their tributes to the King. The risk of obeying used to be less than the risk of disobeying, things have shifted.

                            Oil companies are as calculating, greedy, and ruthless as Trump, and the risk calculations have changed even if Trump (and you) don't see it. Neither of them are motivated by care for their customers or citizens, it's all about profit, and this is cash in time for any oil producer/refiner not in a Gulf state even if it screws Trump and consumers. Which is a calculated risk that pays off "bigly" for Iran.

                            Greed is a double edged axe.

                            @tasket @shoq

                            tasket@infosec.exchangeT 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • lexinova@cyberplace.socialL lexinova@cyberplace.social

                              @tasket @shoq it seem you don't know europe that much ?

                              because unlike US we have 3 powerfull green enegy supply, and massive oil reserve since 2008 economic shock.

                              also even the straigh closed mean only 2/3rd loss as there are pinepline that move 1/3rd of it.

                              Did you really thinked that the country arround iran did not have an emergency plan if this happened ?

                              tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                              tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                              tasket@infosec.exchange
                              wrote last edited by
                              #21

                              @lexinova @pattykimura

                              I hope both of you are right. But a reasonable explanation for events is that this is being done now before its too late to preserve the dominance of the fossil fuel / extractive industries (obviously, other overlapping motivations are there as well, like burying the Epstein issue).

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • cbuddenhagen@mastodon.nzC cbuddenhagen@mastodon.nz

                                @tasket @shoq

                                I think this suggested motivation attributes more thinking and less reptilian motivations behind his actions. He wants to use and demonstrate the power he has at his fingertips. A sense of superiority is enough.

                                hosford42@techhub.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                                hosford42@techhub.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                                hosford42@techhub.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #22

                                @cbuddenhagen

                                As for the people manipulating him...

                                @tasket @shoq

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • pattykimura@beige.partyP pattykimura@beige.party

                                  @ix9

                                  Not how public corporations work. That's how privately owned/family Saudi or Gulf State businesses typically operate, and lol, they are the targets of the successful Iranian asymmetrical retaliation. Iran has been planning for an attack by the US for 50 years.

                                  If Trump was as powerful as you fantasize his buddies would have already dropped their prices. He's a bully, but he's rapidly losing his edge, his shtick is losing its power and threat, and his "buddies" have watched him double-cross his most loyal and pathetic acolytes who dutifully paid their tributes to the King. The risk of obeying used to be less than the risk of disobeying, things have shifted.

                                  Oil companies are as calculating, greedy, and ruthless as Trump, and the risk calculations have changed even if Trump (and you) don't see it. Neither of them are motivated by care for their customers or citizens, it's all about profit, and this is cash in time for any oil producer/refiner not in a Gulf state even if it screws Trump and consumers. Which is a calculated risk that pays off "bigly" for Iran.

                                  Greed is a double edged axe.

                                  @tasket @shoq

                                  tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tasket@infosec.exchangeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tasket@infosec.exchange
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #23

                                  @pattykimura No, its not all about profit. The greed in this case is bound up with nazi-fascist ideology; not recognizing that is a big mistake and robs civil society of the ability to anticipate their tactics.

                                  Their next move will be to bring down the centrists in the EU, splintering it, and forming a white race axis from the pieces. Trumpists think that is what it will take to convince Russia to leave China's orbit.

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