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  3. Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago.

Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago.

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  • mcnado@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mcnado@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mcnado@mstdn.social
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

    Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

    infoseepage@mastodon.socialI lightfighter@infosec.exchangeL huntingdon@mstdn.socialH msmerope@sfba.socialM kleb@mastodon.worldK 7 Replies Last reply
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    • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

      Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

      Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

      infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
      infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
      infoseepage@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      @mcnado The Iranians can throw a weight of drones and missiles that the Houthis could only ever dream of and the US has a bad history of running their ships into mines as well. And now you've got these uncrewed explosive drone boats as well as speed boats with forward launching missile tubes, which Iran has has been demonstrating in recent days going so far as to actually show off a bunch of these toys stored in some sort of very well engineered tunnel complex.

      infoseepage@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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      • infoseepage@mastodon.socialI infoseepage@mastodon.social

        @mcnado The Iranians can throw a weight of drones and missiles that the Houthis could only ever dream of and the US has a bad history of running their ships into mines as well. And now you've got these uncrewed explosive drone boats as well as speed boats with forward launching missile tubes, which Iran has has been demonstrating in recent days going so far as to actually show off a bunch of these toys stored in some sort of very well engineered tunnel complex.

        infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
        infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
        infoseepage@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @mcnado I'm pretty sure if an Arleigh Burke class destroyer planted itself in the middle of the Straight of Hormuz, it would find its vertical launch missile tubes quickly exhausted by all the drones headed it's way and either be forced to retreat or perhaps become open to assault by more sophisticated ship killer missiles.

        tezoatlipoca@mas.toT 2qx@mastodon.social2 3 Replies Last reply
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        • infoseepage@mastodon.socialI infoseepage@mastodon.social

          @mcnado I'm pretty sure if an Arleigh Burke class destroyer planted itself in the middle of the Straight of Hormuz, it would find its vertical launch missile tubes quickly exhausted by all the drones headed it's way and either be forced to retreat or perhaps become open to assault by more sophisticated ship killer missiles.

          tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
          tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
          tezoatlipoca@mas.to
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          @Infoseepage @mcnado Not only that, but the fifth fleet just sent its only 4 minesweepers home to Philadelphia for decommissioning. And the LCS classes while _technically_ capable of minesweeping, have never been prooven in any capacity other than sailing from A to B and not catching fire (even that's debatable) . They are literal aluminium tin cans that will be crushed by anything that gets past the close-in weapons. Upside, an Exocet would just fly right through one.

          kimsj@mastodon.socialK 1 Reply Last reply
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          • infoseepage@mastodon.socialI infoseepage@mastodon.social

            @mcnado I'm pretty sure if an Arleigh Burke class destroyer planted itself in the middle of the Straight of Hormuz, it would find its vertical launch missile tubes quickly exhausted by all the drones headed it's way and either be forced to retreat or perhaps become open to assault by more sophisticated ship killer missiles.

            tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
            tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
            tezoatlipoca@mas.to
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @Infoseepage @mcnado curious - can you replenish VLS tubes while at sea? and they don't carry spares do they?

            infoseepage@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

              Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

              Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

              lightfighter@infosec.exchangeL This user is from outside of this forum
              lightfighter@infosec.exchangeL This user is from outside of this forum
              lightfighter@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @mcnado The concept of consequences is completely foreign to the political "leadership" of this country.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • R relay@relay.infosec.exchange shared this topic
              • tezoatlipoca@mas.toT tezoatlipoca@mas.to

                @Infoseepage @mcnado curious - can you replenish VLS tubes while at sea? and they don't carry spares do they?

                infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                infoseepage@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #7

                @tezoatlipoca @mcnado They technically can, but it's a slow process and requires pretty calm seas. They usually just sail out of a theater of conflict into a sheltered harbor where they can be craned in safely.

                tezoatlipoca@mas.toT 1 Reply Last reply
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                • infoseepage@mastodon.socialI infoseepage@mastodon.social

                  @tezoatlipoca @mcnado They technically can, but it's a slow process and requires pretty calm seas. They usually just sail out of a theater of conflict into a sheltered harbor where they can be craned in safely.

                  tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tezoatlipoca@mas.to
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  @Infoseepage @mcnado

                  Yeah, I wouldn't want to be doing this in a warzone at any kind of sea-state with actual warheads and possibly even -pre=fuelled missiles.
                  https://media.defense.gov/2022/Oct/06/2003092795/1460/1280/0/221004-N-UJ411-1429.JPG

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

                    Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

                    Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

                    huntingdon@mstdn.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                    huntingdon@mstdn.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                    huntingdon@mstdn.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    @mcnado

                    The anthropomorphizing helps no one. The US Navy is not "afraid" to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

                    It has weighed the risks and benefits, and determined it would be a foolish loss of life and waste of resources, to pursue an unobtainable objective.

                    401matthall@mastodon.xyz4 john@vyrse.socialJ 2 Replies Last reply
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                    • infoseepage@mastodon.socialI infoseepage@mastodon.social

                      @mcnado I'm pretty sure if an Arleigh Burke class destroyer planted itself in the middle of the Straight of Hormuz, it would find its vertical launch missile tubes quickly exhausted by all the drones headed it's way and either be forced to retreat or perhaps become open to assault by more sophisticated ship killer missiles.

                      2qx@mastodon.social2 This user is from outside of this forum
                      2qx@mastodon.social2 This user is from outside of this forum
                      2qx@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      @Infoseepage @mcnado

                      $1.2M missiles against $40k drones?

                      The war pigs know what they're doing.

                      infoseepage@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • 2qx@mastodon.social2 2qx@mastodon.social

                        @Infoseepage @mcnado

                        $1.2M missiles against $40k drones?

                        The war pigs know what they're doing.

                        infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                        infoseepage@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                        infoseepage@mastodon.social
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        @2qx @mcnado Well, if you're defending a 2.5 billion dollar ship, it is a no brainer to use the missile. Same when you're defending an oil tanker which cost $100m+ and is carrying a couple hundred million bucks worth of oil.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • R relay@relay.mycrowd.ca shared this topic
                        • huntingdon@mstdn.socialH huntingdon@mstdn.social

                          @mcnado

                          The anthropomorphizing helps no one. The US Navy is not "afraid" to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

                          It has weighed the risks and benefits, and determined it would be a foolish loss of life and waste of resources, to pursue an unobtainable objective.

                          401matthall@mastodon.xyz4 This user is from outside of this forum
                          401matthall@mastodon.xyz4 This user is from outside of this forum
                          401matthall@mastodon.xyz
                          wrote last edited by
                          #12

                          @huntingdon

                          That's pretty hair-splitty. Reasoning your way to a decision to not act is _often_ referred to as fear and doesn't lack clarity. Additionally, suggesting the Navy (or any organization) is experiencing an emotion is a pretty typical way of referring to the leadership and their state.

                          I don't think anyone thinks the ships themselves are experiencing fear.

                          Choosing to not send ships into a high-risk zone is succinctly explained as, "Navy afraid to send ships..."

                          @mcnado

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • huntingdon@mstdn.socialH huntingdon@mstdn.social

                            @mcnado

                            The anthropomorphizing helps no one. The US Navy is not "afraid" to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

                            It has weighed the risks and benefits, and determined it would be a foolish loss of life and waste of resources, to pursue an unobtainable objective.

                            john@vyrse.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            john@vyrse.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            john@vyrse.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13

                            @huntingdon @mcnado The decision-makers for the US Navy certainly weren't making decisions for the majority of anthropomorphs when they started something with Iran, that much is certain.

                            huntingdon@mstdn.socialH 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

                              Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

                              Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

                              msmerope@sfba.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                              msmerope@sfba.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                              msmerope@sfba.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #14

                              @mcnado again

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

                                Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

                                Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

                                kleb@mastodon.worldK This user is from outside of this forum
                                kleb@mastodon.worldK This user is from outside of this forum
                                kleb@mastodon.world
                                wrote last edited by
                                #15

                                @mcnado
                                Let's speak in their language. BABA ( BUY ANYTHING BUT AMERICAN)

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • mcnado@mstdn.socialM mcnado@mstdn.social

                                  Let’s be clear: the US Navy is afraid to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz because we know now what we knew a decade ago. We know that drone swarms and speedboat swarms are nearly impossible to defeat, and a US warship is a juicy target.

                                  Don’t start shit you can’t finish. And yet, here we are.

                                  tuban_muzuru@beige.partyT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tuban_muzuru@beige.partyT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tuban_muzuru@beige.party
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @mcnado

                                  The US Navy has invested heavily in exactly these counter-swarm problems. Systems like CIWS (Phalanx), SeaRAM, and directed energy weapons (the Navy's laser systems are now operationally deployed) are specifically designed for high-volume, low-cost threat saturation. The USS Dewey and other destroyers have demonstrated anti-swarm exercises with real success.

                                  The cost asymmetry argument cuts both ways too — yes, cheap drones are a problem, but laser weapons cost roughly $1 per shot compared to missiles that cost hundreds of thousands.

                                  mcnado@mstdn.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • tezoatlipoca@mas.toT tezoatlipoca@mas.to

                                    @Infoseepage @mcnado Not only that, but the fifth fleet just sent its only 4 minesweepers home to Philadelphia for decommissioning. And the LCS classes while _technically_ capable of minesweeping, have never been prooven in any capacity other than sailing from A to B and not catching fire (even that's debatable) . They are literal aluminium tin cans that will be crushed by anything that gets past the close-in weapons. Upside, an Exocet would just fly right through one.

                                    kimsj@mastodon.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                    kimsj@mastodon.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                    kimsj@mastodon.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #17

                                    @tezoatlipoca @Infoseepage @mcnado
                                    The British Navy discovered during the Falklands War (1982!) that aluminium is not a good material to build warships with.
                                    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RFA_Sir_Galahad_(1966)

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • john@vyrse.socialJ john@vyrse.social

                                      @huntingdon @mcnado The decision-makers for the US Navy certainly weren't making decisions for the majority of anthropomorphs when they started something with Iran, that much is certain.

                                      huntingdon@mstdn.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                                      huntingdon@mstdn.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                                      huntingdon@mstdn.social
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @john @mcnado

                                      Btw, the Navy is run by its civilian leadership, starting with the Commander in Chief.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • 401matthall@mastodon.xyz4 This user is from outside of this forum
                                        401matthall@mastodon.xyz4 This user is from outside of this forum
                                        401matthall@mastodon.xyz
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #19

                                        @huntingdon

                                        Can you feel my autism oozing through the screen? ❤

                                        @mcnado

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • tuban_muzuru@beige.partyT tuban_muzuru@beige.party

                                          @mcnado

                                          The US Navy has invested heavily in exactly these counter-swarm problems. Systems like CIWS (Phalanx), SeaRAM, and directed energy weapons (the Navy's laser systems are now operationally deployed) are specifically designed for high-volume, low-cost threat saturation. The USS Dewey and other destroyers have demonstrated anti-swarm exercises with real success.

                                          The cost asymmetry argument cuts both ways too — yes, cheap drones are a problem, but laser weapons cost roughly $1 per shot compared to missiles that cost hundreds of thousands.

                                          mcnado@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          mcnado@mstdn.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          mcnado@mstdn.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #20

                                          @tuban_muzuru they certainly have, and it may or may not be effective. Of course, we have previously blown open one of our own ships using automated cannon fire for missile defense in the Gulf War, and we had a number of close calls during the recent engagements with the Houthis. I wouldn’t want to be on that tin can if it were moved into the line of fire.

                                          tuban_muzuru@beige.partyT 1 Reply Last reply
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