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  3. AI wasn't the "next big thing" ... the market has missed it.

AI wasn't the "next big thing" ... the market has missed it.

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  • ben@mastodon.lubar.meB ben@mastodon.lubar.me

    @futurebird the issue is that the tech industry has gotten tired of waiting for big breakthroughs and decided to just pretend they're happening instead of working towards them anymore

    the last big breakthrough I can think of in anything related to video games was the idea of making the camera able to move in a VR game

    everything else is just slow tiny incremental progress, which is super important but apparently not exciting enough for tech CEOs

    majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
    majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
    majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.com
    wrote last edited by
    #4

    @ben I don't believe this is just a tech issue, but a capitalism issue.

    I believe the tech industry is getting the brunt of it because that's where most of the capital is right now.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • futurebird@sauropods.winF futurebird@sauropods.win

      AI wasn't the "next big thing" ... the market has missed it. Maybe it's not obviously profitable enough. But, there are ideas out there growing that will change the world and only the people close to them even know what they are.

      It's not totally possible to just decide that something is going to "change the world." You can fake it for a bit, but eventually reality sets in.

      That doesn't mean that nothing is happing. You just might need to listen in different places.

      majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
      majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
      majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.com
      wrote last edited by
      #5

      @futurebird If you listen to any capitalist about what the best new thing is, you've already lost in my opinion.

      futurebird@sauropods.winF 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • ben@mastodon.lubar.meB ben@mastodon.lubar.me

        @futurebird the issue is that the tech industry has gotten tired of waiting for big breakthroughs and decided to just pretend they're happening instead of working towards them anymore

        the last big breakthrough I can think of in anything related to video games was the idea of making the camera able to move in a VR game

        everything else is just slow tiny incremental progress, which is super important but apparently not exciting enough for tech CEOs

        futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
        futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
        futurebird@sauropods.win
        wrote last edited by
        #6

        @ben

        "the tech industry has gotten tired of waiting for big breakthroughs and decided to just pretend they're happening instead of working towards them anymore"

        It's so exhausting. I sometimes worry that we won't get to see any more cool breakthroughs since this "just fake it" ethos makes real tech progress very difficult.

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        • majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.com

          @futurebird If you listen to any capitalist about what the best new thing is, you've already lost in my opinion.

          futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
          futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
          futurebird@sauropods.win
          wrote last edited by
          #7

          @majorlinux

          They tried to pretend like this all came from a non-profit, remember?

          majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM 1 Reply Last reply
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          • futurebird@sauropods.winF futurebird@sauropods.win

            @majorlinux

            They tried to pretend like this all came from a non-profit, remember?

            majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
            majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.comM This user is from outside of this forum
            majorlinux@toot.majorshouse.com
            wrote last edited by
            #8

            @futurebird Yup!

            This whole thing has been a shit show.

            We could have had some wonderful things (and still can), but greedy white folks got their hands on it first.

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            • futurebird@sauropods.winF futurebird@sauropods.win

              AI wasn't the "next big thing" ... the market has missed it. Maybe it's not obviously profitable enough. But, there are ideas out there growing that will change the world and only the people close to them even know what they are.

              It's not totally possible to just decide that something is going to "change the world." You can fake it for a bit, but eventually reality sets in.

              That doesn't mean that nothing is happing. You just might need to listen in different places.

              resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
              resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
              resonancewright@infosec.exchange
              wrote last edited by
              #9

              @futurebird at the risk of dorksplaining a pedantic nonpoint, we really need to stop calling these LLMs AI. I agree that they aren't the next big thing. They also aren't AI.

              the larger point i have in mind is that we aren't done with the AI phase, just one of its preliminaries.

              toolbear@tech.lgbtT dalias@hachyderm.ioD 2 Replies Last reply
              0
              • futurebird@sauropods.winF futurebird@sauropods.win

                AI wasn't the "next big thing" ... the market has missed it. Maybe it's not obviously profitable enough. But, there are ideas out there growing that will change the world and only the people close to them even know what they are.

                It's not totally possible to just decide that something is going to "change the world." You can fake it for a bit, but eventually reality sets in.

                That doesn't mean that nothing is happing. You just might need to listen in different places.

                burnitdown@beige.partyB This user is from outside of this forum
                burnitdown@beige.partyB This user is from outside of this forum
                burnitdown@beige.party
                wrote last edited by
                #10

                @futurebird

                it's not even a thing. absolutely nothing new happened to make it anything it's being sold as. more computer per computer does not make whatever the hell "AI" is supposed to be. it's just fucking computers.

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                • ben@mastodon.lubar.meB ben@mastodon.lubar.me

                  @futurebird the issue is that the tech industry has gotten tired of waiting for big breakthroughs and decided to just pretend they're happening instead of working towards them anymore

                  the last big breakthrough I can think of in anything related to video games was the idea of making the camera able to move in a VR game

                  everything else is just slow tiny incremental progress, which is super important but apparently not exciting enough for tech CEOs

                  meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                  meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                  meltedcheese@c.im
                  wrote last edited by
                  #11

                  @ben @futurebird What about procedural generation, or the quality of graphical light rendering? those are behind the scenes. I think one big next step will be AI agents driving the NPCs in games.

                  ben@mastodon.lubar.meB futurebird@sauropods.winF 2 Replies Last reply
                  0
                  • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

                    @ben @futurebird What about procedural generation, or the quality of graphical light rendering? those are behind the scenes. I think one big next step will be AI agents driving the NPCs in games.

                    ben@mastodon.lubar.meB This user is from outside of this forum
                    ben@mastodon.lubar.meB This user is from outside of this forum
                    ben@mastodon.lubar.me
                    wrote last edited by
                    #12

                    @meltedcheese @futurebird There are already working prototypes of AI agents driving NPCs in games. They're a pretty good real-world example of why "video game writer" exists as a job. You can't just replace a professional writing team with an autocomplete algorithm and expect to get the same results.

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                    • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

                      @ben @futurebird What about procedural generation, or the quality of graphical light rendering? those are behind the scenes. I think one big next step will be AI agents driving the NPCs in games.

                      futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
                      futurebird@sauropods.winF This user is from outside of this forum
                      futurebird@sauropods.win
                      wrote last edited by
                      #13

                      @meltedcheese @ben

                      It's really hard to make an experience feel special and unique when you leave too much of it to the computer. Not impossible, but part of the joy is the choices the developers made about the world.

                      Now for translation and speech to text? That's where this tech really shines and does things that impress me.

                      Although you don't need the chatbot LLMs for that. It's nice to be able to read papers that aren't in English and still have all of the formatting the same.

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                      • resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR resonancewright@infosec.exchange

                        @futurebird at the risk of dorksplaining a pedantic nonpoint, we really need to stop calling these LLMs AI. I agree that they aren't the next big thing. They also aren't AI.

                        the larger point i have in mind is that we aren't done with the AI phase, just one of its preliminaries.

                        toolbear@tech.lgbtT This user is from outside of this forum
                        toolbear@tech.lgbtT This user is from outside of this forum
                        toolbear@tech.lgbt
                        wrote last edited by
                        #14

                        @resonancewright
                        Counterpoint: https://ali-alkhatib.com/blog/defining-ai
                        @futurebird

                        resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR resonancewright@infosec.exchange

                          @futurebird at the risk of dorksplaining a pedantic nonpoint, we really need to stop calling these LLMs AI. I agree that they aren't the next big thing. They also aren't AI.

                          the larger point i have in mind is that we aren't done with the AI phase, just one of its preliminaries.

                          dalias@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dalias@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dalias@hachyderm.io
                          wrote last edited by
                          #15

                          @resonancewright @futurebird They absolutely are "AI".

                          For over half a century, "AI" has been a marketing term for parlor tricks to bamboozle folks without the technical expertise needed to know better into thinking the computer is doing something vastly more impressive than what it's actually doing.

                          That is THE meaning of "AI".

                          resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • toolbear@tech.lgbtT toolbear@tech.lgbt

                            @resonancewright
                            Counterpoint: https://ali-alkhatib.com/blog/defining-ai
                            @futurebird

                            resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
                            resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
                            resonancewright@infosec.exchange
                            wrote last edited by
                            #16

                            @toolbear @futurebird

                            is it?

                            The author's point about perception is wonderfully post-modern and worthy of consideration about LLMs but I'm not sure it is applicable to the scale of AGI. It's also kind of hard to understand the scope of what they're saying AI is and isn't, underneath all the terms-based uncertainty.

                            Part of that is no doubt down to the idiosyncrasies of their prose construction -- i am loath to mock someone for writing unclearly in a non-native language but as someone who has both written and edited in English for a living I struggled a bit to elucidate what they were getting at.

                            True AI will only be so easily confused as being human to the degree that it intends to be deceptive but at the risk of dramaticising -- the difference between LLM and AI will be unmistakable.

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                            • dalias@hachyderm.ioD dalias@hachyderm.io

                              @resonancewright @futurebird They absolutely are "AI".

                              For over half a century, "AI" has been a marketing term for parlor tricks to bamboozle folks without the technical expertise needed to know better into thinking the computer is doing something vastly more impressive than what it's actually doing.

                              That is THE meaning of "AI".

                              resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
                              resonancewright@infosec.exchangeR This user is from outside of this forum
                              resonancewright@infosec.exchange
                              wrote last edited by
                              #17

                              @dalias @futurebird

                              if we are what marketers say we are, we're doomed.

                              I myself do not think they are the arbiters of reality, but I won't stop you if you do. It is certain that people constantly market 'smart' featured things as AI, when not even LLM features actual intelligence.

                              I have to say instead that I don't really GAF what they make of things, though, or what gullible people decide they must mean.

                              I think one can be two different things at the same time -- entirely skeptical of the current crop of businesses and products that are hyping the 'intelligence' of what they are offering for sale, and simultaneously cognizant that a true autonomic general intelligence will be a very different beast altogether.

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