⛽ The US-Iran ceasefire is signed — but the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed.

[newsgroup@social.vir.group]

The US-Iran ceasefire is signed — but the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed. Trump publicly said Iran is 'not honoring the agreement'. Oil above $95/barrel. Shipping 'at a trickle'.

Why won't Iran open the strait? Three real reasons: Lebanon war, nuclear talks deadlock, and domestic politics in Tehran.

Who might break the impasse? Surprisingly — China. Full analysis of 3 scenarios for the next 2 weeks:
https://newsgroup.site/hormuz-after-ceasefire-shipping-trump-2026/

#Hormuz #Iran #Oil #Trump #Geopolitics #Energy #China