OK I'm depressed and anxious so let's talk about some game theory: under no circumstances should *ANYONE* in 2026 admit that they would vote for Gavin Newsom for president.
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@glyph The unique twist is that the players get to talk freely for thirty seconds before committing to Split or Steal. In the recording, one of the players starts off by loudly declaring that he will pick Steal no matter what, and that he'll mail the other player a check for half the prize afterwards. He's absolutely immobile on that, despite the other player pleading.
At the end, both players choose Split.
@xgranade @glyph I feel like this works the first time only (and hey, Split/Split saves you the cost of the postage), but after that the metagame has changed.
The first time, the calculus is different. It includes “do I trust this obviously clever person who has really put thought into it to follow through on their super clever metagame-breaking play, or not?”
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Type A people, even if they *will eventually* vote for Newsom in that very unfortunate circumstance in 2028, should *say* they won't vote for Newsom in 2028, because the more people that stand up and say this, the *less likely* it is that he will be on the ballot in the general. If this strategy works it won't even have been a lie! No way to prove a negative!
@glyph How many non-Republicans outside of CA have awareness of Gavin at all?
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@glyph How many non-Republicans outside of CA have awareness of Gavin at all?
@going_to_maine at least 48% of democrats apparently https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/2028_Presidential_Preferences_poll_results.pdf
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@going_to_maine at least 48% of democrats apparently https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/2028_Presidential_Preferences_poll_results.pdf
@glyph Dang, those are some numbers. I'm more excited by the 37% for AOC, and most concerned about that 19% and 33%. Especially that 33%.
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