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  3. OK I'm depressed and anxious so let's talk about some game theory: under no circumstances should *ANYONE* in 2026 admit that they would vote for Gavin Newsom for president.

OK I'm depressed and anxious so let's talk about some game theory: under no circumstances should *ANYONE* in 2026 admit that they would vote for Gavin Newsom for president.

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  • xgranade@wandering.shopX xgranade@wandering.shop

    @dave @aud @glyph I don't think it's a valid strategy, no. Like I said, I think it's wrong but defensible. That is, wrong to a degree that I'm still willing to have a conversation about it, rather than "we don't share a reality" wrong or "not even wrong" wrong.

    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dave@alvarado.social
    wrote last edited by
    #37

    @xgranade @aud @glyph yeah I hear you, which is why I'm on the fence. I voted for Obama twice, I got gitmo still open and more deportations than W did. I voted for Hillary. God help me, I voted for Genocide Joe. I voted for Kamala, knowing she was a loser.

    I stand by my statement, a vote in the US is full-throated support of everything that candidate does. I'm getting tired of full-throated supporting fascism lite instead of giving the party I want to see change a swift kick in the ass.

    aud@fire.asta.lgbtA dave@alvarado.socialD 2 Replies Last reply
    0
    • aud@fire.asta.lgbtA aud@fire.asta.lgbt

      @dave@alvarado.social @xgranade@wandering.shop @glyph@mastodon.social AGREED. And I think they need to realize that isn't such an ironclad strategy for voters, honestly. It's gotten us here: a bunch of "winter palette fascist" candidates (THAT'S SUCH A GOOD TERM) because they were consistently the lesser of two evils... and a TON of lost elections with massive consequences while we get the full fat no skim fascists in charge.

      Their "safe" candidates are increasingly right wing shitheads and they feel safe to run them because they assume the base is solid. The "base" is
      not solid: we keep giving them votes and money and they piss it away on increasingly regressive candidates (just less regressive than the other side).

      They can
      see how wildly popular people like Mamdani are; they know it's a winning strategy for the people and the party... just not a winning strategy for them, I suspect.

      glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
      glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
      glyph@mastodon.social
      wrote last edited by
      #38

      @aud @xgranade @dave most popular elected democrat in the country and AFAIK his numbers just keep going up https://www.newsweek.com/zohran-mamdanis-popularity-hits-new-highpoll-11461031

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

        @xgranade @aud @glyph yeah I hear you, which is why I'm on the fence. I voted for Obama twice, I got gitmo still open and more deportations than W did. I voted for Hillary. God help me, I voted for Genocide Joe. I voted for Kamala, knowing she was a loser.

        I stand by my statement, a vote in the US is full-throated support of everything that candidate does. I'm getting tired of full-throated supporting fascism lite instead of giving the party I want to see change a swift kick in the ass.

        aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
        aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
        aud@fire.asta.lgbt
        wrote last edited by
        #39

        @dave@alvarado.social @glyph@mastodon.social @xgranade@wandering.shop I could have written this exact post and have thought all these things so many times. I am still so pissed about Gitmo.

        xgranade@wandering.shopX glyph@mastodon.socialG 2 Replies Last reply
        0
        • aud@fire.asta.lgbtA aud@fire.asta.lgbt

          @dave@alvarado.social @glyph@mastodon.social @xgranade@wandering.shop I could have written this exact post and have thought all these things so many times. I am still so pissed about Gitmo.

          xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
          xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
          xgranade@wandering.shop
          wrote last edited by
          #40

          @aud @glyph @dave I think it's the SCOTUS where I feel the most betrayed, personally. We've known since at *least* 2000 that the court has a severe legitimacy crisis, but the institutionalist Democrats whose whole supposed thing is caring about institutions just did... fucking nothing.

          glyph@mastodon.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • aud@fire.asta.lgbtA aud@fire.asta.lgbt

            @dave@alvarado.social @glyph@mastodon.social @xgranade@wandering.shop I could have written this exact post and have thought all these things so many times. I am still so pissed about Gitmo.

            glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
            glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
            glyph@mastodon.social
            wrote last edited by
            #41

            @aud @xgranade @dave I care a lot less about vindicating my personal feelings than I do about actually winning, but this is the argument the moderates make: you gotta moderate if you want to win. you have to split the difference. you can't argue too stridently for anything. don't have values.

            it would be bad enough to follow this logic if it were correct, but it's *wrong*. we keep doing the experiment! "tacking to the center" gets you zero conservatives and loses you progressives.

            xgranade@wandering.shopX dave@alvarado.socialD 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

              @xgranade @aud @glyph yeah I hear you, which is why I'm on the fence. I voted for Obama twice, I got gitmo still open and more deportations than W did. I voted for Hillary. God help me, I voted for Genocide Joe. I voted for Kamala, knowing she was a loser.

              I stand by my statement, a vote in the US is full-throated support of everything that candidate does. I'm getting tired of full-throated supporting fascism lite instead of giving the party I want to see change a swift kick in the ass.

              dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
              dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
              dave@alvarado.social
              wrote last edited by
              #42

              @xgranade @aud @glyph the fence I'm sitting on is whether it's more harmful to do this faster/slower fascism slide, or to live with four years of godawful after showing team D they have *zero* support for their current trajectory.

              Like, we got Trump a second time. I kinda wish Joe had gotten single-digit percent of the vote and the Democratic leadership had spent four years in stunned self-reflection. Instead we get fucking Gavin Newsom making a run.

              glyph@mastodon.socialG xgranade@wandering.shopX 2 Replies Last reply
              0
              • xgranade@wandering.shopX xgranade@wandering.shop

                @aud @glyph @dave I think it's the SCOTUS where I feel the most betrayed, personally. We've known since at *least* 2000 that the court has a severe legitimacy crisis, but the institutionalist Democrats whose whole supposed thing is caring about institutions just did... fucking nothing.

                glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                glyph@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #43

                @xgranade @aud @dave their fundamental, ongoing error was anthropomorphizing republicans

                theorangetheme@en.osm.townT 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                  @aud @xgranade @dave I care a lot less about vindicating my personal feelings than I do about actually winning, but this is the argument the moderates make: you gotta moderate if you want to win. you have to split the difference. you can't argue too stridently for anything. don't have values.

                  it would be bad enough to follow this logic if it were correct, but it's *wrong*. we keep doing the experiment! "tacking to the center" gets you zero conservatives and loses you progressives.

                  xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                  xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                  xgranade@wandering.shop
                  wrote last edited by
                  #44

                  @glyph @aud @dave I'm petty enough to care more about my personal feelings more than is good praxis, I know that about myself.

                  It's on that basis that I boost the everloving *fuck* out of your toot.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                    @aud @xgranade @dave I care a lot less about vindicating my personal feelings than I do about actually winning, but this is the argument the moderates make: you gotta moderate if you want to win. you have to split the difference. you can't argue too stridently for anything. don't have values.

                    it would be bad enough to follow this logic if it were correct, but it's *wrong*. we keep doing the experiment! "tacking to the center" gets you zero conservatives and loses you progressives.

                    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                    dave@alvarado.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #45

                    @glyph @aud @xgranade see that's the thing, how has winning helped?

                    glyph@mastodon.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

                      @xgranade @aud @glyph the fence I'm sitting on is whether it's more harmful to do this faster/slower fascism slide, or to live with four years of godawful after showing team D they have *zero* support for their current trajectory.

                      Like, we got Trump a second time. I kinda wish Joe had gotten single-digit percent of the vote and the Democratic leadership had spent four years in stunned self-reflection. Instead we get fucking Gavin Newsom making a run.

                      glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                      glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                      glyph@mastodon.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #46

                      @dave @xgranade @aud on an emotional level I 100% get you. but on a decision-making level I feel like you are constructing (or rather, giving in to) the framing that "everything happens in the general election". and obviously, everything culminates there. but primaries are important, intragroup discourse (hey, we're doing discourse!) is important, legislative races are important… preparation and organizing and coalition-building is way more important than the "do I / don't I" at the last moment

                      dave@alvarado.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

                        @xgranade @aud @glyph the fence I'm sitting on is whether it's more harmful to do this faster/slower fascism slide, or to live with four years of godawful after showing team D they have *zero* support for their current trajectory.

                        Like, we got Trump a second time. I kinda wish Joe had gotten single-digit percent of the vote and the Democratic leadership had spent four years in stunned self-reflection. Instead we get fucking Gavin Newsom making a run.

                        xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                        xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                        xgranade@wandering.shop
                        wrote last edited by
                        #47

                        @dave @aud @glyph I am quite firmly opposed to accelerationism as a philosophy, if only on the basis that the collateral damage is nearly incalculable in scope.

                        It's the primary basis on which I concede any rhetorical ground to VBNMW. Quickly making things quickly is worse than slowly making things worse.

                        dave@alvarado.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • xgranade@wandering.shopX xgranade@wandering.shop

                          @dave @aud @glyph I am quite firmly opposed to accelerationism as a philosophy, if only on the basis that the collateral damage is nearly incalculable in scope.

                          It's the primary basis on which I concede any rhetorical ground to VBNMW. Quickly making things quickly is worse than slowly making things worse.

                          dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                          dave@alvarado.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #48

                          @xgranade @aud @glyph that's the thing, *we are living in the collateral damage today*.

                          We got the damage. We did not get the lesson that should have gone with it.

                          glyph@mastodon.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                            @xgranade @aud @dave their fundamental, ongoing error was anthropomorphizing republicans

                            theorangetheme@en.osm.townT This user is from outside of this forum
                            theorangetheme@en.osm.townT This user is from outside of this forum
                            theorangetheme@en.osm.town
                            wrote last edited by
                            #49

                            @glyph @xgranade @aud @dave Republicans? You mean FashGPT?

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

                              @glyph @aud @xgranade see that's the thing, how has winning helped?

                              glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                              glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                              glyph@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #50

                              @dave @aud @xgranade in brief, accelerationism is also a sucker's game, so thinking that a big loss would be a catalyst that would make everyone wake up and finally do the right thing, also just doesn't work. so "winning" (i.e.: certain moderates winning certain positions in government at certain specific times) has probably prevented a lot of harm and death. If USAID had been canceled 4 years earlier a lot more people would be dead, and it probably wouldn't motivate any more blue votes

                              xgranade@wandering.shopX 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

                                @xgranade @aud @glyph that's the thing, *we are living in the collateral damage today*.

                                We got the damage. We did not get the lesson that should have gone with it.

                                glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                glyph@mastodon.social
                                wrote last edited by
                                #51

                                @dave @xgranade @aud again it's a matter of numbers. we didn't get *all* the damage. if current events are teaching us anything, it's that things can always get worse

                                dave@alvarado.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                  @dave @xgranade @aud on an emotional level I 100% get you. but on a decision-making level I feel like you are constructing (or rather, giving in to) the framing that "everything happens in the general election". and obviously, everything culminates there. but primaries are important, intragroup discourse (hey, we're doing discourse!) is important, legislative races are important… preparation and organizing and coalition-building is way more important than the "do I / don't I" at the last moment

                                  dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dave@alvarado.social
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #52

                                  @glyph @xgranade @aud I 100% agree with the reasons why you think the primaries matter.

                                  I 100% disagree that we actually get a say in them. Look at 2020--who besides the Democratic establishment wanted Biden? How did we get to the point that there was no other reasonably viable candidate? We were stuck looking for the next Obama at the end of years of the Democratic establishment making sure the bench was as shallow as possible so it would be somebody's "turn".

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                    @dave @xgranade @aud again it's a matter of numbers. we didn't get *all* the damage. if current events are teaching us anything, it's that things can always get worse

                                    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                    dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                    dave@alvarado.social
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #53

                                    @glyph @xgranade @aud if you don't think that 2026 is all the damage, I don't know how to convince you to face reality.

                                    Look at Kansas and tell me we aren't a fascist nation.

                                    glyph@mastodon.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                      @dave @aud @xgranade in brief, accelerationism is also a sucker's game, so thinking that a big loss would be a catalyst that would make everyone wake up and finally do the right thing, also just doesn't work. so "winning" (i.e.: certain moderates winning certain positions in government at certain specific times) has probably prevented a lot of harm and death. If USAID had been canceled 4 years earlier a lot more people would be dead, and it probably wouldn't motivate any more blue votes

                                      xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                                      xgranade@wandering.shopX This user is from outside of this forum
                                      xgranade@wandering.shop
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #54

                                      @glyph @dave @aud Much better put than how I said it, yeah. If I sincerely believed that causing harm to others could prevent even greater harm elsewhere, some real-world trolley problem shit, then I'd be talking more about consent, and who am I to make that decision, how much of that harm I'm willing to be accountable for, and so forth.

                                      But we're not there at all, it's not clear that that causing that harm will convince anyone, as you say.

                                      dave@alvarado.socialD glyph@mastodon.socialG 2 Replies Last reply
                                      0
                                      • dave@alvarado.socialD dave@alvarado.social

                                        @glyph @xgranade @aud if you don't think that 2026 is all the damage, I don't know how to convince you to face reality.

                                        Look at Kansas and tell me we aren't a fascist nation.

                                        glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                        glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                                        glyph@mastodon.social
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #55

                                        @dave @xgranade @aud The best response to that I can think of is this brief speech, given in the wake of Roe getting overturned: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFjiq4Incm8

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • xgranade@wandering.shopX xgranade@wandering.shop

                                          @glyph @dave @aud Much better put than how I said it, yeah. If I sincerely believed that causing harm to others could prevent even greater harm elsewhere, some real-world trolley problem shit, then I'd be talking more about consent, and who am I to make that decision, how much of that harm I'm willing to be accountable for, and so forth.

                                          But we're not there at all, it's not clear that that causing that harm will convince anyone, as you say.

                                          dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                          dave@alvarado.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                          dave@alvarado.social
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #56

                                          @xgranade @glyph @aud that's fair, I'm not sure it would work. I know it hasn't been tried.

                                          Also, a first-past-the-post election system is *always* a trolley problem.

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