For folks you're worried that today's AI can already replace us, or who are deciding how far to trust a learning model in a production environment - "The Car Wash Problem" is an entertaining and sobering experiment.
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For folks you're worried that today's AI can already replace us, or who are deciding how far to trust a learning model in a production environment - "The Car Wash Problem" is an entertaining and sobering experiment.
Opper | Unified AI Gateway & Agent Control Plane
The car wash test is the simplest AI reasoning benchmark that nearly every model fails. We tested 53 models through Opper, first once each, then 10 times. Only 5 passed consistently.
Opper (opper.ai)
"Everything below GPT-5 performs worse than 10,000 people given two buttons and no time to think."
It is critical to remember that today's AI always generates a pleasing answer, even when it is outside of it's capabilities.
There is a chasm between how today's AI thinks and how it presents itself. Stolen human writing regurgitated allows AI to present as more coherent than it's actual processing powers would otherwise allow.
Every one of these models presents a well written compelling argument, even while most miss the point entirely.
This case is special not because is fools many AI.
This case is special because most humans can still easily recognize the mistake no matter how well the AI presents itself.
We have a new lack-of-warriness problem to overcome, as these models continue to grow faster in apparent reliability than in actual reliability.
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