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  3. The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

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  • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

    @MissConstrue There's an interesting pattern to a large number of these faults, but I guess it'll be a topic for another day.

    vfrmedia@social.tchncs.deV This user is from outside of this forum
    vfrmedia@social.tchncs.deV This user is from outside of this forum
    vfrmedia@social.tchncs.de
    wrote last edited by
    #69

    @riley @MissConstrue

    I was thinking of some equipment I saw at a "Telekom-Museum" in Germany - it contained a clock but wasn't always powered on (or was just a display piece)

    The Germans had quite sensibly put a diagonal strip of red tape (in the style of the "Universal No" symbol) across the clock face, so you knew it was *not* a timepiece to be trusted..

    riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
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    • vfrmedia@social.tchncs.deV vfrmedia@social.tchncs.de

      @riley @MissConstrue

      I was thinking of some equipment I saw at a "Telekom-Museum" in Germany - it contained a clock but wasn't always powered on (or was just a display piece)

      The Germans had quite sensibly put a diagonal strip of red tape (in the style of the "Universal No" symbol) across the clock face, so you knew it was *not* a timepiece to be trusted..

      riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
      riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
      riley@toot.cat
      wrote last edited by
      #70

      @vfrmedia In aviation, the process is standardised by way of the INOP stickers.

      @MissConstrue

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      • drajt@fosstodon.orgD drajt@fosstodon.org shared this topic
      • samir@m.fedica.comS samir@m.fedica.com

        @riley I am sorry, this is not correct analogy
        The bot not giving you correct information 100% of the time doesn't make them useless
        A Search engine doesn't give you the correct answer all the time.
        Chatbots are incredibly helpful. Don't take the answer as 100% correct, review and research accuracy after you get the answer but they save you immense amount of time from searching yourself
        Think of them as hiring a jr employee or assistant. They are helpful but you must review their work

        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.com
        wrote last edited by
        #71
        @samir @riley Why would you ever think of a computer as a human and how does it improve anything?
        samir@m.fedica.comS 1 Reply Last reply
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        • jonoleth@mastodon.socialJ jonoleth@mastodon.social

          @proedie @riley given a cursory googling and this reddit poll, it doesn't seem like the meaning is that clear to the average person

          Link Preview Image

          favicon

          (www.reddit.com)

          jonoleth@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
          jonoleth@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
          jonoleth@mastodon.social
          wrote last edited by
          #72

          @proedie @riley after obsessing a little over getting to the bottom of this, the answer seems to be that the historical origin (from 1711) is akin to "If you stop chasing trends you will sometimes be fashionable", which is more in line with riley's definition in the OP. The other "official" definitions I've found seem to follow this as well.

          The definition that "coincidental correctness is worthless" seems to be a personal (though common) interpretation.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

            @Smohc_Stahc If we made a hammer out of dynamite, would it be a hammer or dynamite?

            smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
            smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
            smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.place
            wrote last edited by
            #73

            @riley This process turns dynamite into dynamite. The part is the whole.

            However, the elevator is not the whole of the machine. It can be determined that the elevator tells time but which time is a mystery without the broken clocks. The elevator does not fix the clocks either, they are still broken.

            menos@todon.euM 1 Reply Last reply
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            • bdf2121cc3334b35b6ecda66e471@mastodon.socialB bdf2121cc3334b35b6ecda66e471@mastodon.social

              @riley @MissConstrue I am not a bot. Please don't look at my name.

              missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
              missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
              missconstrue@mefi.social
              wrote last edited by
              #74

              @bdf2121cc3334b35b6ecda66e471 @riley
              01001001 00100000 01110011 01100101 01100101 00100000 01111001 01101111 01110101

              😉

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • onekind@beige.partyO onekind@beige.party

                @riley Riley, are you aware that linguistics in the 60s established language use conveys meaning by reference to other language with no guaranteed relation with some external reality? So all words bear the same relationship with reality a stopped clock has with actual time.

                I mention this because LLMs are not designed to provide information about the world, they're designed to generate discourse — language use (its output) that is validly constructed by reference to other language use (its training dataset). It's not fair to judge an LLM on the basis it's a lousy search engine.

                But if you spin up a RAG like NotebookLM and give it a reality to refer to (a set of documents) and then ask it a question i.e. is XYZ in the document set, turns out LLMs can do a pretty good job of accurately answering yes or no.

                pedromj@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                pedromj@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                pedromj@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #75

                @onekind @riley The answer would still be fuzzy -- there would be a ratio of certainty associated to yes and no. Other methods like pattern search could be tuned to be completely certain on the yes or the no -- some even both -- but I think it is impossible to tune stochastic methods in the same way. To conclude, external data is needed to assess the correctness of the answer of an LLM.

                onekind@beige.partyO 1 Reply Last reply
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                • hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.com
                  @samir @riley Why would you ever think of a computer as a human and how does it improve anything?
                  samir@m.fedica.comS This user is from outside of this forum
                  samir@m.fedica.comS This user is from outside of this forum
                  samir@m.fedica.com
                  wrote last edited by
                  #76

                  @hypolite @riley
                  A computer is not a human, but tools can replace humans to do certain job if not better.
                  If you don't like dishwashers, laundry machines, sewing machines, tractors and diggers then by all means hire someone to do it, but most of us find it more effective to use machines instead
                  I would rather focus my time on building more complex things than waste it on doing less complex jobs that a machine (or AI) can easily do in less time

                  hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • pedromj@mastodon.socialP pedromj@mastodon.social

                    @onekind @riley The answer would still be fuzzy -- there would be a ratio of certainty associated to yes and no. Other methods like pattern search could be tuned to be completely certain on the yes or the no -- some even both -- but I think it is impossible to tune stochastic methods in the same way. To conclude, external data is needed to assess the correctness of the answer of an LLM.

                    onekind@beige.partyO This user is from outside of this forum
                    onekind@beige.partyO This user is from outside of this forum
                    onekind@beige.party
                    wrote last edited by
                    #77

                    @pedromj @riley First, you're assuming that a RAG functions the same way as an LLM. It uses a mix of stochastic and deterministic analysis.

                    Second, a yes or no answer from a human is also 'fuzzy' in the sense that describing a query in language is never entirely precise, for exactly the reasons I discussed in my previous toot, so the answer given is always 'this is my best guess based on my contingent understanding of your imperfectly phrased question.'

                    Re your conclusion, I already described the document set as an artificially constructed external reality, which satisfies your objection.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                      The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                      A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                      This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                      demi@xeno.glyphpress.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                      demi@xeno.glyphpress.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                      demi@xeno.glyphpress.com
                      wrote last edited by
                      #78

                      @riley
                      Yes, finally someone else gets it!

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • samir@m.fedica.comS samir@m.fedica.com

                        @hypolite @riley
                        A computer is not a human, but tools can replace humans to do certain job if not better.
                        If you don't like dishwashers, laundry machines, sewing machines, tractors and diggers then by all means hire someone to do it, but most of us find it more effective to use machines instead
                        I would rather focus my time on building more complex things than waste it on doing less complex jobs that a machine (or AI) can easily do in less time

                        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
                        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
                        hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.com
                        wrote last edited by
                        #79

                        @samir Nobody ever told me to treat my dishwasher as an employee, though, why do you feel compelled to do this with LLM-based AI systems?

                        And if the benefits of these systems were that clear and on par with previously established machines, we wouldn't have this kind of conversation. The problem still isn't that people are using them wrong.

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                          The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                          A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                          This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                          crapaud@mstdn.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                          crapaud@mstdn.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                          crapaud@mstdn.social
                          wrote last edited by
                          #80

                          @riley
                          David Revoy recently mentioned how Pepper's (orange) cat Carrot was wrongly described as black by grokipedia. This made me speculate that it would be just as wrong if Carrot happened to be a black cat. Your post confirms that, thx.
                          https://framapiaf.org/@davidrevoy/115882389651946345

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                          • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                            The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                            A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                            This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                            lordcaramac@discordian.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lordcaramac@discordian.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                            lordcaramac@discordian.social
                            wrote last edited by
                            #81

                            @riley But what if I don't use the chatbot for information but as character in a game?

                            hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • dubikan@tooot.imD dubikan@tooot.im

                              @riley umm... That IS the notion of a broken clock being right twice a day. That just because something is sometimes right means it provides any relevant information. That's the whole point of the metaphor.

                              menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                              menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                              menos@todon.eu
                              wrote last edited by
                              #82

                              @Dubikan @riley Ummackshually™ that's not how it is commonly used.

                              dubikan@tooot.imD 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.place

                                @riley This process turns dynamite into dynamite. The part is the whole.

                                However, the elevator is not the whole of the machine. It can be determined that the elevator tells time but which time is a mystery without the broken clocks. The elevator does not fix the clocks either, they are still broken.

                                menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                menos@todon.eu
                                wrote last edited by
                                #83

                                @Smohc_Stahc @riley How would the elevator do what it does without a clock? That's about as much a counterexample as saying a clock hand is the same unchanged clock hand all the time so it can't possibly convey information about time.

                                smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • menos@todon.euM menos@todon.eu

                                  @Dubikan @riley Ummackshually™ that's not how it is commonly used.

                                  dubikan@tooot.imD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dubikan@tooot.imD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  dubikan@tooot.im
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #84

                                  @menos @riley can you use it the way it is commonly used then? I've never heard it other than as that. Maybe that just because someone is generally wrong it doesn't mean they can't sometimea be right by accident? I don't see any other uses for it...

                                  menos@todon.euM 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • dubikan@tooot.imD dubikan@tooot.im

                                    @menos @riley can you use it the way it is commonly used then? I've never heard it other than as that. Maybe that just because someone is generally wrong it doesn't mean they can't sometimea be right by accident? I don't see any other uses for it...

                                    menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    menos@todon.eu
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #85

                                    @Dubikan @riley Yeah, that's the common meaning. The implication "what that person says is completely useless because you'd have to know whether they're wrong or right so they're not telling you anything useful in either case" is never there, quite tho opposite.

                                    dubikan@tooot.imD 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • menos@todon.euM menos@todon.eu

                                      @Smohc_Stahc @riley How would the elevator do what it does without a clock? That's about as much a counterexample as saying a clock hand is the same unchanged clock hand all the time so it can't possibly convey information about time.

                                      smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS This user is from outside of this forum
                                      smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.place
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #86

                                      @menos @riley The riddle is about information revealed to the occupant of the elevator and yes a clock with hands and no face does convey less information. The broken clocks act as the face telling the time. Remember my original question "does the broken clock inform?" It's only intended as a counterexample if the answer is "yes".

                                      However the answer is in fact "no" because it is only by assumption that the occupant can tell the time because of the coincidence of the broken clocks.

                                      menos@todon.euM 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.place

                                        @menos @riley The riddle is about information revealed to the occupant of the elevator and yes a clock with hands and no face does convey less information. The broken clocks act as the face telling the time. Remember my original question "does the broken clock inform?" It's only intended as a counterexample if the answer is "yes".

                                        However the answer is in fact "no" because it is only by assumption that the occupant can tell the time because of the coincidence of the broken clocks.

                                        menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        menos@todon.euM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        menos@todon.eu
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #87

                                        @Smohc_Stahc @riley When you have a broken clock, or several of them, and a working clock, it's not much of a riddle that the whole thing can be used to tell the time.

                                        smohc_stahc@mastodon.gamedev.placeS 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • lordcaramac@discordian.socialL lordcaramac@discordian.social

                                          @riley But what if I don't use the chatbot for information but as character in a game?

                                          hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
                                          hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.comH This user is from outside of this forum
                                          hypolite@friendica.mrpetovan.com
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #88
                                          @LordCaramac @riley Then either that character's dialogue will be really confusing, or make up lore as they go, or unintentionally reveal plot points, in any case it's of little value to the player compared even to a repeated but hand-written dialogue.
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