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  3. The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

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  • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

    The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

    A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

    This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

    steveclough@metalhead.clubS This user is from outside of this forum
    steveclough@metalhead.clubS This user is from outside of this forum
    steveclough@metalhead.club
    wrote last edited by
    #34

    @riley I agree here, and it is an important point. Yes, a broken clock is right twice a day, but you have no idea which points it happens to be right. So it just reverses its usual function - it doesn't tell you the time, it just tells you a time that exists.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

      The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

      A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

      This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

      gudenau@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
      gudenau@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
      gudenau@hachyderm.io
      wrote last edited by
      #35

      @riley I miss when chatbots only existed in IRC and everyone knew they were just for the memes.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

        The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

        A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

        This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

        A This user is from outside of this forum
        A This user is from outside of this forum
        adam@fedi.adamm.cc
        wrote last edited by
        #36

        @riley Precisely the acid test I've given to various LLMs, and precisely how I discovered what I suspected about them is true. They're simply big bull shitters. Ask them something you know, and watch the blatantly false answers come back.

        riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

          The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

          A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

          This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

          rmvh@graphics.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
          rmvh@graphics.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
          rmvh@graphics.social
          wrote last edited by
          #37

          @riley I was thinking about this and realized that a clock that shows a fully random time every time you check it gives you the same info as a stopped clock.

          riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

            The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

            A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

            This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

            edbo@mastodon.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
            edbo@mastodon.socialE This user is from outside of this forum
            edbo@mastodon.social
            wrote last edited by
            #38

            @riley That actually really clears up how I feel when I very occasionally test an LLM. It gives me an answer but I just cannot trust that answer unless I already know.

            riley@toot.catR galbinuscaeli@spacey.spaceG 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

              The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

              A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

              This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

              seb321@toot.communityS This user is from outside of this forum
              seb321@toot.communityS This user is from outside of this forum
              seb321@toot.community
              wrote last edited by
              #39

              @riley It seems like the step of error checking has been missed off and left to the user. It’s as if you sent the time as beeps down a really noisy phone line - you’d need some form of checkbit for each package of information to have any assurance of veracity. We do this with people automatically - if someone tells you something, you’ll place less weight on it being right if that person also says verifiably false things. You might ask more questions to check against known info.

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              • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                paxil@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                paxil@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                paxil@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #40

                @riley Strong Sartre energy in this post; you’re conscious of the wrongness then the rightness is negated into nothingness, I like it.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                  The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                  A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                  This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                  robo105@mastodon.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                  robo105@mastodon.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                  robo105@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #41

                  @riley That is a brilliant point. Thank you

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                  • edbo@mastodon.socialE edbo@mastodon.social

                    @riley That actually really clears up how I feel when I very occasionally test an LLM. It gives me an answer but I just cannot trust that answer unless I already know.

                    riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                    riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                    riley@toot.cat
                    wrote last edited by
                    #42

                    @edbo I once pointed out to one that the supposed source reference link it gave was clearly irrelevant, and it apologised, told me how clever I was to notice it, thanked me for noticing it, and gave me another clearly irrelevant link.

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                    • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                      The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                      A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                      This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                      jnfingerle@social.saarlandJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jnfingerle@social.saarlandJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jnfingerle@social.saarland
                      wrote last edited by
                      #43

                      @riley
                      The supposed misunderstanding is the very point of this notion.

                      So, as a woman, you're basically mansplaining broken clocks?

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • rmvh@graphics.socialR rmvh@graphics.social

                        @riley I was thinking about this and realized that a clock that shows a fully random time every time you check it gives you the same info as a stopped clock.

                        riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                        riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                        riley@toot.cat
                        wrote last edited by
                        #44

                        @rmvh Indeed. Well, it actually gives you a little bit more enthropy, in that you can use it as dice. A stopped clock is useless in this rôle.

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • A adam@fedi.adamm.cc

                          @riley Precisely the acid test I've given to various LLMs, and precisely how I discovered what I suspected about them is true. They're simply big bull shitters. Ask them something you know, and watch the blatantly false answers come back.

                          riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                          riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                          riley@toot.cat
                          wrote last edited by
                          #45

                          @adam "But how else would humans who suck at bullshitting have access to this crucial skill?"

                          riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                            @adam "But how else would humans who suck at bullshitting have access to this crucial skill?"

                            riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                            riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                            riley@toot.cat
                            wrote last edited by
                            #46

                            @adam FWIW, there's a standard scientific experiment protocol: give the black box some problems whose solutions you know, and some whose solutions you don't know, but if productive hypotheses were offered, could check them. If the black box gets the first class of problems reasonably right, you'll invest into the necessarily harder problem of verifying whether it got problems of the second class as right, as well.

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                              The notion of a broken clock being sometimes right is based on a gross misunderstanding of what information is.

                              A clock that always shows the same time is never right, even in the moments of the day when the time happens to be what it shows, because you don't gain any information about what time it is by looking at the clock.

                              This reasoning also applies to chatbots. If you can't tell whether what you have been given is useful information unless you alreay know the information, then you haven't been given useful information.

                              dubikan@tooot.imD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dubikan@tooot.imD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dubikan@tooot.im
                              wrote last edited by
                              #47

                              @riley umm... That IS the notion of a broken clock being right twice a day. That just because something is sometimes right means it provides any relevant information. That's the whole point of the metaphor.

                              menos@todon.euM 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                                @modulux A proof is not information in a strict sense, and largery exactly because of this reason: it's self-contained (or, well, can be, with sufficient formalism available).

                                In a broad sense, there's some very interesting philosophy that can be done about the notion of information content of Teh Book. But it's mostly the kind of philosophy that requires a larger mug of beer than would be conducive to my upcoming meetings[1], so, as the old Orcish saying goes, nar udautas.

                                As a general rule, I tend to prefer the interpretation that a proof is a series of "I'd now like to bring your attention to ..." kind of steps: they don't add anything (directly) to your mental map; they suggest where you should look at to find interesting things that are already on the map.

                                [1] A children's book I once read included a character, one mathematics professor, who argued that it is pointless to ask questions, because there's two possibilities: the answer either is known or is not known. If it's known, what's the point of asking it again? If it's not known, what's the point of asking if there won't be an answer?

                                And, well, while it's silly in an obvious way, this kind of reasoning actually comes up in the context of proofs-as-information.

                                riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                riley@toot.cat
                                wrote last edited by
                                #48

                                @modulux (In case you're not familiar with Famous #ADHD People, The Book is a tenet from Erdős Pál lore.)

                                M 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                                  @modulux (In case you're not familiar with Famous #ADHD People, The Book is a tenet from Erdős Pál lore.)

                                  M This user is from outside of this forum
                                  M This user is from outside of this forum
                                  modulux@node.isonomia.net
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #49

                                  @riley Yes, I heard about it; the most elegant possible proof for a given theorem, roughly?

                                  Rather I was thinking of the notion you stated that proofs aren't information, and I see why you said it. But it doesn't seem intuitive when we compare it to other ways we use the notion.

                                  For example let's say we have a composite number pq. Generally speaking, we would say that getting p and q is additional information. But the proof that some p in particular and some q in particular result in pq would contain no information. It's rather odd to think of.

                                  riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                                    This confusion is also what cold reading is based on, btw. Falling for a chatbot is literally the same type of mistake as falling for a psychic telling you that somebody you used to know who had a vowel in their name died.

                                    gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gbargoud@masto.nycG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gbargoud@masto.nyc
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #50

                                    @riley

                                    @baldur 's LLMentalist article is something I have shared repeatedly since it first came out:

                                    Link Preview Image
                                    The LLMentalist Effect: how chat-based Large Language Models rep…

                                    How to make better software with systems-thinking

                                    favicon

                                    Out of the Software Crisis (softwarecrisis.dev)

                                    riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • stefano@mastodon.bsd.cafeS stefano@mastodon.bsd.cafe shared this topic
                                    • M modulux@node.isonomia.net

                                      @riley Yes, I heard about it; the most elegant possible proof for a given theorem, roughly?

                                      Rather I was thinking of the notion you stated that proofs aren't information, and I see why you said it. But it doesn't seem intuitive when we compare it to other ways we use the notion.

                                      For example let's say we have a composite number pq. Generally speaking, we would say that getting p and q is additional information. But the proof that some p in particular and some q in particular result in pq would contain no information. It's rather odd to think of.

                                      riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                      riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                      riley@toot.cat
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #51

                                      @modulux You know how numeric probabilities can vary depending on how equipotentiality is defined, and it sometimes be left implicit with multiple equally plausible "obvious" definitions?

                                      Modelling the information flow of abstract mathematics as such runs into this same sort of problems. Nobody has axiomatised it; there's a bunch of common intuitive assumptions, but a lot of them are ... well, you can pry them loose and justify it if you want to, and sometimes, get interesting results this way. But a lot of times, you don't get anything, or maybe you will have to nail down your own (quasi)-axioms first. These aren't like the axioms of modern geometry; they're really kind of like what Eukleides wrote in the beginning of The Elements, and then never did anything with because it didn't make any sense.[1]

                                      So you see why I suggested a huge mug of beer for dealing with this stuff.

                                      [1] Caveat: if you go searching, a lot of sources offer modern axiomatic geometry instead of Eukleides' original work — still because his vague notion of foundations didn't make sense, and now we actually have the axioms that could have been used for the conclusions he went on to, pardon the pun, draw. Most of the rigorisation work was done in the 1600s' Italy; the lingering hairy problem of the Parallels' Axioms was eventually solved by Lobachevskiy in early 1800s by demonstrating that it can be reversed without breaking anything else, and Euklidean geometry as understood by moden mathematics generally rests on Hilbert's[2] work from the pinnacle of the 19th century, as in, it was published in 1899. But it can be great fun to read translations of the original Elements, including the crappy parts.

                                      [2] You might have heard of his hotel, which has a countable infinity number of rooms. Ijon Tichy was a repeat customer.

                                      riley@toot.catR 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
                                      • gbargoud@masto.nycG gbargoud@masto.nyc

                                        @riley

                                        @baldur 's LLMentalist article is something I have shared repeatedly since it first came out:

                                        Link Preview Image
                                        The LLMentalist Effect: how chat-based Large Language Models rep…

                                        How to make better software with systems-thinking

                                        favicon

                                        Out of the Software Crisis (softwarecrisis.dev)

                                        riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        riley@toot.cat
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #52

                                        @gbargoud Thanks! I didn't know of this article.

                                        @baldur

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • riley@toot.catR riley@toot.cat

                                          @modulux You know how numeric probabilities can vary depending on how equipotentiality is defined, and it sometimes be left implicit with multiple equally plausible "obvious" definitions?

                                          Modelling the information flow of abstract mathematics as such runs into this same sort of problems. Nobody has axiomatised it; there's a bunch of common intuitive assumptions, but a lot of them are ... well, you can pry them loose and justify it if you want to, and sometimes, get interesting results this way. But a lot of times, you don't get anything, or maybe you will have to nail down your own (quasi)-axioms first. These aren't like the axioms of modern geometry; they're really kind of like what Eukleides wrote in the beginning of The Elements, and then never did anything with because it didn't make any sense.[1]

                                          So you see why I suggested a huge mug of beer for dealing with this stuff.

                                          [1] Caveat: if you go searching, a lot of sources offer modern axiomatic geometry instead of Eukleides' original work — still because his vague notion of foundations didn't make sense, and now we actually have the axioms that could have been used for the conclusions he went on to, pardon the pun, draw. Most of the rigorisation work was done in the 1600s' Italy; the lingering hairy problem of the Parallels' Axioms was eventually solved by Lobachevskiy in early 1800s by demonstrating that it can be reversed without breaking anything else, and Euklidean geometry as understood by moden mathematics generally rests on Hilbert's[2] work from the pinnacle of the 19th century, as in, it was published in 1899. But it can be great fun to read translations of the original Elements, including the crappy parts.

                                          [2] You might have heard of his hotel, which has a countable infinity number of rooms. Ijon Tichy was a repeat customer.

                                          riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          riley@toot.catR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          riley@toot.cat
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #53

                                          @modulux Oh, btw: Turing's Machines are this way, in part, because they genuinely used to try and go with the notion of information flows in mathematics being like frictionless spherical cows in vacuum. For some things, it's a great simplifications; for others, well, it didn't work out, and we ended up having Complexity Theory.

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