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  3. In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

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  • anton@icosahedron.websiteA anton@icosahedron.website

    @michael_w_busch @diazona @paco Also: how many trees need to be cut to produce those 2000 tons of rag paper?

    epd5qrxx@mastodon.onlineE This user is from outside of this forum
    epd5qrxx@mastodon.onlineE This user is from outside of this forum
    epd5qrxx@mastodon.online
    wrote last edited by
    #21

    @anton

    > Federal Reserve notes are a blend of 25 percent linen and 75 percent cotton. Currency paper has tiny red and blue synthetic fibers of various lengths evenly distributed throughout the paper.

    Link Preview Image
    Currency Facts

    The U.S. Currency Education Program shares several unique facts about U.S. currency.

    favicon

    U.S. Currency Education Program (www.uscurrency.gov)

    @michael_w_busch

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    • paco@infosec.exchangeP paco@infosec.exchange

      In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

      But I want to know: if we had $200B in, say, $100 notes, and we literally set them on fire:

      • would it dispose of the money faster? How long would it take?
      • would the impact on the environment be worse or less bad?

      I gotta think there is someone on the #fediverse with the wherewithal to figure this out. Surely if we boost this, it will nerdsnipe the right person and we will learn the answer.

      M This user is from outside of this forum
      M This user is from outside of this forum
      muellerwhh@sueden.social
      wrote last edited by
      #22

      @paco @davidgerard Depends if you burn them in parallel or not and it depends on the oxigen supply. If you would burn this as one big connected line of paper, you would burn something that would go 7800 times around the world, so that would be a roll almost a meter thick going around earth. If you would burn that in parallel, I am lacking imagination how long it would take.

      M 1 Reply Last reply
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      • M muellerwhh@sueden.social

        @paco @davidgerard Depends if you burn them in parallel or not and it depends on the oxigen supply. If you would burn this as one big connected line of paper, you would burn something that would go 7800 times around the world, so that would be a roll almost a meter thick going around earth. If you would burn that in parallel, I am lacking imagination how long it would take.

        M This user is from outside of this forum
        M This user is from outside of this forum
        muellerwhh@sueden.social
        wrote last edited by
        #23

        @paco @davidgerard However, for the fun of it, let us assume that a dollar bill takes 2 minutes to burn. Then burning once around the world would take 975 years!

        So burning 7800 times that one after another would take 7.5 million years. So, to put that in perspective, if I can believe my understanding of Wikipedia, 7.5 million years ago Wolves were state of the art, and no-one talked about monkeys.

        So yes, if you don't want to burn the money on a heap, it will be slow compared to OpenAI.

        M 1 Reply Last reply
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        • M muellerwhh@sueden.social

          @paco @davidgerard However, for the fun of it, let us assume that a dollar bill takes 2 minutes to burn. Then burning once around the world would take 975 years!

          So burning 7800 times that one after another would take 7.5 million years. So, to put that in perspective, if I can believe my understanding of Wikipedia, 7.5 million years ago Wolves were state of the art, and no-one talked about monkeys.

          So yes, if you don't want to burn the money on a heap, it will be slow compared to OpenAI.

          M This user is from outside of this forum
          M This user is from outside of this forum
          muellerwhh@sueden.social
          wrote last edited by
          #24

          @paco @davidgerard And yes, this was just a calculation on a lazy day and I may have made tons of little errors. Somewhen in the middle I had a version that confused minutes and days.

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          • dpnash@c.imD dpnash@c.im

            @revk @paco @davidgerard

            One advantage of doing the test this way is the uncertainty in the time estimate is high enough that nobody (except possibly your financial advisor and some carefully chosen charities) notices you only burned $199.99B instead of the intended $200B.

            ben@bluetoot.hardill.me.ukB This user is from outside of this forum
            ben@bluetoot.hardill.me.ukB This user is from outside of this forum
            ben@bluetoot.hardill.me.uk
            wrote last edited by
            #25

            @dpnash @revk @paco @davidgerard Surely the people to ask are the KLF (or K Foundation)

            Link Preview Image
            K Foundation Burn a Million Quid - Wikipedia

            favicon

            (en.wikipedia.org)

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            • paco@infosec.exchangeP paco@infosec.exchange

              In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

              But I want to know: if we had $200B in, say, $100 notes, and we literally set them on fire:

              • would it dispose of the money faster? How long would it take?
              • would the impact on the environment be worse or less bad?

              I gotta think there is someone on the #fediverse with the wherewithal to figure this out. Surely if we boost this, it will nerdsnipe the right person and we will learn the answer.

              J This user is from outside of this forum
              J This user is from outside of this forum
              julf@social.secret-wg.org
              wrote last edited by
              #26

              @paco @davidgerard
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K_Foundation_Burn_a_Million_Quid

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              • paco@infosec.exchangeP paco@infosec.exchange

                In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

                But I want to know: if we had $200B in, say, $100 notes, and we literally set them on fire:

                • would it dispose of the money faster? How long would it take?
                • would the impact on the environment be worse or less bad?

                I gotta think there is someone on the #fediverse with the wherewithal to figure this out. Surely if we boost this, it will nerdsnipe the right person and we will learn the answer.

                ivolimmen@toot.communityI This user is from outside of this forum
                ivolimmen@toot.communityI This user is from outside of this forum
                ivolimmen@toot.community
                wrote last edited by
                #27

                @paco @davidgerard burning the cache would have saved a lot of energy wasted and would mean we can have a swimming pool in the summer as my water would not have been used in the local data center...

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                • paco@infosec.exchangeP paco@infosec.exchange

                  In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

                  But I want to know: if we had $200B in, say, $100 notes, and we literally set them on fire:

                  • would it dispose of the money faster? How long would it take?
                  • would the impact on the environment be worse or less bad?

                  I gotta think there is someone on the #fediverse with the wherewithal to figure this out. Surely if we boost this, it will nerdsnipe the right person and we will learn the answer.

                  williamheath@mastodon.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
                  williamheath@mastodon.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
                  williamheath@mastodon.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #28

                  @paco @davidgerard
                  Closest test run would be the KLF https://youtu.be/21nhIZ9QF80?si=v6R5hpfydU0G_q_S

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                  • michael_w_busch@mastodon.onlineM michael_w_busch@mastodon.online

                    @diazona @paco

                    200 billion in $100 notes is 2 billion notes or about 2,000 tons of rag paper and polymer.

                    Which would burn to release less than 10% of what OpenAI took to do a training run to make ChatGPT4.

                    (50 gigawatt hours of electricity => a few times that in thermal energy.)

                    azog@mas.toA This user is from outside of this forum
                    azog@mas.toA This user is from outside of this forum
                    azog@mas.to
                    wrote last edited by
                    #29

                    @michael_w_busch @diazona @paco I looked up the capacity of my local incinerator (officially called the "Dublin waste to energy facility") and it says they handle 600,000 tonnes a year.

                    So the 2000 tonnes of bills would only last a day or so.

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                    • tubsta@social.bsdlab.auT This user is from outside of this forum
                      tubsta@social.bsdlab.auT This user is from outside of this forum
                      tubsta@social.bsdlab.au
                      wrote last edited by
                      #30
                      @stufromoz @paco @davidgerard @briankrebs Can’t just pop them into a top loader and expect them the shred like a tissue in your jeans pocket
                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • paco@infosec.exchangeP paco@infosec.exchange

                        In his latest “Pivot to AI” OpenAI faces cash crunch in 2026 as bills come due, @davidgerard (accurately) says: “#OpenAI works by setting as much money as it can on fire, as fast as possible.”

                        But I want to know: if we had $200B in, say, $100 notes, and we literally set them on fire:

                        • would it dispose of the money faster? How long would it take?
                        • would the impact on the environment be worse or less bad?

                        I gotta think there is someone on the #fediverse with the wherewithal to figure this out. Surely if we boost this, it will nerdsnipe the right person and we will learn the answer.

                        caveknoll@infosec.exchangeC This user is from outside of this forum
                        caveknoll@infosec.exchangeC This user is from outside of this forum
                        caveknoll@infosec.exchange
                        wrote last edited by
                        #31

                        @paco @davidgerard Wouldn’t call it nerdsnipe. More like nerd carpet bombing

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