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  3. I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

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  • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG gotofritz@hachyderm.io

    @GossiTheDog

    I am really baffled as to how someone as technically adept as yoursef can constantly rant about GenAI being "bullshit" when it is clearly being used by thousands to good effect

    Is there a lot of hype? of course. Is everything that comes out of GenAI good? Of course not. Are there a lot of idiots in the industry? goes without saying. Is it overused and a there is slop everywhere? Sure

    But it _is_ a game changer and things are never going back to they way they were in tech, whether we like it or not

    I saw the exact same conversations in the early days of the web, but we should know better by now

    You can't make it go away by shouting at it

    dr2chase@ohai.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dr2chase@ohai.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
    dr2chase@ohai.social
    wrote last edited by
    #39

    @gotofritz @GossiTheDog on the one hand it has use (I use it most days, for various coding/debugging tasks) on the other hand I don't see utility anywhere near the outrageous investment, and that's what makes a bubble. The investment boom is probably bullshit. All of the demands to get rid of the practices that "stand in the way" of us becoming "10x engineers" are likely bullshit. AIUI CxOs were sold the future of firing a large fraction of their employees, and that is also bullshit.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG gotofritz@hachyderm.io

      @GossiTheDog

      I am really baffled as to how someone as technically adept as yoursef can constantly rant about GenAI being "bullshit" when it is clearly being used by thousands to good effect

      Is there a lot of hype? of course. Is everything that comes out of GenAI good? Of course not. Are there a lot of idiots in the industry? goes without saying. Is it overused and a there is slop everywhere? Sure

      But it _is_ a game changer and things are never going back to they way they were in tech, whether we like it or not

      I saw the exact same conversations in the early days of the web, but we should know better by now

      You can't make it go away by shouting at it

      cholling@bytes.programming.devC This user is from outside of this forum
      cholling@bytes.programming.devC This user is from outside of this forum
      cholling@bytes.programming.dev
      wrote last edited by
      #40

      @gotofritz @GossiTheDog wait, you work in "green energy" and you're using a word guesser that sucks up untold amounts of power and water and is controlled by tech bros who fund candidates who want to repeal environmental regulations and pave the rainforests to build more data centers? I don't care how much it allegedly improves your efficiency (a claim which, by the way, doesn't hold up to scientific scrutiny), I can't see how you could possibly justify the tradeoff.

      gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG 1 Reply Last reply
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      • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

        I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

        At the beginning of 2021.

        Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

        And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

        GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

        F This user is from outside of this forum
        F This user is from outside of this forum
        frutigeraero00@mastodon.social
        wrote last edited by
        #41

        @GossiTheDog I kinda get what you say, but i feel it has always been like this, since scam existed. They are just gambling and scamming on us and playing their fictional game bc they are lying on eachother believing they are winning, which is part of their game.

        But i feel there is some truth on this scam which is, people use ai. But they are overreacting about it (while the hype lasts).

        The part that worries me is that they are trying to persuade us to use it. And a lot of ppl believes them.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

          I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

          At the beginning of 2021.

          Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

          And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

          GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

          8r3n7@mstdn.ca8 This user is from outside of this forum
          8r3n7@mstdn.ca8 This user is from outside of this forum
          8r3n7@mstdn.ca
          wrote last edited by
          #42

          @GossiTheDog Perhaps this mistakes an acute symptom for the underlying affliction?

          A "market" is a lot of people trading things back and forth. It is a classic complex system, full of feedback loops, high sensitivity, and emergent phenomena. You cannot have such a system without these surprising manifestations.

          You can dampen their impact. But that requires clear, well-designed rules, well enforced. Even then, no set of rules is perfect, and enforcement cannot be perfect, either. That would require perfect information and prediction power.

          The larger the complex system, the wilder the chaotic emergent behaviours, and the more unpredictable. The answer might be to find ways to shrink the market, or break it into smaller pieces. But even then, actors who play in multiple markets would coordinate across them, whether explicitly or only tacitly, as they observe and imitate and respond to one another.

          For every Gamestop, there are likely many attempts to coordinate that fail, and are never reported.

          O 1 Reply Last reply
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          • ppn@mastodon.onlineP ppn@mastodon.online

            @GossiTheDog @gotofritz You are so obtuse on the topic that you don’t even understand the argument about Minitel. Minitel, Teletext etc were all evidence that the widespread need was there regardless of implementation details. There is no such thing for GenAI currently just like there was no such thing for 3D TV, Google Glass, Metaverse and various other infamous ill-fated tech. They are literally attempts by aimless leadership at finding the next bait & switch 2/2

            gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
            gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
            gotofritz@hachyderm.io
            wrote last edited by
            #43

            @ppn @GossiTheDog

            You are making a lot categorical statements based on what seems only gut feeling and cherry picked events. "Google still having no idea what to do with Gemini" for example - it's one of their GCP offerings 🙄. "Grok being sue for CSAM" - the owner of Grok has also fucked twitter up, is that then evidence than the internet is doomed? Etc

            As I said, bias colours how we view and select "evidence"

            ppn@mastodon.onlineP 1 Reply Last reply
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            • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

              I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

              At the beginning of 2021.

              Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

              And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

              GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

              K This user is from outside of this forum
              K This user is from outside of this forum
              kneoghau@mastodon.social
              wrote last edited by
              #44

              @GossiTheDog WSB didn't pump $11 BILLION into a stock, but someone did illegally naked short the company (at least) 140%. Buying and holding a stock doesn't cause the price to go up exponentially unless there's some other fuckiness going on

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG gotofritz@hachyderm.io

                @ppn @GossiTheDog

                You are making a lot categorical statements based on what seems only gut feeling and cherry picked events. "Google still having no idea what to do with Gemini" for example - it's one of their GCP offerings 🙄. "Grok being sue for CSAM" - the owner of Grok has also fucked twitter up, is that then evidence than the internet is doomed? Etc

                As I said, bias colours how we view and select "evidence"

                ppn@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
                ppn@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
                ppn@mastodon.online
                wrote last edited by
                #45

                @gotofritz @GossiTheDog you are still dodging my questions about what sources lead to your conclusions and literally put words into my mouth to advance an imaginary argument. Gemini was put in GCP because Google literally doesn’t know what to do with its capabilities. Remember the staged 2023 demo and the dreams sold? Now it is used as a quite expensive code auto completion and dev ops scripts with extra steps framed into very Google-centric framework and tool kits

                gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

                  I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

                  At the beginning of 2021.

                  Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

                  And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

                  GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

                  P This user is from outside of this forum
                  P This user is from outside of this forum
                  phurd@infosec.exchange
                  wrote last edited by
                  #46

                  @GossiTheDog You're right that GameStop's stock price isn't (currently) based on fundamentals. It hadn't been picked clean by private equity, so it still had every chance of success. The massive change in price was possible because of irresponsible hedge fund shorting. So regardless of their business plan, they're sitting on a massive pile of cash and can ride it out indefinitely. I sold my GME position mid-2024.
                  So I suppose the situation is the opposite for GenAI - GME the market was too confident in its decline, GenAI the market is too confident in its success. There is a core cult of believers and an orbit of rando investors just riding along

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                  • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gotofritz@hachyderm.io
                    wrote last edited by
                    #47

                    @AlexanderVI @GossiTheDog

                    Agree, but isn't that the case for a lot of other tech? For example, Uber

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG gotofritz@hachyderm.io

                      @howrd @GossiTheDog

                      It's more than developers (media, law, and finance for example) but I agree with you - but I see it just as an adjustment phase, just like the dot com crash didn't stop the web industry

                      B This user is from outside of this forum
                      B This user is from outside of this forum
                      baalroga@piaille.fr
                      wrote last edited by
                      #48

                      @gotofritz @howrd @GossiTheDog https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/east/2026/04/23/866953.htm looks good to me.
                      And honestly, if poor devs use genAI, it won't prevent them from logic error, or poor spec.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • cholling@bytes.programming.devC cholling@bytes.programming.dev

                        @gotofritz @GossiTheDog wait, you work in "green energy" and you're using a word guesser that sucks up untold amounts of power and water and is controlled by tech bros who fund candidates who want to repeal environmental regulations and pave the rainforests to build more data centers? I don't care how much it allegedly improves your efficiency (a claim which, by the way, doesn't hold up to scientific scrutiny), I can't see how you could possibly justify the tradeoff.

                        gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                        gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                        gotofritz@hachyderm.io
                        wrote last edited by
                        #49

                        @cholling @GossiTheDog

                        I think you are just arguing with a bogeyman in your head rather than me.

                        I never mentioned what I use, how I use it, why I use it. I merely said the tech is here to stay, which I strongly believe.

                        Also you are a data engineer, meaning most of your work happens in data centers. Or do you think data centers run on fairy dust until the moment when someone deploys a ML model to them, at which point they turn into the satanic mills?

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • ppn@mastodon.onlineP ppn@mastodon.online

                          @gotofritz @GossiTheDog you are still dodging my questions about what sources lead to your conclusions and literally put words into my mouth to advance an imaginary argument. Gemini was put in GCP because Google literally doesn’t know what to do with its capabilities. Remember the staged 2023 demo and the dreams sold? Now it is used as a quite expensive code auto completion and dev ops scripts with extra steps framed into very Google-centric framework and tool kits

                          gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gotofritz@hachyderm.io
                          wrote last edited by
                          #50

                          @ppn @GossiTheDog

                          I quoted your own words 😆

                          And your question cannot be serious, do you live under a rock or do you not see it all around you?

                          ppn@mastodon.onlineP 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG gotofritz@hachyderm.io

                            @ppn @GossiTheDog

                            I quoted your own words 😆

                            And your question cannot be serious, do you live under a rock or do you not see it all around you?

                            ppn@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
                            ppn@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
                            ppn@mastodon.online
                            wrote last edited by
                            #51

                            @gotofritz @GossiTheDog I live under a rock but I don’t live in denial. I see that you keep dodging my questions which is evidence enough.

                            gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

                              I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

                              At the beginning of 2021.

                              Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

                              And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

                              GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

                              lumettaria@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lumettaria@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                              lumettaria@mastodon.social
                              wrote last edited by
                              #52

                              @GossiTheDog atp we're just larpin

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • ppn@mastodon.onlineP ppn@mastodon.online

                                @gotofritz @GossiTheDog I live under a rock but I don’t live in denial. I see that you keep dodging my questions which is evidence enough.

                                gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                                gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                                gotofritz@hachyderm.io
                                wrote last edited by
                                #53

                                @ppn

                                I am not sure exactly what questions you think I am dodging.

                                It looks to me like you are just looking for an excuse to block me while maintaining the moral high ground. Fine, let's do it then, I'm also bored of this convo

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

                                  I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

                                  At the beginning of 2021.

                                  Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

                                  And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

                                  GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

                                  the5thcolumnist@ottawa.placeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  the5thcolumnist@ottawa.placeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  the5thcolumnist@ottawa.place
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #54

                                  @GossiTheDog

                                  Because investors no longer look at the actual long range prospects of a company's real value but simply the short range predictions of its share prices. Even if that's bullshit they figure they can sell high before the company collapses and make a profit.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gotofritz@hachyderm.ioG This user is from outside of this forum
                                    gotofritz@hachyderm.io
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #55

                                    @AlexanderVI @GossiTheDog

                                    I agree.

                                    To be clear: I am not arguing this his either good or desirable. I am just stating it is happening IMHO.

                                    Really disappointed with the level of debate on mastodon on this topic, if one is not shouting daily "I hate AI!!!" they are a fanboy and get attacked

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • gossithedog@cyberplace.socialG gossithedog@cyberplace.social

                                      I have a theory about when the business world went to shit.

                                      At the beginning of 2021.

                                      Reddit bros realised they could inflate the value of GameStop - a business selling physical video games which is as doomed as Blockbuster - by just... vibing and pretending.

                                      And now everybody just vibes and pretends across business. Everybody knows everything is bullshit, e.g. GenAI's largely bullshit... but as long as we vibe along, who cares!

                                      GameStop's worth $11bn (lol) and they swapped CEO to a bro.

                                      pikhq@social.treehouse.systemsP This user is from outside of this forum
                                      pikhq@social.treehouse.systemsP This user is from outside of this forum
                                      pikhq@social.treehouse.systems
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #56

                                      @GossiTheDog that would suggest the entire US stock market, and not just the genAI portions, are in a highly inflated bubble.
                                      Bubbles pop.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • 8r3n7@mstdn.ca8 8r3n7@mstdn.ca

                                        @GossiTheDog Perhaps this mistakes an acute symptom for the underlying affliction?

                                        A "market" is a lot of people trading things back and forth. It is a classic complex system, full of feedback loops, high sensitivity, and emergent phenomena. You cannot have such a system without these surprising manifestations.

                                        You can dampen their impact. But that requires clear, well-designed rules, well enforced. Even then, no set of rules is perfect, and enforcement cannot be perfect, either. That would require perfect information and prediction power.

                                        The larger the complex system, the wilder the chaotic emergent behaviours, and the more unpredictable. The answer might be to find ways to shrink the market, or break it into smaller pieces. But even then, actors who play in multiple markets would coordinate across them, whether explicitly or only tacitly, as they observe and imitate and respond to one another.

                                        For every Gamestop, there are likely many attempts to coordinate that fail, and are never reported.

                                        O This user is from outside of this forum
                                        O This user is from outside of this forum
                                        ophis@brain.worm.pink
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #57
                                        @8r3n7 @GossiTheDog afaict it's the same underlying affliction that gave us 2008... or the dot-com bubble...
                                        1 Reply Last reply
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