Had a lot of fun with my stats students today.
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Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird @Bumblefish that question makes no sense
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The LLM is like a little box of computer horrors that we peer into from time to time.
I'm sorry but the whole interface is just so silly.
You ask for random numbers with sentences and it pretends to give them to you? What are we doooooing?
@futurebird I am reminded of a Doctor Who episode, where they realize they are in a simulation because they are incapable of generating truly random numbers. One scene has a whole bunch of scientists sitting at a table and they all keep yelling the same number at the same time.
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@burnitdown @futurebird These days if you really want random numbers you can have them. Eg. RDRAND on Intel chips is seeded by analogue circuitry, not by some state updated in RAM. And even if you don't use RDRAND directly its output is still used as a source of entropy for other generators.
@dpiponi@mathstodon.xyz @burnitdown@beige.party @futurebird@sauropods.win and cloudflare famously uses a camera pointed at a wall of lava lamps because the motion is random
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Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird @Bumblefish There's literally no way to say whether a list of numbers is random or not (1, 1, 1, 1, etc can plausibly be a random sequence for all we know), though you can establish likelihoods by looking at the distribution.
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Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird @Bumblefish The only way you could determine that something’s not random is if a pattern emerges in the data set. Even still, statistically, it is probable for a CSPRNG with good entropy to produce a random data set that looks like it’s not random—unlikely, but probable.
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@futurebird It's very weird.
In principle, if you take an LLM, you should be able to get it to generate random numbers in a way that reflects the numbers that appear in the corpus it was trained on. If you have the raw model you can probably do that.
But if you ask ChatGPT (or at least if I do) it starts talking about how numbers taken from around us typically follow Benford's law so their first digits have a logarithmic distribution. When it then spits out some random numbers it's no longer sampling random numbers from the entire corpus but a sample that's probably heavily biased towards numbers that appear in articles about Benford's law. I.e. what people have previously said about these numbers, rather than the actual numbers.
@dpiponi Even with a raw model, I don't see how you would sample from the distribution of numbers in the corpus. Perhaps provide no context and sample one or more tokens (using an independent pseudo-random number generator) from the distribution, and if the returned token parses as a number, return it to the user, otherwise try again. Providing any context/prompt would bias what is returned. This seems too contrived/circular.
@futurebird -
@futurebird @Bumblefish There's literally no way to say whether a list of numbers is random or not (1, 1, 1, 1, etc can plausibly be a random sequence for all we know), though you can establish likelihoods by looking at the distribution.
You *can* make an argument for one of these lists being random like a dice roll and the other being much less likely to be generated in that way.
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@futurebird @Bumblefish The only way you could determine that something’s not random is if a pattern emerges in the data set. Even still, statistically, it is probable for a CSPRNG with good entropy to produce a random data set that looks like it’s not random—unlikely, but probable.
Only one of these lists could *plausibly* be from rolling dice.
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@futurebird @Bumblefish The only way you could determine that something’s not random is if a pattern emerges in the data set. Even still, statistically, it is probable for a CSPRNG with good entropy to produce a random data set that looks like it’s not random—unlikely, but probable.
@futurebird @Bumblefish I have a UUID-generating library that, under certain conditions, could generate the same identical UUIDs because the CSPRNG it used ended up reusing the same entropy seed, unless the server was restarted. That was a *fun* bug to investigate and fix.
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Only one of these lists could *plausibly* be from rolling dice.
@futurebird @Bumblefish Based on the statistical distribution of the dice rolls?
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Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird @Bumblefish I like list A for random and list B for “planned random”.
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Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird
just to clarify what she means is as if from random unbiased 6 sided die rolls. -
The LLM is like a little box of computer horrors that we peer into from time to time.
I'm sorry but the whole interface is just so silly.
You ask for random numbers with sentences and it pretends to give them to you? What are we doooooing?
@futurebird the first episode of Numb3rs covered the appearance of randomness vs true randomness. I would not have remember that but watched a bunch of episodes to serve as math concept inspiration for the 31 music pieces I wrote and performed (on actual hardware synths) the whole month of January for #jamuary2026 #math #music #synths
Jamuary 2026
Listen to Jamuary 2026, a playlist curated by Francois Dion on desktop and mobile.
SoundCloud (soundcloud.com)
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@futurebird
just to clarify what she means is as if from random unbiased 6 sided die rolls.@futurebird
things I would check are first the frequency of each number... they should be somewhat uniform but not TOO close to equal as all exactly equal is unlikely... next I'd look at the length of repeat sequences and compare to expected values.the actual definition of random sequences (Per Martin-Löf) is in terms of passing tests actually
@Bumblefish -
Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
@futurebird @Bumblefish listA has 17 occurrences of 1-4 and 16 of 5-6, where listB has different frequencies for each. I would guess that listB is actually random, listA is too nice.
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The LLM is like a little box of computer horrors that we peer into from time to time.
I'm sorry but the whole interface is just so silly.
You ask for random numbers with sentences and it pretends to give them to you? What are we doooooing?
@futurebird now i'm morbidly curious about what output it gave
...and, relatedly, whether asking it for random words would net a very high frequency of ninjas, monkeys and sporks... -
Which one is random?
(data sets are 100 numbers 1 to 6)listA=[2,3,5,1,2,2,4,2,4,5,2,3,3,4,5,6,4,2,6,2,2,1,3,4,5,5,6,3,3,6,1,4,2,1,4,5,2,2,3,3,3,5,6,3,2,4,5,5,1,1,1,6,1,4,3,5,5,3,1,1,1,6,1,4,6,6,3,6,6,2,4,4,4,5,1,5,6,2,6,1,1,2,4,2,2,3,4,4,5,6,1,3,3,3,5,4,6,5,1,6]
listB=[4,2,5,6,3,5,3,1,3,4,2,3,4,3,4,5,5,1,3,3,2,1,1,6,1,3,2,2,2,6,1,5,6,3,6,3,2,3,2,4,6,1,1,6,3,2,4,1,6,1,3,1,5,6,2,3,3,5,1,6,4,5,2,5,1,1,5,3,6,2,3,3,6,5,2,3,3,1,6,3,2,3,2,1,6,6,4,4,6,2,4,5,4,5,3,4,6,5,3,2]
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@futurebird @Bumblefish no, scratch, that, list A has a *lot* of triples, like a disturbing number, and there are so many ascending patterns...
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The LLM is like a little box of computer horrors that we peer into from time to time.
I'm sorry but the whole interface is just so silly.
You ask for random numbers with sentences and it pretends to give them to you? What are we doooooing?
@futurebird
little box, little box of horrors -
@dpiponi Even with a raw model, I don't see how you would sample from the distribution of numbers in the corpus. Perhaps provide no context and sample one or more tokens (using an independent pseudo-random number generator) from the distribution, and if the returned token parses as a number, return it to the user, otherwise try again. Providing any context/prompt would bias what is returned. This seems too contrived/circular.
@futurebird@jedbrown @futurebird You described exactly what I would do. Obviously it would depend on an external PRNG and yes, no prompt. One natural way to use an LLM is to transform draws from a PRNG into draws from a distribution intended to represent some corpus. Picking numbers out of these draws would be expected to have a similar distribution to picking numbers from the original corpus. IIRC I may already have tested to see of the results conform to Benford's law - I did a lot of stuff like that when llama.cpp first became available. You have to select the right parameters to have llama.cpp use the distribution "correctly".
