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  3. Entirely Foreseeable AWS Outageshttps://rys.io/en/182.html

Entirely Foreseeable AWS Outageshttps://rys.io/en/182.html

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  • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

    @hans

    > On the other hand, people aren't deterministic either, and they are the most valuable tools

    Whoa, okay, maybe let's start by not calling people "tools".

    You have a massively complex system like AWS infrastructure. You have engineers who are not "deterministic" in the sense that software is deterministic, managing it.

    Why on Earth would you want to complicate your life and take on loads of risk by adding another layer of random non-determinism in there? Makes no sense.

    hans@social.woefdram.nlH This user is from outside of this forum
    hans@social.woefdram.nlH This user is from outside of this forum
    hans@social.woefdram.nl
    wrote last edited by
    #12
    @Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦 I'm a sysadmin myself, so I can call them tools 😇

    But agree: at the moment these agentic tools aren't good enough to be trusted with massive, complex tasks. But I would be surprised if that would remain the situation for long.
    rysiek@mstdn.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
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    • hans@social.woefdram.nlH hans@social.woefdram.nl
      @Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦 I'm a sysadmin myself, so I can call them tools 😇

      But agree: at the moment these agentic tools aren't good enough to be trusted with massive, complex tasks. But I would be surprised if that would remain the situation for long.
      rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
      rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
      rysiek@mstdn.social
      wrote last edited by
      #13

      @hans I would be surprised if it ever meaningfully changes.

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      • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

        Entirely Foreseeable AWS Outages
        https://rys.io/en/182.html

        Once you strip away the marketing hype, agentic systems like Kiro AI are just automation tools.

        The difference between Kiro and regular infrastructure management tools is that the latter are deterministic. They can be tested, analyzed, and bugs can be reliably, provably fixed.

        That's just not the case with agentic tools. They are by their very nature non-deterministic. And that's the last thing a systems engineer should want.

        #SysAdmin

        clickhere@mastodon.ieC This user is from outside of this forum
        clickhere@mastodon.ieC This user is from outside of this forum
        clickhere@mastodon.ie
        wrote last edited by
        #14

        @rysiek

        Pfft, please. Engineers. They're so unreasonable.

        What are engineers looking for? Precision?

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        • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

          Entirely Foreseeable AWS Outages
          https://rys.io/en/182.html

          Once you strip away the marketing hype, agentic systems like Kiro AI are just automation tools.

          The difference between Kiro and regular infrastructure management tools is that the latter are deterministic. They can be tested, analyzed, and bugs can be reliably, provably fixed.

          That's just not the case with agentic tools. They are by their very nature non-deterministic. And that's the last thing a systems engineer should want.

          #SysAdmin

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          slotos@toot.community
          wrote last edited by
          #15

          @rysiek It’s not that they are non-deterministic - they actually aren’t. Same input will generate the same output as long as you configure it not to perform random sampling or bind the random number generator to a stable input.

          The problem with these tools is that they are unpredictable. You cannot reason about their output beforehand. Nor can you reason about the effect changes to inputs are gonna have on the outputs.

          That’s not non-determinism, that’s chaos.

          rysiek@mstdn.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
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          • S slotos@toot.community

            @rysiek It’s not that they are non-deterministic - they actually aren’t. Same input will generate the same output as long as you configure it not to perform random sampling or bind the random number generator to a stable input.

            The problem with these tools is that they are unpredictable. You cannot reason about their output beforehand. Nor can you reason about the effect changes to inputs are gonna have on the outputs.

            That’s not non-determinism, that’s chaos.

            rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
            rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
            rysiek@mstdn.social
            wrote last edited by
            #16

            @slotos if we want to be nit picky, sure why not – these models use random seeds while generating their output.

            So while *technically* you are correct (the best kind of correct!) that if all inputs are exactly the same, the outputs will be the same as well, from the perspective of these systems as they are being used bye people using them, they are non-deterministic, because these users have no control over the random seed.

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            • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

              @slotos if we want to be nit picky, sure why not – these models use random seeds while generating their output.

              So while *technically* you are correct (the best kind of correct!) that if all inputs are exactly the same, the outputs will be the same as well, from the perspective of these systems as they are being used bye people using them, they are non-deterministic, because these users have no control over the random seed.

              S This user is from outside of this forum
              S This user is from outside of this forum
              slotos@toot.community
              wrote last edited by
              #17

              @rysiek I’m not saying this to sound correct, I’m saying this to point out a deep design issue with these tools that gets ignored in the public discourse.

              Non-determinism is not where the actual issue lies. If it was, tech bros advocating for adoption of local LLMs would have a leg to stand on.

              There are useful [pseudo-]non-deterministic tools in IT. I cannot name a single useful chaotic one.

              rysiek@mstdn.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
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              • S slotos@toot.community

                @rysiek I’m not saying this to sound correct, I’m saying this to point out a deep design issue with these tools that gets ignored in the public discourse.

                Non-determinism is not where the actual issue lies. If it was, tech bros advocating for adoption of local LLMs would have a leg to stand on.

                There are useful [pseudo-]non-deterministic tools in IT. I cannot name a single useful chaotic one.

                rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                rysiek@mstdn.social
                wrote last edited by
                #18

                @slotos well, Chaos Monkey:
                https://netflix.github.io/chaosmonkey/

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                • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

                  Entirely Foreseeable AWS Outages
                  https://rys.io/en/182.html

                  Once you strip away the marketing hype, agentic systems like Kiro AI are just automation tools.

                  The difference between Kiro and regular infrastructure management tools is that the latter are deterministic. They can be tested, analyzed, and bugs can be reliably, provably fixed.

                  That's just not the case with agentic tools. They are by their very nature non-deterministic. And that's the last thing a systems engineer should want.

                  #SysAdmin

                  tyzbit@toot.nowT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tyzbit@toot.nowT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tyzbit@toot.now
                  wrote last edited by
                  #19

                  @rysiek and the non-determinism is a feature, not a bug. LLMs are just a set of transformations performed on an input and the same input should/would result in the same output but they intentionally add a randomness factor to the input so the output seems more "natural" and therefore also more error-prone and inscrutable.

                  anyone using LLMs in situ for performing tasks, especially automation tasks, are playing russian roulette in a literal sense.

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                  • rysiek@mstdn.socialR rysiek@mstdn.social

                    @slotos well, Chaos Monkey:
                    https://netflix.github.io/chaosmonkey/

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                    slotos@toot.community
                    wrote last edited by
                    #20

                    @rysiek And how is that chaotic? In a mathematical sense, please.

                    rysiek@mstdn.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • S slotos@toot.community

                      @rysiek And how is that chaotic? In a mathematical sense, please.

                      rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                      rysiek@mstdn.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
                      rysiek@mstdn.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #21

                      @slotos wow, I had no clue I'm taking an exam.

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