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  3. Do any Alberta politics blogs out there have a nice widget for "How much will the provincial budget deficit be if the price of oil is $X per barrel?"

Do any Alberta politics blogs out there have a nice widget for "How much will the provincial budget deficit be if the price of oil is $X per barrel?"

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abpoli
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  • ameliasbrain@mstdn.caA This user is from outside of this forum
    ameliasbrain@mstdn.caA This user is from outside of this forum
    ameliasbrain@mstdn.ca
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    Do any Alberta politics blogs out there have a nice widget for "How much will the provincial budget deficit be if the price of oil is $X per barrel?"

    Link Preview Image
    Oil hits $90 US per barrel for first time in 2 years | CBC News

    U.S. crude prices rise above $90 per barrel for the first time in more than two years.

    favicon

    CBC (www.cbc.ca)

    The UCP are going to be so offensively smug if they get to publish a fiscal update in the fall that says "actually, thanks to massive instability in the Middle East resulting in a higher than forecast oil royalty revenues, our deficit will only be $4 billion, not 9 billion as originally estimated!"

    #ABpoli (and also uspol & cdnpoli for people's I-can't-deal-with-the-news-right-now-sorry filters)

    purplejavatroll@mstdn.caP 1 Reply Last reply
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    • ameliasbrain@mstdn.caA ameliasbrain@mstdn.ca

      Do any Alberta politics blogs out there have a nice widget for "How much will the provincial budget deficit be if the price of oil is $X per barrel?"

      Link Preview Image
      Oil hits $90 US per barrel for first time in 2 years | CBC News

      U.S. crude prices rise above $90 per barrel for the first time in more than two years.

      favicon

      CBC (www.cbc.ca)

      The UCP are going to be so offensively smug if they get to publish a fiscal update in the fall that says "actually, thanks to massive instability in the Middle East resulting in a higher than forecast oil royalty revenues, our deficit will only be $4 billion, not 9 billion as originally estimated!"

      #ABpoli (and also uspol & cdnpoli for people's I-can't-deal-with-the-news-right-now-sorry filters)

      purplejavatroll@mstdn.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      purplejavatroll@mstdn.caP This user is from outside of this forum
      purplejavatroll@mstdn.ca
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      @AmeliasBrain Well, the Fraser Insitute (you can't see me, but I'm looking like I have a nasty taste in my mouth) claims that every $1/barrel drop means 750 million less in the Alberta budget. There's a basic budget here (https://www.alberta.ca/revenue), which confusingly references WTI, rather than Western Canada Standard (WCS), which is what Alberta sells. WCS sale price is significantly discounted compared to Brent and WTI, so I have no idea why they didn't mention that.

      There is a spreadsheet available, although I haven't downloaded it. That might allow you to play with various scenarios yourself.
      https://www.alberta.ca/budget-documents

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